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AFL Round 3: Richmond v Hawthorn Betting Preview – Saturday 9 April, 2011

Fri, Apr 8, 6:22pm by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

7.10pm at MCG
Overall Head-To-Head:

Richmond – 82
Hawthorn – 66
Draws – 0
Last Time They Met:

Hawthorn 13.11 (89) defeated Richmond 13.8 (86), round 8, 2010, at the MCG
Recent Form:

Richmond – LD
Hawthorn –LW
Current Ladder Positions:

Richmond – 12th (0-1-1)
Hawthorn – 9th (1-1)
Key Players:

He might not get the three Brownlow votes, but Dustin Martin’s game against St Kilda last Friday night was clinical. The second-year midfielder had 21 touches, but pushed forward to kick three telling goals in the absence of Jack Riewoldt. Martin may be 19-years-old, but he plays like a player in his mid 20’s.

When Clinton Young is playing, the Hawks are a much more potent and threatening outfit. The left-footed wingman is an important link man between defence and attack, often driving the ball inside 50 to Jarryd Roughead and Lance Franklin. If Young remains unmarked for the match, the Hawks should dominate the inside 50 count.
Richmond Team Changes:

IN – Dylan Grimes
OUT – Luke McGuane (suspended)
Hawthorn Team Changes:

IN – Xavier Ellis
OUT – Cyril Rioli (suspended)
Who Wins?

Two of the most passionate teams in the league clash at the MCG tomorrow night, with the young Tigers extremely keen to upset a red-hot Hawks outfit.

Despite the draw, Richmond fans should be extremely proud of how their team performed against the Saints last Friday night. With the calibre of players the Saints had, the Tigers should never have been in contention. But they didn’t give up and fought hard right till the end of the match, even without star full-forward Jack Riewoldt. The midfield trio of Brett Deledio, Trent Cotchin and Martin all played outstanding games and proved they are going to be a classy unit in future years.

Hawthorn started to show some ominous signs against the Demons last weekend. After trailing at half-time, the Hawks piled on 8.11 to 1.1 in a breathtaking third quarter display. They were led by the classy indigenous duo of Cyril Rioli and Shaun Burgoyne, who had too much skill and poise for the helpless Demons. Check out Burgoyne’s goal of the year contender here.

However there are some big concerns over the Tigers’ back line for this game. With key defenders Kelvin Moore, Luke McGuane and Alex Rance all unavailable to play, an inexperience Richmond player is set to be given the horrendous task of trying to stop Franklin, most likely Dylan Grimes. ‘Buddy’ has been promising a massive game for a while now and against a young defensive unit, he is likely to have a night out – that is if he can kick straight. Hawks should win comfortably.
Best Head-To-Head Bet:

Hawthorn by 25+ ($1.97 – Centrebet)

Also Sportingbet Australia are doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout.  If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!
Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Shaun Burgoyne ($13.00) or Jack Riewoldt ($6.50) both on Sportingbet

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