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Flemington Saturday November 11 – Preview, Best Bets and Odds

Fri, Nov 10, 8:12am by Staff Writer

As quickly as it begins, the Flemington carnival wraps up on Saturday with two Group 1 races highlighting what’s always a great day of racing. The position of the track will be made after Oaks day with a good track expected.

A field of 15 will line up in the Group 1 Emirates Stakes (2000m) with Folkswood ($5) the favourite. The five-year-old gelding made his Australian debut with a win in the Listed Cranbourne Cup (2025m) before running a creditable third to Winx and Humidor in the G1 Cox Plate (2040m). The Charlie Appleby stable have a great success rate in Melbourne and this has been his target race all along although he’s drawn barrier 15 of 15 which won’t help his cause.

Gingernuts ($6.50) makes his Melbourne spring debut on Saturday albeit probably later than his trainer(s) would have liked. He’s fourth-up into his prep with a G1 win two starts back before going down in a photo in the G1 Livamol Classic (2040m) last start.

Happy Clapper ($7.50) broke through for his first G1 win earlier in the spring when taking out the Epsom and he’s been backed in early markets.

Gailo Chop ($7) took out the G1 Caulfield Stakes (2000m) two starts back when holding out Melbourne Cup runner-up Johannes Vermeer which came after a third to Bonneval in the G1 Underwood (1800m) – with a fifth in the Cox Plate his most recent run. Three-year-old Cliff’s Edge ($5.50) missed the Derby in preference for this and down on 51kg, he comes into this off a second to Aloisia in the G2 Vase (2040m) while stable mate Tosen Stardom ($11) broke through for his first win in Australia in the G1 Toorak (1600m) two starts ago but was a lacklustre eighth last start in the G1 Cantala (1600m).

Tom Melbourne ($10) was second in that race and he lines up here. He might be the butt of a few jokes but he has run second in five of his six starts this campaign – two of those at the top level – and all have been within less than a length of the winner. G1 Doncaster winner, It’s Somewhat ($17) is third-up and he was a G2 Hollindale (1800m) last campaign when third-up.

14 runners will tackle the famous Flemington straight with Redzel ($3.70) the favourite for the G1 Darley Classic (1200m). The Team Snowden-trained gelding has won his last five starts – including three this campaign – with his most recent win in the $10-million Everest (1200m).

Chautauqa ($5.50) could have easily had at least one win against his name this campaign if things went his way but he’s yet to run a place. He’s fourth-up and last campaign he won the G1 TJ Smith (1200m) when fourth-up.

Vega Magic ($4.40) was a hard luck story in The Everest and was backed as if unbeatable when fifth in the G1 Manikato (1200m). Stable mate Redkirk Warrior ($12) is a ‘straight specialist’ and will jump from barrier three, alongside Vega Magic (in four).

In Her Time ($8) is due a Group 1. She’s raced five times at the top level and been placed three times however with a bit of luck, she could already have a G1 win next to her name. She’s won two from three this prep and was second in the Manikato last start. Impending ($7.50) flashed home to be within a nose of In Her Time, and he’s second-up while Malaguerra ($15) was third to Hey Doc and In Her Time in the Manikato.

Suggested Bet: Lite’n In My Veins ($3.60, race 4, number 7) is an ex-WA galloper who is having his second start in Victoria, now in the care of Aaron Purcell. Whilst his record last campaign wasn’t too flash he’s raced in some top races over in the West and he should have finished closer to Rich Charm when first-up. Craig Williams takes over and although Supply and Demand is racing in career best form, he gives Lite’n In My Veins 5.5kg which hopefully is enough to put the ex-West Aussie back in the winner’s circle.


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