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AFL Round 4: Fremantle v North Melbourne Betting Preview – Sunday 17 April, 2011

Fri, Apr 15, 11:27pm by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

2.40pm at Patersons Stadium
Overall Head-To-Head:

Fremantle – 6
North Melbourne – 13
Draws – 0
Last Time They Met:

North Melbourne 19.9 (123) defeated Fremantle 10.9 (69), round 19, 2010 at Etihad Stadium
Recent Form:

Fremantle – WLW
North Melbourne – LLB
Current Ladder Positions:

Fremantle – 8th (2-1)
North Melbourne – 15th (0-2)
Key Players:

Players often talk about their ‘breakout’ year and Paul Duffield certainly had one of those in 2010. The rebounding defender was instrumental off the half-back line last season, averaging 21 disposals and six marks per match and playing a massive role in the Dockers’ rise up the ladder. Duffield has been a little subdued over the start of 2011, but he has the chance to rectify that against the lowly Roos on the wide-open spaces of Patersons Stadium on Sunday.  

It was the moment Daniel Wells is still most recognised for. When the Dockers and the Roos met at Patersons Stadium in 2004, Wells kicked the goal that has widely become known as ‘the Jackie Chan in midair’, grabbing the ball out of a stoppage and getting boot to ball while elevated off the ground. Wells has a great chance on Sunday to have a similar impact against the same opposition at the same ground.
Fremantle Team Changes:

IN – Garrick Ibbotson and Jay van Berlo
OUT – Michael Walters and Nick Lower
North Melbourne Team Changes:

Who Wins?

It’s going to be extremely hot on Sunday when the fourth round of the season concludes in Perth. In fact the AFL will put the ‘extreme heat’ rule into place, with teams receiving an extra couple of minutes to rest and recover at every quarter break.

While their opponents performed well below par, we shouldn’t take anything away from the Dockers’ effort during their 24-point win over the Crows last weekend. Perhaps the most impressive aspect about the victory was that they did it without Aaron Sandilands on the field. The big man received a nasty poke in the eye from Richard Tambling but has recovered well and will play on Sunday afternoon.

Young guns Nathan Fyfe and Stephen Hill accumulated 55 quality possessions between them, and when those two players get that much of the footy, Fremantle will always be tough to beat. Duffield also found a fair bit of the footy too, gathering 22 touches for the day. 

Most people seem to have overlooked North Melbourne’s tough start to 2011. The Kangaroos started the season against West Coast in Perth, returned home to play the dominant Collingwood in round two and then had the weekend off last round. Now they have to travel back to Patersons Stadium to take on the in-form Dockers. It’s certainly not an ideal start.

The Roos’ last match was against Collingwood where they were abysmal. They were totally outplayed by the reigning premiers, who accumulated an extra 89 disposals, 30 marks and 11 tackles. Most importantly, the Pies were 87 points ahead on the scoreboard.

The Roos know Todd Goldstein and Drew Petrie are very capable of competing with Sandilands in the ruck. However the Dockers have proven they don’t need the big man to win games anymore. Expect them to win their third game of the season reasonably comfortably.
Suggested Head-To-Head Bet:

Fremantle by 25+ ($1.64 – Centrebet)

Also Sportingbet Australia is doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout.  If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!
Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Hayden Ballantyne or Lindsay Thomas on Sportingbet

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