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AFL Round 14: Port Adelaide v North Melbourne Betting Preview – Sunday 26 June, 2011

Fri, Jun 24, 6:13pm by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

4.10pm at AAMI Stadium
Overall Head-To-Head:

Port Adelaide – 18
North Melbourne – 7
Draws – 0

Last Time They Met:

North Melbourne 18.25 (133) defeated Port Adelaide 10.13 (73), round 6, 2011 at Etihad Stadium

Recent Form:

Port Adelaide – LLWLL
North Melbourne – LLWWW

Current Ladder Positions:

Port Adelaide – 16th (2-10)
North Melbourne – 11th (5-7)

Key Players:

Tom Logan has been a stalwart of the Port Adelaide footy club for the past since 2006. The 25-year-old is far from pretty to watch on the footy field, but often gets the job done when called upon. Logan is averaging 14 disposals per game this season, four less than 2010 because his role has changed to a more defensively-minded back pocket player in 2011. He’s likely to get Lindsay Thomas on Sunday night, who booted four goals in North’s victory over Essendon last weekend. If logan can curb Thomas’ influence, don’t count the Power out – pardon the pun.

Levi Greenwood missed the first nine rounds of this season due to injury. And after struggling through his first two games, the 22-year-old has seemed more comfortable over the past two weeks, with solid games against Gold Coast (19 possessions) and Essendon (19 possessions, seven tackles and five inside 50’s). When Brady Rawlings is playing in defence, Greenwood is the Roos’ best tagger. He’s likely to pick up either Domenic Cassisi or Danyle Peace on Sunday, depending on Cassisi’s role.

Port Adelaide Team Changes:

IN – David Rodan and Andrew Moore
OUT – Daniel Motlop and Michael Pettigrew

North Melbourne Team Changes:

IN – Cameron Richardson
OUT – Scott McMahon (family reasons)

Who Wins?

In the words of Foreigner, one team here is as ‘cold as ice’, while the other is heading towards a top eight spot.

This preview has been particularly harsh towards Port Adelaide this season. But credit must go to the Power after their spirited performance against West Coast last weekend, only going down by 22 points away from home. A big reason behind the team’s resurgence was the return of skipper Domenic Cassisi, who gathered 24 touches and laid 11 tackles in only his third game for the year. However last round’s effort doesn’t hide the fact the Power have won only two games this season and it might be a while before they win their third.

Jump on board the North Melbourne bandwagon – it’s going places. After a slow start to the season, the Kangaroos have hit some form with three wins in the past three weeks. We also must remember they had a terribly difficult start to the year from a fixture viewpoint, travelling to Perth and playing Collingwood all in the space of three weeks. Four of their seven losses have been under 10 points, hence their healthy and handy percentage of 101.60. Opposition teams need to start tagging Daniel Wells, who is currently, playing the best footy of his career, while Drew Petrie is well and truly over his foot problems and attacking packs with ferocity.

North Melbourne’s record at AAMI Stadium is decent. Expect that continue on Sunday.

Best Head-To-Head Bet:

North Melbourne by 1-39 ($2.36 – Centrebet)

Also Sportingbet Australia is doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout. If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!

Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Lindsay Thomas on Sportingbet

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