Sun, May 26, 6:28pm by Rob Sheeley
Match: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians – Indian Premier League Final
When: 8:00pm (Indian local time) Sunday 26th May 2013
Where to Bet on IPL: www.IASbet.com
The 2013 Indian Premier League (IPL) is set to come to it’s conclusion when the Chennai Super Kings take on the Mumbai Indians in the Final. And what a final it promises to be, the imposing batting line up of Chennai taking on the all destroying bowling attack of Mumbai; mouth watering stuff.
The tournament has been notable not so much for the cricket as the allegations of more sinister happenings off the field. These include allegations against players, team owners and umpires. That aside this match could be anything so lets dissect it and see where the punting value lies.
1. M Vijay
2. Michael Hussey
3. Suresh Raina
4. MS Dhoni (capt & wk)
5. S Badrinath
6. Ravindra Jadeja
7. Dwayne Bravo
8. Albie Morkel
9. Chris Morris
10. R Ashwin
11. Mohit Sharma
The Chennai Super Kings had a remarkable regular season with eleven wins from their sixteen matches. They won their first qualifying match to win their way straight through to this final. They are also the only team who has a positive away winning record in the whole IPL.
They are the most successful team in the history of the IPL and are chasing their third title here. They have had their share of off-field distractions this week with one of their officials, Gurunath Meiyappan being arrested for allegations do corruption.
The Chennai Super Kings will keep the same team that defeated Mumbai to qualify for the final and hoping for the same result.
1. Aditya Tare
2. Dwayne Smith
3. Dinesh Karthik (wk)
4. Rohit Sharma (capt)
5. Kieron Pollard
6. Ambati Rayudu
7. Harbhajan Singh
8. Mitchell Johnson
9. Rishi Dhawan
10. Lasith Malinga
11. Pragyan Ojha/Munaf Patel
Mumbai started the season in average form but seemed to hit their straps after they dropped Ricky Ponting as captain and from the team completely. they appointed Rohit Sharma and haven’t looked back since.
The Mumbai Indians are yet to win an IPL title despite often having many of the biggest names in the game. They have their chance here to get that monkey off their back.
The Mumbai Indians are still missing the little master, Sachin Tendulkar due to injury and have also named Munaf Patel as a possible replacement for Pragyan Ojhawho is nursing a shoulder injury.
– The two teams have met 3 times this season with the Mumbai Indians winning 2 and the Chennai Super Kings winning 1.
– Mumbai have an outstanding record at Eden Gardens, winning 5 out of the 6 games they’ve played there. Super Kings’ record isn’t too bad either, with 4 wins from their 5 games.
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– The Chennai Super Kings’ batting top order has a superb record in IPL finals: Suresh Raina averages 60 with a strike rate of 168, M Vijay averages 54 with a strike rate of 158, and Michael Hussey’s stats are 58.50 at 133.
– Mumbai have not had any stand-out batsmen against the Super Kings. Rohit Sharma has the best record – 248 runs at an average of 35 in his eight innings. Lasith Malinga, however, has 19 wickets at an average of 18 and economy of 7.04 against the Super Kings.
The Eden Gardens pitch for the qualifying match between the Mumbai Indians and the Rajasthan Royals was an absolute batsman’s paradise. Given a similar weather outlook it is likely that we can expect similar conditions for the final. This may suit the Super Kings solid batting line up.
Despite the Chennai Super Kings having a lot of depth in their batting line up they love to take things reasonably conservatively for the first half of their innings. This is against the grain compared to most other teams in terms of strategy but it has proven a winning formula for them.
The Chennai Super Kings bowling line up may not be a star studded one but they seem to work well as a team with no real weak links. They are often the beneficiaries of defending an imposing target set by their superb batting line up so it may be a big test if they are forced to bowl first.
The Mumbai Indians batting order is reasonably weak beyond number six. They have mainly relied on four players to get them through most matches, they will be doing the same in this match and relying on their match winners to be exactly that.
Mumbai do boast one of the most lethal bowling attacks in T20 world cricket. Mitchell Johnson, Lasith Malinga and Harbhajan Singh will be the key to restricting the Super Kings chances of a big total.
Head To Head
Chennai Super Kings – $1.77
Mumbai Indians – $2.05
There are many individual player betting markets on the match but the main team betting market is the Head To Head (H2H). I think Chennai at $1.77 with IASbet.com is quite attractive.
Markets are available on who will be the top scorer for each team. For the Super Kings I like Mike Hussey, he has been dominant throughout the competition and is a proven big game player. Hussey is currently $2.85.
For the Mumbai Indians I have chosen a much rougher proposition in the form of West Indian Kieron Pollard. Pollard is a little hit and miss but is unstoppable when he is on fire. Pollard is currently at $6.50.
Markets are also available for most wickets in the match by an individual for each team. For the Chennai Super Kings I like the Victorian pace man Dirk Nannes. Nannes is a real T20 specialist and should he tie batsman down he may get a few scalps via batsman frustration. Nannes is currently $4.50 with Centrebet.com.
For the Mumbai Indians, I find it impossible to go past Lasith Malinga. Malinga is very possibly the best T20 bowler on the planet, his deception in speed and accuracy is second to none. Malinga is currently $3.75.
Of all other betting markets, I’m particularly drawn to the Highest Opening Partnership market. The Chennai Super Kings are $1.77 and have been superb all tournament, this looks good value.
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