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AFL Round 19: Geelong v Melbourne Betting Preview – Saturday 30 July, 2011

Thu, Jul 28, 10:50pm by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

2.10pm at Skilled Stadium

Overall Head-To-Head:

Geelong – 122
Melbourne – 83
Draws – 2

Last Time They Met:

Geelong 18.13 (121) defeated Melbourne 10.7 (67), Round 10, 2010 at Skilled Stadium

Recent Form:

Geelong – WLLWW
Melbourne – WLBWL

Current Ladder Positions:

Geelong – 2nd (15-2)
Melbourne – 11th (7-1-8)

Key Players:

Corey Enright has endured an inconsistent 2011 season to date. The 29-year-old has been a little down on previous years, averaging 23 disposals per game, compared to 25 in 2009. However Enright’s experience and outstanding poise down back still make him an important cog in the Geelong defence. Expect him to get the important job on one of Matthew Bate, Colin Sylvia and Ricky Petterd.

Jordan Gysberts has fond memories of Skilled Stadium. The 20-year-old burst onto the AFL scene with an outstanding 26-disposal and eight-mark performance against the Cats in Round 10 in 2010. Gysberts earned himself a NAB Rising Star nomination that day and has earned himself a second this season as well. Hopefully for his and the Demons’ sake, he can replicate his efforts from last season on Saturday.

Geelong Team Changes:

IN – Steve Johnson, Cameron Ling, Cameron Mooney and Brad Ottens
OUT – Shannon Byrnes (Calf), Josh Hunt (Back), Josh Cowan and James Podsiadly (Facial soreness)

Melbourne Team Changes:

IN – Liam Jurrah
OUT – Jamie Bennell

Who Wins?

The AFL’s two oldest clubs go head-to-head on Saturday afternoon, but the only thing old about this clash will be an old-fashioned clubbing.

It was ugly, but Geelong did what it had to do during its 62-point victory over Richmond last weekend. Etihad Stadium became an error-riddled chook house in the second half as both teams struggled to hit targets. However the Cats set up their win in the first half, restricting the Tigers to one goal while kicking 11 themselves. Young gun Allen Christensen finally received a NAB Rising Star nomination, kicking two goals from 26 touches and six tackles. He’s certainly now in the Cats’ best line-up, even though veterans Steve Johnson, Brad Ottens and Cameron Ling are all still to return.

It feels like Melbourne has been continuously riding the Superman ride at Movie World on the Gold Coast during 2011. The Demons haven’t been able to generate any consistency this season, mainly because they are still a young and developing team. They lost to the stronger-bodied Hawks by 54 points last weekend, as they failed to stick tackles at crucial stages of the match. Brent Moloney is a barometer for the team – if he’s quiet, the team falls over with him. However the development of Jordan McKenzie and Stefan Martin, plus the resurgence of Ricky Petterd, should please Melbourne supporters.

The Demons need to win one, preferably two, of their next three games to feature in September. But it won’t happen against a strong and experience Cats outfit at their home fortress. Geelong to make it 27 consecutive victories at Skilled Stadium.

Best Head-To-Head Bet:

Geelong line -50.0 ($2.10 – Centrebet)

Also Sportingbet Australia is doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout. If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!

Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Travis Varcoe on Sportingbet


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