Fri, Jun 17, 11:48am by Kevin Pitstock
Sportsbet.com.au presents an early bird look at the weekend’s AFL.
Half way through the year and history tells us that the final eight will remain the same or have just one change between now and the end of the minor round.
On Friday night one of the Bulldogs and the Crows will finally break their losing streak while on Saturday the Kangaroos will look to put pressure on the Bombers for their spot in the eight.
On Saturday night, the Cats and the Saints is a big test for the improved Saints, while the match of the round will be the Blues and the Swans on Sunday afternoon.
Bulldogs vs Crows Betting Preview & Odds
Both the Bulldogs and the Crows have lost four games in a row. Our traders would normally stay with the adage of not backing bad teams and suggest passing on the game, but the Bulldogs do get Adam Cooney back which is an important addition.
The Crows have named Tippett which seems odd, so patience is required here and punters are urged to wait and see if he plays before making a bet. If he pulls out, the Bulldogs can win and cover the line.
Hawks vs Suns Betting Preview & Odds
The Hawks host the Suns down in Launceston and while they will win, they are starting to look thin on the ground when it comes to personnel. Losing Roughead, Guerra and Renouf doesn’t help their cause and their back six is definitely being stretched.
The Suns’ last trip was a better performance just going down to the Eagles in Perth, although losing Zac Smith will hurt their domination at the clearances. Our traders confident of a Hawks victory but not confident the big line will be covered so suggest watching on here.
Hawthorn – 1.02 – 1.92 (-67.5)
Gold Coast – 14.50 – 1.92 (+67.5)
Bombers vs Kangaroos Betting Preview & Odds
The Bombers are favourites over the Kangaroos but our traders think the Kangaroos represent a better bet at the value. The Bombers do welcome back a few in Stanton, Hocking, Lonergan and Bellchambers, however Hille, Welsh and Slattery are all out.
The Kangaroos are starting to hit some form and only really struggle against the premium teams, something the Bombers aren’t quite yet. They have too many of their big guns playing well like Wells, Harvey, Swallow and Petrie so they are a good bet head to head.
Essendon – 1.65 – 1.92 (-8.5)
North Melbourne – 2.25- 1.92 (+8.5)
Lions vs Tigers Betting Preview & Odds
The Lions host the Tigers at the Gabba Saturday night and much of the debate around the Tigers revolves around their decision to take the bus trip back from Sydney when their flight was cancelled.
To suggest that their medical staff put their recovery at risk in preparation for the game is selling them short, so they should take the points here. As the stats suggest they are as accurate as the Lions are inaccurate and with Adcock also out, their defence is in disarray let alone their inability to provide any quality supply to Jonathan Brown. The Tigers to cover the small line.
Brisbane – 2.25 – 1.92 (+8.5)
Richmond – 1.65 – 1.92 (-8.5)
Cats vs Saints Betting Preview & Odds
The Cats continue on their winning way and meet the Saints at the MCG who are clawing their way up the ladder. The contests between the two in recent years have been close so our traders think that the Saints at the plus is a bet here.
Strengthening their position is the return of Leigh Montagna and the loss for the Cats of Joel Selwood. The Saints are starting to hit their key indicators as they improve so can make this a genuine contest and punters can make the most of generous start.
St Kilda – 3.90 – 1.92 (+22.5)
Geelong – 1.26 – 1.92 (-22.5)
Demons vs Dockers Betting Preview & Odds
The Demons were humbled last week against the Magpies so will be hoping to bounce back against the injury riddled Dockers. On four occasions they have been comprehensively beaten and four times they have come back for a win the following week.
They do get Dunn, Petterd and Garland back but unfortunately Jamar is still missing. Had he played, our traders would have declared them a ‘moral’ but are now a little less confident.
The Dockers have added Ballantyne and Mundy to the injury list and while they are doing well at home are still struggling on the road.
Melbourne – 1.78 – 1.92 (-3.5)
Fremantle – 2.05 – 1.92 (+3.5)
Blues vs Swans Betting Preview & Odds
The Blues host the Swans on Sunday in the match of the round. Earlier this year the Blues broke the SCG hoodoo and beat the Swans and while the Swans have improved since then, so have the Blues. They are now genuine contenders while the Swans are genuine aspirants for the top four.
The Blues have speed on every line and have options up forward while the Swans welcome back Mumford which will give them so dominance at clearances. This is not a good betting game so just sit back and enjoy the match.
Carlton – 1.28 – 1.92 (-24.5)
Sydney – 3.75 – 1.92 (+24.5)
Eagles vs Power Betting Preview & Odds
The final game of the round is the Eagles and the Power at Patersons Stadium late on Sunday. Because of the uncertainty of air travel at the moment, Port Adelaide is travelling over Friday morning and this might just be a bonus for Coach Matthew Primus.
They are lacking any sort of team spirit and apart from their win in the Showdown, their only win was when they travelled early to Darwin to beat the Tigers.
The Eagles are in good nick with the Cox/Kerr combination back to its best. Again it is a game where our traders are confident the favourite will win, but an eight goal start is a big start to be certain of covering the line.
West Coast -1.07 – 1.92 (-47.5)
Port Adelaide – 8.50 – 1.92 (+47.5)
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