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AFL Round 5: Carlton v Adelaide Betting Preview – Saturday 23 April, 2011

Sat, Apr 23, 10:03am by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

7.10pm at Etihad Stadium
Overall Head-To-Head:

Carlton – 15
Adelaide – 14
Draws – 0
Last Time They Met:

Carlton 16.7 (103) defeated Adelaide 6.19 (55), round 4, 2010 at AAMI Stadium
Recent Form:

Carlton – WWLD
Adelaide – WBLL
Current Ladder Positions:

Carlton – 5th (2-1-1)
Adelaide – 12th (1-2)
Key Players:

Jeff Garlett has endured his best to start to a season by a long way. The lively and skinny small forward currently sits fourth on the Coleman Medal table with 11 goals from his four games. Perhaps most importantly, Garlett is ranked sixth in the competition for goals contributed. Whichever Adelaide defenders picks him up must be ready to run at any stage, because Garlett is a pace machine.

The 2010 is one Richard Douglas will remember for the rest of his career. The 24-year-old had a breakout season, moving from the forward line to the midfield and averaging 21 disposals a game, culminating in his first Best and Fairest for the Crows. Douglas’ numbers this season don’t match his efforts from 2010, but he has a great opportunity to get his season going with a big performance against a quality opposition.
Carlton Team Changes:

IN – David Ellard and Aaron Joseph
OUT – Andrew Collins and Lachlan Henderson
Adelaide Team Changes:

IN – Michael Doughty, Richard Tambling and Sam Jacobs
OUT – Ivan Maric, Myke Cook and Matthew Wright
Who Wins?

After disappointing outcomes last weekend, both teams will be keen to get back on the winners list on tonight at Etihad Stadium.

Despite a gutsy drawn result, the Blues would be disappointed they were unable to overcome an injury-plagues Bombers outfit at the MCG on Saturday. Yes, they probably should’ve won last week’s game, however they did come back a couple of times when it looked up against it.

Kade Simpson played a ripper game with 17 touches and three goals, but a costly turnover form his boot in the dying seconds of the game led to an Essendon behind and the sharing of two points for both teams. There are also still some big question marks over the Carlton forward line too, with Lachie Henderson, Robert Warnock and Shaun Hampson all failing to make an impact in front of goal.

But surely Adelaide is the team under the most pressure heading into Round 5. After upsetting the Hawks in Round 1, the Crows have pulled out two dismal performances against the Dockers and the Power over the past two weeks on their home turf. Perhaps they are just living up to their enigma title, because you never really know which team will turn up on any given day.

There are still plenty of players sitting on the sidelines for Adelaide too. Rory Sloane, David Mackay, Jason Porplyzia, Phil Davis and Scott Stevens are all quality players and, for different reasons, find themselves out of the team.

The Crows have had the wood over Carlton in recent times and with the experienced trio of Michael Doughty, Scott Stevens and Richard Tambling all expected to return, they are a genuine chance. However the Blues will fancy themselves on Etihad Stadium. If their gun midfielders get their hands on the ball and win it out of the centre, the Blues should be too good.
Best Head-To-Head Bet:

Carlton by 1-39 ($2.20 – Sportsbet)

Also Sportingbet Australia are doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout.  If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!
Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Jeff Garlett or Chris Knights both on Sportingbet

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