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AFL Round 3: Collingwood v Carlton Betting Preview – Friday 8 April, 2011

Fri, Apr 8, 9:48am by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

7.50pm at MCG
Overall Head-To-Head:

Collingwood – 114
Carlton – 123
Draws – 4
Last Time They Met:

Collingwood 15.15 (105) defeated Carlton 9.3 (57), round 18, 2010, at the MCG
Recent Form:

Collingwood – WW
Carlton – WW
Current Ladder Positions:

Collingwood – 1st (2-0)
Carlton – 2nd (2-0)
Key Players:

Statistically, Bryce Gibbs has had one of the best starts to the season out of any player in the competition. The 2007 number one draft pick has averaged 32.5 disposals and 13.5 marks per game over the first two weeks of the season. If Gibbs can continue to release some of the pressure of the Blues’ star-studded midfield, the team is bound for success in 2011.

Sharrod Wellingham is one of Collingwood’s most invaluable players and often doesn’t receive the accolades he deserves. Not only does the midfielder tag – and normally beat – the opposition’s best player, he also wins the ball himself and accumulates plenty of centre clearances. Wellingham will have his hands full tonight though because he is likely to tag Blues skipper Chris Judd.
Collingwood Team Changes:

IN – Leon Davis and Nick Maxwell
OUT – Brent Macaffer and Simon Buckley
Carlton Team Changes:

IN – Michael Jamison and Andrew Collins
OUT – Dennis Armfield and Simon White
New Players:

Carlton – Andrew Collins (22, Richmond)
Who Wins?

Collingwood versus Carlton – the great traditional AFL rivalry. The atmosphere will be electric tonight as over 80,000 fans are expected to cram into the MCG under the bright Friday night lights.

It’s been a while since a game between these two sides has been so looked forward to. And rightly so, because as the ladder currently stands, the Pies and the Blues occupy the top two spots.

Will any side beat Collingwood in 2011? That’s the question being asked by most footy fans after two brilliant displays by the Pies’ over the past fortnight. The win over North Melbourne last Saturday was simply awesome. They had a dominant midfield led by Dane Swan and Scott Pendlebury and spread the scoring tremendously well with 11 different goal kickers. The side gets even stronger this week with courageous skipper Nick Maxwell and classy forward turned defender Leon Davis both returning.

Carlton was scintillating last Saturday night, although it was against an unprepared Gold Coast side on debut. The Blues’ never-say-die mentality was the most impressive aspect to come out of the game. Andrew Walker and Jeff Garlett slotted five goals each and Chris Yarran played a great game in his new position off half-back. The Blues have a lot more versatility about them this year and should push for the top four if they continue this great form.

However the Pies’ prospects are scary. They simply have no weaknesses and tipping against them for the rest of the season would be almost a sin. Carlton may be a little competitive tonight, but expect the Pies to blow the Blues away and win quite comfortably in the end.
Best Head-To-Head Bet:

Collingwood by 1-39 ($2.25 – Sportsbet)

Also Sportingbet Australia are doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout.  If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!
Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Eddie Betts ($13.00) or Chris Dawes ($10.00) both on Sportingbet


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