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AFL Round 23: Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs Betting Preview – Saturday 27 August, 2011

Thu, Aug 25, 5:04pm by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

2.10pm at MCG

Overall Head-To-Head:

Hawthorn – 75
Western Bulldogs – 75
Draws – 2

Last Time They Met:

Hawthorn 13.13 (91) defeated Western Bulldogs 9.8 (62), Round 10, 2011, at Etihad Stadium

Recent Form:

Hawthorn – WWWWW
Western Bulldogs – LLBLW

Current Ladder Positions:

Hawthorn – 3rd (16-4)
Western Bulldogs – 11th (8-12)

Key Players:

Look up ‘goal sneak’ in the dictionary and you’ll see Luke Breust’s name as the definition. Since making his debut in Round 8, the 20-year-old has fitted into the dominant Hawthorn line-up with ease in 2011. Breust has played 14 games and has kicked a goal in all but two of them. He’s been a more than able replacement for the injured Jarryd Roughead and has been underestimated by numerous opponents throughout the year. The Bulldogs can’t afford to let Breust off the leash on Saturday afternoon, otherwise a bag of goals awaits him.

Eight Bulldogs players recommitted to the club during the week, but Callan Ward wasn’t one of them. There’s been plenty of opinion and conjecture over the 21-year-old’s future throughout the season, with there being strong word he’s heading to Greater Western Sydney in 2012. However you can’t fault Ward’s commitment to the Bulldogs in 2011, playing all 20 games and averaging 21 disposals per match. It’ll be fascinating to see how Ward performs over the next few weeks as the season draws to a close.

Hawthorn Team Changes:

IN – Shane Savage
OUT – Chance Bateman (Soreness)

Western Bulldogs Team Changes:

IN – Josh Hill and Luke Dahlhaus
OUT – Christian Howard and Nathan Djerrkura (General Soreness)

Who Wins?

Two of the most exciting teams in the competition are set to put on an entertaining contest at the home of footy on Saturday afternoon.

Watch out Collingwood and Geelong come finals time, because Hawthorn can beat you if it’s up and firing. Last weekend, the Hawks proved they will be a force to be reckoned with come September, defeating Carlton by 12 points at Etihad Stadium. They smashed the Blues in the stoppages during the first half and applied enormous pressure inside forward 50. Their defensive press was close to impossible to spear through, mainly due to their willingness to work for each other. Jordan Lewis restricted Chris Judd to a measly 15 touches as well as gathering 30 himself, while Josh Gibson, Max Bailey and Isaac Smith all impressed throughout the match.

Interim Western Bulldogs coach Paul Williams was gifted the perfect start to his career with his team defeating Port Adelaide by 60 points. The Bulldogs blew the Power away in the first half, leading 63-0 at one stage in the first term. Jason Tutt’s first three kicks in the AFL resulted in three goals and he managed to finish the game with four goals from 26 touches. The outgoing Barry Hall took his tally to 31 goals from the past five games, while skipper Matthew Boyd gathered a lazy 39 touches.

Hard to see Hawthorn dropping a game like this with finals only two weeks away. The Bulldogs will be competitive, but the Hawks should have the legs and class in the second half.

Best Head-To-Head Bet:

Hawthorn by 1-39 ($2.60 – Sportsbet)

Also Sportingbet Australia is doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout. If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!

Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Cyril Rioli on Sportingbet


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