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AFL Round 17: Adelaide v Essendon Betting Preview – Friday 15 July, 2011

Thu, Jul 14, 7:07pm by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

8.10pm at AAMI Stadium

Overall Head-To-Head:

Adelaide – 14
Essendon – 15
Draws – 0

Last Time They Met:

Adelaide 19.10 (124) defeated Essendon 5.10 (40), Round 14, 2010 at AAMI Stadium

Recent Form:

Adelaide – LLLWB
Essendon – LLLWW

Current Ladder Positions:

Adelaide – 14th (4-10)
Essendon – 8th (7-1-7)

Key Players:

Jared Petrenko has been in and out of Adelaide’s senior side over the past three seasons. But after a solid month of form, including a career-best performance in Round 15, the 21-year-old has finally cemented his spot in the side. Petrenko has averaged 17 disposals per game over the past month, including a career-high 18 against Sydney a fortnight ago. He’s found his niche as a small forward, mainly focusing on forward pressure inside the forward 50, hence his career-high tackle count of eight against Sydney. Adelaide has struggled to keep the ball inside its forward half this season, so the more Petrenko plays to his potential, the more likely the Crows will win.

Angus Monfries hasn’t been the footy community’s most popular player over the past couple of days. At a recent press conference, the 24-year-old admitted he staged for a free kick when Hawthorn’s Jordan Lewis attempted a head butt in Round 14. Lewis was consequently suspended for two weeks. Monfries will be keen to win back the respect of the AFL world on Friday night and the best way to do that is by playing well. He’s averaging four tackles per game this season, a career-high, which means he’s working harder than ever off the ball. Monfries has kicked six goals in his past two games as well. Can he answer his critics?

Adelaide Team Changes:

IN – Ricky Henderson and Brodie Smith
OUT – Richard Douglas (Ankle) and Ian Callinan (Hamstring)

Essendon Team Changes:

IN – Henry Slattery
OUT – Michael Hibberd (Soreness)

Who Wins?

Friday night footy returns to South Australia, but all the attention will be on the visitors.

Adelaide got back on the winners list in Round 15, thanks to a gritty seven-point win over top-four contenders Sydney, in Michael Doughty’s 200th match. It was the Crows’ first win in seven rounds and it gave the very small crowd in attendance something to cheer about. The two most encouraging signs for coach Neil Craig were the games of Kurt Tippett, who booted three goals from limited opportunities, and, of course, Petrenko.

Essendon is back and the talk of the town once again – but for how long? The Bombers kicked the last 10 goals of their game against Richmond last weekend to win their second consecutive match. Like their win in the previous round, it was their intensity and appetite to defend that won them the game. Paddy Ryder was moved into the ruck in the second term and was a catalyst for his team’s success. Also, Michael Hurley did a magnificent defensive job on star forward Jack Riewoldt, while David Zaharakis and Jake Melksham stepped up in the absence of skipper Jobe Watson.

The Crows’ finals hopes are dashed, but the Bombers’ is far from dashed. Despite being away from home, expect Essendon to have few troubles getting past its opponent.

Best Head-To-Head Bet:

Essendon by 1-39 ($2.44 – Centrebet)

Also Sportingbet Australia is doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout. If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double!

Get on!

Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – David Zaharakis on Sportingbet

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