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AFL Round 20: St Kilda v Fremantle Betting Preview – Friday 5 August, 2011

Thu, Aug 4, 10:34pm by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

7.40pm at Etihad Stadium

Overall Head-To-Head:

St Kilda – 14
Fremantle – 11
Draws – 0

Last Time They Met:

St Kilda 15.12 (102) defeated Fremantle 7.14 (56), Round 10, 2011 at Patersons Stadium

Recent Form:

St Kilda – WWWWW
Fremantle – WBWLL

Current Ladder Positions:

St Kilda – 7th (9-1-7)
Fremantle – 8th (9-8)

Key Players:

He was recently voted the AFL’s most hated player, but Stephen Milne will still go down as one of greatest small forwards in the game. The 31-year-old has kicked 476 goals from 230 games – that’s more goals than great small forwards like Trevor Barker and Phil Matera. Milne has been in great touch in recent times, averaging four goals over his past five matches. He’s likely to play on Greg Broughton on Friday night, a player who likes to run off opponents and find the footy. If Milne can find the right balance between attack and defence, he could be the difference between the two sides.

Since being dumped from Port Adelaide’s list and playing a season at reserves level, Nick Lower has thrived in a Fremantle jumper. The 24-year-old has been averaging career-high numbers in 2011, averaging 18 disposals, four marks and five tackles per game. Lower’s finest moment came against Sydney a couple of weeks ago, when he gathered 30 touches, eight tackles and kicked the goal that sealed Fremantle’s surprise victory. He’s become an integral part of the Dockers’ playing list, so the more footy he gathers on Friday night, the more likely his team will win.

St Kilda Team Changes:

IN – Jason Blake and Nick Riewoldt
OUT – Tom Lynch and Zac Dawson (Suspended)

Fremantle Team Changes:

IN – Luke McPharlin, Clayton Hinkley, Kepler Bradley and Nick Suban
OUT – Ryan Crowley, Rhys Palmer (Ankle), Matthew de Boer (Knee) and Jack Anthony

Who Wins?

Two teams competing for a spot in the top eight kick off Round 20.

True to its club theme song, St Kilda is marching into the finals. The Saints have won eight of their past 10 matches, with star players Nick Dal Santo, Brendon Goddard and Stephen Milne all in good touch. Dal Santo has been particularly impressive in recent weeks, increasing his contested possession count dramatically. Young players such as Jack Steven and Ben McEvoy have also given Saints fans plenty hope for the future.

Another loss and another batch of injuries means Fremantle will now struggle to finish in the top eight. Injuries have been the bane of the Dockers’ season, with Rhys Palmer and Chris Mayne both going down during the team’s loss to Hawthorn last weekend. On a positive note though, defender Alex Silvagni played the game of his life on superstar forward Lance Franklin, keeping him goalless from 19 disposals. He’s a definite keeper.

The Saints may be in good form, but they can’t afford to take the Dockers lightly. It’ll be tighter than most expect, but expect St Kilda to be too strong at the ground where it does its best work.

Best Head-To-Head Bet:

St Kilda by 1-39 points ($2.40 – Sportsbet)

Also Sportingbet Australia is doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout. If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!

Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Stephen Milne on Sportingbet


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