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Flemington Saturday August 12 – Preview and Best Bets

Fri, Aug 11, 2:33pm by Staff Writer

Flemington is once again the venue for Melbourne racing this Saturday with the Group 3 Aurie’s Star (1200m) the main race of the day. The rail is out ten-metres the entire circuit and while there is the odd trickle of rain predicted into Saturday, the track should be in the good range.

A field of ten will line up in the Aurie’s Star with Team Snowden’s Flippant ($4.60) heavily backed into favouritism when markets opened on Wednesday. The five-year-old mare is third-up from a spell with her most recent run being when third to Calanda and The Monstar in Grafton’s Listed Ramornie (1200m). She’s run at Flemington previously on Melbourne Cup day which resulted in a strong 2.5L win.

Hey Doc ($6.50) and I Am A Star ($7.50) opened as equal favourites but both have drifted with the support for Flippant. Hey Doc carries top weight of 59kg being a G1 Australian Guineas (1600m) winner in the autumn while I Am A Star is a dual Group 2 winner who also resumes here.

Hey Doc’s trainer – Tony McEvoy – thinks his four-year-old has the fitness to be in the finish while Shane Nichols, who trains I Am A Star, says his mare is the most vulnerable she’s ever been first-up having not had a trial leading into this.

Cannyescent ($5.50) is one of four runners for Team Hayes/Dabernig with the five-year-old gelding looking to make it four wins in succession and six from his eight runs this campaign.

Snitzson ($15.50) is first-up and was third to Hey Doc in the Guineas while Grand Rosso is also fresh from a spell and was the subject of an early betting move which saw his quote firm from $19 into $6.50.

We’ve Got This ($8.50) is trained by Greg Eurell and is solid in the market himself and was placed in the Group 2 Gilgai and Bobbie Lewis at this track and distance during the spring.

Race five is a BM84 over 1400m with Samovare ($2), a short-priced favourite for Team Hayes/Dabernig. The four-year-old mare has only missed the placings once in her six race career – and that was when fourth on debut – with all her starts bar her most recent being over in WA.

Swampland ($4.50) made it back-to-back wins when winning over this track and distance last start, three runs back she was sixth of nine (in the race where Samovare was second) while O’Rachel’s ($4.40) last win was in December last year. That was in New Zealand with her two runs under Chris Waller being a seventh of nine at Randwick and fourth of 11 at Caulfield.

Crocodile Rock ($3) is a six-year-old from the Team Williams yard who’s had three wins from his five career starts, with two of those wins coming from three starts in Australia. All his starts in Melbourne have been in BM70 races and he’s gained early support in race eight, a BM78 over 2000m.

Suggested Bet: Galaxy Raider and Crocodile Rock look well placed in race eight but going with the money and Team Williams-trained Crocodile Rock (race 8, number 1) at $3. He’s got less convictions than most of these and banking on the fact he’s fitness is ready for a first-up tilt, he should give a good run for your money.

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