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AFL Round 23: Fremantle v Collingwood Betting Preview – Friday 26 August, 2011

Thu, Aug 25, 5:02pm by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

6.40pm at Patersons Stadium

Overall Head-To-Head:

Fremantle – 8
Collingwood – 13
Draws – 0

Last Time They Met:

Collingwood 20.13 (133) defeated Fremantle 15.7 (97), Round 8, 2010 at Patersons Stadium

Recent Form:

Fremantle – LLLLL
Collingwood – WWWWW

Current Ladder Positions:

Fremantle – 10th (9-11)
Collingwood – 1st (19-1)

Key Players:

While his team has been heading downhill, Tendai Mzungu has been a revelation for the Dockers over the past five weeks. The 25-year-old has clearly been the Dockers’ standout player, averaging 24 disposals over his past five games. With players falling down injured around him, Mzungu has been pushed into the midfield and making an impact, He also has the ability to go forward and kick goals (he’s kicked three in the last three weeks). Against Collingwood under Friday night lights, Mzungu has the perfect opportunity to further announce himself.

Travis Cloke must be a shoe-in for the centre-half forward spot in this season’s All-Australian team. The 24-year-old has taken massive steps in 2011, averaging career-high numbers in goals (three per game), disposals (16), marks (eight) and tackles (three). Cloke showed his dominance against the Lions last weekend, booting five goals from 22 touches and a whopping 14 marks. With the Dockers’ defence severely depleted, expect the big Magpie to have a huge impact on Friday night’s game.

Fremantle Team Changes:

IN – Kepler Bradley, Byron Schammer, Paul Duffield, Peter Faulks, John Anthony, Nick Lower and Clancee Pearce
OUT – Matthew Pavlich (Calf), Adam McPhee (Foot), David Mundy (Ankle), Hayden Ballantyne (Hamstring), Alex Silvagni (Concussion), Jayden Pitt (Groin) and Antoni Grover (Hamstring).

Collingwood Team Changes:

IN – Leon Davis, Ben Johnson, Andrew Krakouer and Chris Dawes
OUT – Luke Ball (Soreness), Simon Buckley, John McCarthy and Lachlan Keeffe.

Who Wins?

These two teams often put on a great spectacle when they clash in Perth. Don’t expect the same this time round though.

Fremantle has officially hit the wall. Its 2011 campaign is over. Injuries have caught up with the Dockers, who closed the door on their finals chances last weekend with a 98-point loss to North Melbourne. Besides the first half of the returning David Mundy, there was nothing positive to come out of the game for the Dockers. Their inept defence conceded too many easy goals, while there were too many players who gave inadequate effort. In all fairness, half of the team could’ve been injured.

Despite a couple of scary moments, Collingwood did it easy against Brisbane last weekend. Once the Magpies got on top, they exposed the Lions’ inexperience and lack of big bodies up forward. Easily the best sign for the Pies was the game of Alan Didak, who returned to form with 30 possessions and six inside 50’s. Alex Fasolo was also rewarded for his impressive debut season, receiving the Round 23 nomination for the NAB Rising Star award. But have a look at some of the names that didn’t play last weekend: Nick Maxwell, Heath Shaw, Chris Dawes, Leon Davis, Sharrod Wellingham, Ben Johnson and Andrew Krakouer. Scary.

Up to 17 Dockers will be unavailable for selection on Friday night due to injury. They are literally limping to the end of the season, while the Pies are flying to glory. Expect Collingwood to win comfortably.

Suggested Head-To-Head Bet:

Collingwood line -75.0 ($2.09 – Centrebet)

Also Sportingbet Australia is doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout. If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!

Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Travis Cloke on Sportingbet

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