Fri, Aug 2, 3:16pm by Clarinda Campbell
Match: Collingwood Magpies vs Essendon Bombers – AFL Round 19
When/Where: 4:40pm, Sunday 4 August 2013 at the MCG
Bet on Magpies vs Bombers: IASbet.com
This will be a spectacular Sunday afternoon clash between two teams with a large base of supporters. Rumours have surfaced that Jobe Watson may be returning earlier than expected after breaking his collarbone a month ago. If he returns, it will add another level to the game.
The Magpies have opened as the short priced favourites in the head to head betting market with IASbet.com.
The form of the Magpies is worrying. They lost against the Gold Coast Suns two weeks ago and were pushed to the wire by the Giants. In fact, for the majority of that match, the Giants were dominating the stoppages and contested possessions.
Essendon broke a 6 match winning streak last week when they lost to the top placed Hawthorn Hawks. Most of the teams in the competition would have lost that match. One must bear in mind, that they did win 6 prior to that loss.
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The Bombers are a speedy side which will worry the Magpies. The Magpies looked slow against both the Suns and Giants, and were slow in their loss to the Bombers earlier this year in the Anzac Day clash.
The Magpies are in seventh spot on the ladder and the Bombers are in fourth spot. It is difficult to see how the Magpies are favourites given the Bombers have only lost one match since Round 10.
The best bet is in the H2H market. All the popular markets are listed below.
Magpies Head to Head: $1.77
Bombers Head to Head: $2.05 with IASbet.com
I am a little surprised that the Bombers are not favourites for this match. It’s a good outcome though if you want to back Essendon. They are the value bet at $2.05 and it’s best to get in early as they will come close to being the favourites by game day.
Magpies 1-39: $2.35
Magpies 40+: $5.40
Bombers 1-39: $2.70 with IASbet.com
Bombers 40+: $7.80
Given the Bombers have not opened as favourites there are some decent odds available for them in the margin betting market. The sides will push each other so should restrict the margin to 1-39.
Magpies -4.5: $1.92
Bombers: +4.5: $1.92 with IASbet.com
A predicted Bombers victory plus the automatic 4.5 head start makes the line bet a must.
Magpies over 15.5 points: $2.45
Either team under 15.5 points: $2.55
Bombers over 15.5 points: $3.30
Only bet in this market if you are confident either team can win by 15.5 or more, or the margin will be less than 15.5. The H2H and line market appeal more for this match.
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