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AFL Round 24: West Coast Eagles v Adelaide Betting Preview: Saturday 3 September, 2011

Thu, Sep 1, 6:07pm by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

5.10pm at Patersons Stadium

Overall Head-To-Head:

West Coast Eagles – 19
Adelaide – 16
Draws – 0

Last Time They Met:

West Coast Eagles 15.16 (106) defeated Adelaide 10.7 (67), Round 12, 2011 at AAMI Stadium

Recent Form:

West Coast Eagles – WWWWW
Adelaide – WWLWL

Current Ladder Positions:

West Coast Eagles – 4th (16-5)
Adelaide – 14th (7-14)

Key Players:

Matt Priddis finished second in the Eagles’ Best-and-Fairest in 2011, but he’s having an equally good 2011 campaign. The 26-year-old is having a career-best season in terms of average possessions, marks and tackles. Priddis is ranked first in the league for handballs, second for contested possessions, fourth for tackles and seventh for clearances. He had a tough game against Adelaide earlier in the season, only gathering 20 possessions. However, expect Priddis to bounce back this weekend ahead of a big finals series.

In a side that has struggled for consistency this season, Graham Johncock has continued to punch above his weight down back. The 28-year-old has played every game in 2011 and thrived, averaging 19 touches per game and ranking third in the league for rebound 50’s. Johncock has an excellent record against West Coast, pulling out big games in the 2006 preliminary final (24 disposals) and in Round 12 this season (26 touches and six marks). Hopfully he can finish a solid season on a solid note.

West Coast Eagles Team Changes:

IN – Sam Butler and Jack Darling
OUT – Will Schofield (cheek) and Ashton Hams

Adelaide Team Changes:

IN – Michael Doughty, Ricky Henderson, Richard Tambling and Ian Callinan
OUT – Andy Otten (Concussion), Brodie Martin (Groin), Aidan Riley and Jack Gunston (Shoulder)

Who Wins?

Western Australia is set to host the quintessential dead rubber on Saturday afternoon.

West Coast had a number of scary moments against Brisbane last weekend, but eventually pulled through to win by eight points. The performance of Chris Masten was easily the best thing to come out of the game. In his 50th match, Masten kicked three goals from 31 touches, proving why the Eagles picked him up so early in the 2007 national draft. With that win last weekend, the Eagles will now definitely play Collingwood in the first week of the finals. But after playing the Bulldogs, Tigers, Demons and Lions over the past few weeks, will they be ready for the tough Magpies?

If Mark Bickley wanted to coach Adelaide permanently, last weekend’s disappointing 22-point loss to Richmond didn’t help his cause. The Crows had 76 more possessions and led by four goals at one stage in the third quarter, but were overrun by the emotional Tigers who took their opportunities. Adelaide’s midfield trio of Nathan van Berlo, Bernie Vince and Scott Thompson are great accumulators of the footy, but lack spark around the stoppages or in space. On a positive note though, Jack Gunston was unlucky not to receive a NAB Rising Star nomination for his five-goal haul, while Sam Jacobs proved he’s been a worthy recruit for the Crows.

The word is Daniel Kerr (back) and Will Schofield (facial fracture) will miss this weekend’s game but will return against the Pies. Despite those two injuries, expect West Coast to win comfortably.

Best Head-To-Head Bet:

West Coast Eagles by 1-39 ($2.35 – Sportsbet)

Also Sportingbet Australia is doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout. If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!

Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Josh Kennedy on Sportingbet

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