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AFL Round 11: Port Adelaide v Carlton Betting Preview – Sunday 5 June, 2011

Sat, Jun 4, 11:42am by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

4.10pm at AAMI Stadium
Overall Head-To-Head:

Port Adelaide – 12
Carlton – 8
Draws – 1
Last Time They Met:

Carlton 17.16 (118) defeated Port Adelaide 14.8 (92), round 8, 2010 at AAMI Stadium
Recent Form:

Port Adelaide – LLLLW
Carlton – WWWLW
Current Ladder Positions:

Port Adelaide – 16th (2-8)
Fremantle – 4th (6-1-2)
Key Players:

He’s frustrating and inconsistent, but Danyle Pearce is one of Port Adelaide’s most important players. The 25-year-old, who won the NAB Rising Star award in 2006, was dropped for three weeks at the start of this season but bounced back in a big way last weekend with an impressive 20-dipsosal performance against Richmond. Ironically, Pearce’s impressive game just so happened to occur on the same night as a Port Adelaide victory – coincidence? The time has come for the midfielder to become an elite midfielder, which can be achieved through some consistency.

The 2010 AFL season had Michael Barlow, now the 2011 season has Ed Curnow. The 21-year-old mature-aged-recruit has been a revelation for Carlton so far this season, averaging an impressive 21 disposals per game. Curnow has missed the past two games due to a shoulder injury he suffered against St Kilda almost a month ago. However he returns to the Carlton outfit tomorrow and will add a touch of grunt to an already classy midfield.
Port Adelaide Team Changes:

IN – Jacob Surjan
OUT – Cameron Hitchcock
Fremantle Team Changes:

IN – Zach Tuohy and Ed Curnow
OUT – Jeremy Laidler (knee) and Brock McLean
New Players:

CARLTON – Zach Tuohy (21, Ireland)
Who Wins?

Hardly a game to get excited about, but there is an intriguing sub-plot.

Full credit has to go to Port Adelaide, who pulled out a surprise 15-point win against the in-form Tigers last weekend. It was great to see young talented players such as Robbie Gray, Travis Boak and Justin Westhoff all perform well at the same time. However everyone involved at the Power cam crashing back down to ground zero on Tuesday, when it was made public that the club is debt-ridden and will rely on AFL handouts to survive over the next three years, until it starts playing at the Adelaide Oval.

It’s official – Carlton is finally a top-four threat. After a couple of years of dwindling around the bottom of the eight, the Blues have a genuine shot at earning a double chance come the end of the season. Their win against Melbourne last weekend was far from pretty, but the 47-point margin proved just how far they’ve come this season. While skipper Chris Judd starred and probably racked up three Brownlow votes, Blues fans would’ve been encouraged by the performances of Marc Murphy, Robinson and Michael Jamison – the latter a genuine chance for All-Australian selection.

Knowing the Power, they’ll probably flop after such an impressive win. Coming off a nine-day break, expect Carlton to win comfortably.
Best Head-To-Head Bet:

Carlton by 40+ ($2.42 – Centrebet)

Also Sportingbet Australia is doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout.  If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!
Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Eddie Betts or Jeff Garlett on Sportingbet

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