Thu, Jun 20, 1:22pm by Clarinda Campbell
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The long awaited debut of Kurt Tippett for the Swans is the key talking point of AFL footy this week. Ironically, Tippett will be making his debut for the Swans in Adelaide. The Swans will be looking to maintain their blistering form against Port Adelaide and Tippett will be hoping he is a key part of that.
This round is another bye round for the AFL and we will see only six matches played this week. The most interesting match looks to be the Fremantle Dockers and North Melbourne Kangaroos clash on Sunday in Western Australia.
The round sees plenty of matches where the betting odds depict a clear favourite. It is evident that there is a big disparity between the good, average and poor teams this year.
Here is a closer look at the matches and some of the betting markets on offer:
7:50pm, Friday 21 June at Etihad Stadium
Hawthorn are in top spot on the ladder and they take on the ninth placed West Coast Eagles at Etihad Stadium in Friday night football. The Eagles are coming off the bye and they need to win here to stay in touch with the top eight.
Last week, Hawthorn had a tough encounter with Carlton but managed to draw clear by 15 points in the final quarter. The Hawks were fresh off a bye for that match and took a little while to regain their ‘killer punch’. They will be looking to win their eleventh for the season here against the Eagles.
Prior to the bye, the Eagles only just scraped in by four points against the Saints. They were disappointing the week prior in their 41 point loss to Richmond. They cannot afford to bring that sort of form into this match against the Hawks. They are getting back key players in Josh Kennedy, Beau Waters, Darren Glass and Mark Le Ceas who were all missing from the game against St Kilda before the bye.
The Hawks are still the favourites in the premiership betting market, currently at a price of $3.40 with IASbet.com. The Eagles sit on the ninth line of betting at $26.00. Hawthorn are presently $2.00 to repeat their deeds of last year and make the grand final. It is worth considering this futures market at this current price as it is likely to shorten if Hawthorn continue their winning form. The H2H betting for this match has Hawthorn at a short price that will offer little value. IASbet have 91 markets on offer for the match and I would suggest having a look at the margin betting as you can get on Hawthorn for prices over $2.00.
1:10pm, Saturday 22 June at AAMI Stadium
Port Adelaide returned from the bye with a resounding victory over the Giants. It was a win that ended a streak of losses for the Power side and they will be looking to rebuild their season from that. Admittedly, the match was a scrappy affair, with the ball spending a lot of time on the ground. Port will know they are playing a much classier team this week as they are taking on the red hot Swans.
Sydney had the bye last week but prior to that they crunched the Crows in Adelaide with a scintillating performance. Sydney have 8 wins for the season and they are now playing premiership winning football. They head back to the scene of their dominating Crows victory to take on Port Adelaide and they will be relishing the opportunity to hand them the same sort of service they did to the Crows. All eyes will be on Kurt Tippett in his debut performance for the Swans.
Sydney are on the third line of betting to win the flag, currently at $4.25. Port Adelaide are unwanted as they cannot make the finals this season. The Swans should win this match easily. There is little value in the H2H market, but if you were a handicap bettor you might consider the line bet. Sydney has been handicapped by 36.5 points. It is fair to assume they will beat Port Adelaide by 37 points or more. The line bet offers you $1.92.
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4:40pm, Saturday 22 June at the MCG
This match is a little complicated due to off field dramas that have occurred in the last week for both sides. The side that wins will be the side that deals with the emotional fall out better. Both sides are “cellar dwellers” and they have not performed well this year, with three wins between them.
Going off St Kilda’s recent performance against the Eagles, they should be too good here for the Demons. The bookies think so too, with St Kilda at a short $1.10 to win the match in the head to head betting.
In terms of what the game will offer, it is not expected to be much. Neither team will be there at finals time so many of the futures markets are not applicable.
This is the match to steer clear of this week.
7:40pm, Saturday 22 June at Etihad Stadium
The fourteenth placed Bulldogs take on the seventh placed Tigers in the final match to be played on Saturday. The Bulldogs went down by 34 points to the Pies last week. The loss was disappointing for Dogs fans as they had come off two wins in a row prior to the match. Admittedly, the Magpies are a pretty good side but it demonstrates that the Bulldogs will probably struggle against the in-form Tigers this week.
The Tigers are back in the eight and were impressive against the Adelaide Crows last week. The Crows made the dangerous mistake of allowing the Tigers Brett Deledio to roam free across half-back and he made them suffer. Richmond will now be focussing on cementing their place in the top eight and they can lay the foundations here in this match against the Bulldogs.
The Tigers are $21.00 to win the premiership. In other outright markets they are $1.15 to make the final 8. You will need to consider the tri bet, handicap and margin markets if you are looking for some better value than the current H2H price on offer.
1:20pm, Sunday 23 June at Patersons Stadium
Fremantle are at home this week to the freshened Kangaroos. This is the most interesting match of Round 13 as it appears it will be the closest, more evenly balanced match.
The Dockers grinded to a 40 point win over the Lions last week. They were expected to be more dominant but at the end of the day, it was just a demonstration of Fremantle’s style of play. They focus more on defence than offence. They are meeting the sixth best offensive side in the competition. It will be interesting to see what method wins out.
North Melbourne have been the team that have probably caused the most heartbreak for their fans. They have lost four matches by under a kick so far this season. Some of these tight losses have come against top ranked teams. Clearly, they have the skill and talent; they just lack the mental fortitude to stay in a challenging match. They meet a mentally tough side this week and really need to focus to obtain an advantage.
The fifth placed Dockers are $9.00 chances to win the flag whilst the thirteenth placed Kangaroos are at long odds of $101.00. A further in depth preview and free betting tips of this match will be posted in the next 24 hours. For punters who are interested in having a bet, that article will be setting out the odds of the margin, line, head to head, tri bet and other markets.
If you prefer, check out the latest betting odds at IASbet right now.
4:40pm, Sunday 23 June at the Gabba
The Lions should be reduced to a mere roar after this match with the Cats. The Lions have struggled this season despite winning the pre season NAB Cup. This match sees the fifteenth placed side take on the second placed side so it is a bit of an uneven match up. The betting odds in the head to head market reflect this, with the Cats the short priced favourites.
The Lions were limited to just 46 points against the Dockers last week. Basically, they could only kick 6 goals for the entire match. In comparison, in the last match the Cats played before the bye, they kicked 8 goals in the final quarter alone. The Cats were pushed in that match against the Giants but still managed to pull out a dominating performance in the end. They had also rested key players in Harry Taylor, Steven Motlop and Mark Blicavs in that match. They return here against the Lions.
Geelong are on the second line of betting in the premiership market at a price of $4.00. Brisbane are rank outsiders at $1001.00. Admittedly, Brisbane is not in a position now to make the finals come September this year. Punters should consider having a bet on Geelong over 15.5 points at $1.36 in the tri bet market in this match.
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