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AFL Round 12: Carlton v Brisbane Lions Betting Preview – Sunday 12 June, 2011

Fri, Jun 10, 11:40pm by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

1.10pm at Etihad Stadium
Overall Head-To-Head:

Carlton – 23
Brisbane Lions – 16
Draws – 0
Last Time They Met:

Carlton 18.12 (120) defeated Brisbane Lions 9.11 (65), Round 14, 2010 at Etihad Stadium
Recent Form:

Carlton – WWLWW
Brisbane Lions – LLWWL
Current Ladder Positions:

Carlton – 4th (7-1-2)
Brisbane Lions – 15th (2-8)
Key Players:

Lachlan Henderson has always been known as the man who replaced Brendan Fevola at Carlton. While he hasn’t come on exactly yet, the 21-year-old has shown glimpses of his potential and why Brisbane – his original club – took him with pick seven in the 2007 national draft. Henderson has only played one senior game for the Blues this season, gathering just three disposals as a substitute during the Blues’ draw with Essendon. However he’s been brought in for Sunday’s match to give the Blues a bit more variety up forward. Expect Henderson to lift against his former team too.

Tom Rockliff returns to the Brisbane side for the first time in a few weeks. The 21-year-old siffered an ankle injury a month back, but has recovered to line-up for Sunday’s match. Rockliff is perhaps the most important member of the Lions’ up-and-coming midfield. He’s averaged 26 disposals, five marks and five tackles from his first eight games of the season. Expect Rockliff to make a big impact in his first game back.
Carlton Team Changes:

IN – Paul Bower, Matthew Kreuzer and Lachlan Henderson
OUT – Setanta O’hAilpan (hand), Dennis Armfield and Jarrad Waite (hamstring)
Brisbane Lions Team Changes:

IN – Tom Rockliff, Matt Maguire and Mitchell Golby
OUT – Daniel Merrett (back), Jesse O’Brien and Rohan Bewick
New Players:

BRISBANE LIONS – Mitchell Golby (19, Gippsland Power)
Who Wins?

Let’s not harp on this one for too long.

Carlton did what it had to do last weekend, producing a blistering second half to beat lowly Port Adelaide by 62 points. It’s been the Blues’ lesser like players who have really stepped up in 2011 and given their team a genuine chance at making the top four. ‘Mr Consistency’ Heath Scotland is having a magnificent season across half-back and has yet to play a bad game, while Andrew Walker has booted 25 goals this season and has developed into the Blues’ X-factor up forward. Finally, they are coming.

It’s hard to know what to say about Brisbane. How does a team win two straight games then find itself 78 points behind at halftime the following week? That’s what happened to the Lions last weekend, as they put up a spiritless performance against a ruthless Sydney. In the first term, the Lions only went inside 50 twice and cleared the ball just once from a stoppage. They are ordinary numbers to say the least. It’s obviously a mental issue for the Lions, but it’s an issue they need to address quickly.

Pretty simple – Carlton by the length of the Flemington straight.
Best Head-To-Head Bet:

Carlton by 60+ ($2.55 – Centrebet)

Also Sportingbet Australia is doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout.  If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!
Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Andrew Walker on Sportingbet

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