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AFL Round 17: Richmond v Gold Coast Suns Betting Preview – Saturday 16 July, 2011

Thu, Jul 14, 7:29pm by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

2.10pm at Cazaly Stadium

Overall Head-To-Head:

Richmond – 0
Gold Coast Suns – 0
Draws – 0

Last Time They Met:

First ever meeting

Recent Form:

Richmond – LWLLL
Gold Coast Suns – LLLLL

Current Ladder Positions:

Richmond – 13th (5-1-9)
Gold Coast Suns – 17th (2-12)

Key Players:

Whenever Brett Deledio has a bad run of form, every footy pundit is quick to jump on his back. Why? He’s a number one draft pick and he’s expected to live up to that reputation. The fact is though, this guy is still 24 and is already a dual Best and Fairest. Yes Deledio’s past month of footy has been below par according to his high standards, averaging 21 disposals per game. But give this guy some space and he’ll work out of it. The biggest question, which is fair, over Deledio is whether he’s suited in the midfield or down back. Personally, he’s more of a midfielder, but the team really needs his disposal efficiency down back. Wherever he plays, Saturday’s game against the struggling Suns gives him the perfect opportunity to dig his way out of his recent form slump.

Everyone was talking about how Zac Smith was going to make a major impact on the AFL. And even after 13 games, it’s clear this guy is going to be a star. The 21-year-old has been a shining light in the ruck for Gold Coast this season. Smith is averaging 14 disposals and 17 hit-outs per game and has also been chipping in with the odd goal. He’s been a little down on output over the past three weeks, but he hasn’t been the only Suns player to become fatigued in recent weeks. Against Richmond, who has poor ruck stocks, Smith could get back into some form.

Richmond Team Changes:

IN – Matt White and Andrew Browne
OUT – Jayden Post and Tom Hislop

Gold Coast Suns Team Changes:

IN – Josh Toy, Charlie Dixon, Matt Shaw and Rex Liddy
OUT – Karmichael Hunt, Luke Russell, Brandon Matera and Daniel Gorringe

Who Wins?

For the second time this season, the Yellow and Black army has had to sell a game interstate. Will Saturday’s match have a similar outcome to the one it sold earlier in the year?

After winning just one of its past six matches, Richmond’s hopes of making the top eight have almost been completely wiped. However when you look at their young list, 12th spot on the ladder is perhaps an accurate representation of where they should be at this stage in their development. They had control of match for two and a half quarters against Essendon last weekend, but simply stopped midway through the third term. And in an age where defensive pressure in your forward line is so crucial, the Tigers often seem to let their opposition rebound out of defence too easily.

Gold Coast is physically shot, so expect it to be on the end of some big beltings over the remaining months of the season. The Suns’ young bodies have always struggled to run out games this season, but they seem to be dropping out earlier the longer 2011 goes on. They can’t hold the ball inside their forward half, hence why many pundits can’t bear to think about their Round 18 clash with Collingwood. If you’re looking for a positive out of last weekend’s game though, look no further than David Swallow, who stood up and kicked two goals from 22 touches in the absence of skipper Gary Ablett.

The last time the Tigers sold a game interstate, they lost to Port Adelaide by 15 points in Round 10. Many believe that loss halted all momentum they’d gathered over the previous weeks. But against a mentally and physically drained young Suns outfit, Richmond shouldn’t drop this one. Surely…

Best Head-To-Head Bet:

Richmond 1-39 ($2.65 – Sportsbet)

Also Sportingbet Australia are doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout. If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!

Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Robin Nahas or Jack Riewoldt on Sportingbet

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