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Round 21: Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast Suns Betting Preview – Saturday 13 August, 2011

Fri, Aug 12, 9:12am by Kevin Pitstock

When and Where:

7.10pm at Gabba

Overall Head-To-Head:

Brisbane Lions – 0
Gold Coast Suns – 1
Draws – 0

Last Time They Met:

Gold Coast Suns 18.16 (124) defeated Brisbane Lions 17.14 (116), Round 7, 2011 at the Gabba

Recent Form:

Brisbane Lions – LLLBL
Gold Coast Suns – LWLLL

Current Ladder Positions:

Brisbane Lions – 15th (3-15)
Gold Coast Suns – 16th (3-15)

Key Players:

Tom Rockliff has simple mentality: see ball, get ball. The 21-year-old is the quintessential ball magnet and reads the play extremely well for such a young player. Rockliff has taken another step forward in 2011, going from averaging 23 disposals per game in 2010, to 27 this season. He’s been in terrific touch in particuar over his past five games, averaging 34 touches. Rockliff had one of his worst games for 2011 against the Suns in Round 7, accumulating 23 disposals. Expect the gun midfielder to bounce back on Saturday night with another big haul on the stats sheet.

Something’s up with Michael Rischitelli – but no one’s sure what it is. The 25-year-old started this season in spectacular form but has nosedived significantly over the past five weeks. Rischitelli has averaged just 21 touches over his past five games, a far cry from his hauls of 31, 31 and 29 earlier on in the season. However that haul of 29 came against the Lions in Round 7. Hopefully Rischitelli can replicate his efforts earlier in the season and produce a big game against his old club.

Brisbane Lions Team Changes:

IN – Josh Drummond, Matt Maguire and Mitchell Golby
OUT – Joel Patfull (Hand), Amon Buchanan and Josh Dyson

Gold Coast Suns Team Changes:

IN – Gary Ablett, Joseph Daye, Charlie Dixon, Matt Shaw and Dion Prestia
OUT – Hayden Jolly, Rory Thompson (Illness), Daniel Harris (Groin), Campbell Brown (Pelvis) and Jeremy Taylor (Groin)

Who Wins?

The inaugural Q-Clash was a cracking contest with plenty of highlights. What will version II have in store?

So close, yet so far – the perfect way to sum up Brisbane’s performance last weekend, as well as its entire season. The Lions were in control for the majority of the game against Adelaide last weekend, but fatigue and poor disposal efficiency cost them dearly in the final term. However a four-goal haul to Aaron Cornelius and another 34 possessions to Rockliff would’ve really encouraged coach Michael Voss and fans. The Lions have played 11 debutants this season, so hopefully they’re well set for the coming years.

It was always going to be tough for Gold Coast last weekend, but no one expected it to get so ugly. Pardon the pun, but the Suns were eclipsed and taught a lesson against Geelong at Skilled Stadium, losing by a whopping 150 points. Perhaps the bigger loss involved Campbell Brown, who suffered a subtle yet horrific pelvis injury and will miss the remainder of the season. The challenge for the Suns now is to play ‘men’s football’ – as coach Guy McKenna put it – for as long as possible.

You get the feeling this rivalry is going to have similar characteristics to the WA and SA derbies, in terms of any team could win on the day, despite ladder positions. The Suns caused a boil over earlier in the season, but it’s hard to see Brisbane dropping this one. Expect Matthew Leunberger to have a big night in the ruck and to give his midfielders first use of the footy.

Best Head-To-Head Bet:

Brisbane Lions by 1-39 ($2.27 – Centrebet)

Also Sportingbet Australia are doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout. If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!

Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Patrick Karnezis on Sportingbet

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