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2014 A-League Grand Final – Roar vs. Wanderers best bets & odds

Fri, May 2, 2:57pm by Rob Sheeley

Match: Brisbane Roar Vs Western Sydney Wanderers – A-League Grand Final
When/Where: 4:00pm, Sunday 4th May at Suncorp Stadium
AUD $100 Free Bet: www.IASbet.com

A-League premiership trophy

The A-League premiership is up for grabs

THE pinnacle.

The Hyundai A-League Grand Final for the 2013/14 season is upon us.

The red-hot premiership favourites, the Brisbane Roar, play host to the team looking for redemption after losing last year’s Grand Final, the Western Sydney Wanderers.

If you’ve been patient and held off backing the Brisbane Roar early over the last month at the short quote of $1.72 well you’ll be happy to know that they are paying $2.10 with Sportingbet to seal the deal in the Grand Final.

When it comes to Grand Finals, there is an age-old saying that “you’ve got to lose one to win one”. The Wanderers will be praying that the adage rings true this week. If it does, there is a juicy $3.60 on offer for the Western Sydney team holding the trophy aloft.

Last season it was the Wanderers who brought the Roar’s season to an end in the semi-finals, so they are capable of beating the Brisbane side on the big stage, but the Roar have been a dominant force this season and are just one win away from icing the cake.

Historically, the Wanderers have the wood on the Roar, winning four of their seven clashes. This season in their three matches it has been one win to the Roar and two draws. One big factor is that in six finals matches at Suncorp Stadium, the Roar have never lost a match. With that in mind, the Wanderers do have a good record there with two wins from three attempts at the Brisbane venue.

  • These two teams have met 7 times, the Wanderers have won 4 matches the Roar have won 2 and there has been 1 draw.
  • They have met three times this season the Roar winning one match and the other two being draws.
  • The Roar have won 57 from 116 at Suncorp Stadium with a winning percentage 49.14%.
  • The Wanderers have have won two of their three appearances at Suncorp Stadium with a win percentage of 66.67%.
  • The Roar are undefeated in six finals matches Suncorp Stadium with five wins and a draw.

Keys to victory

The elephant in the room for the Roar in terms of advantages has to be the fact that they are at sold out home ground. The venue can pack in 52,000 and the bulk of them are going to be right behind the Roar.

The Roar have an embarrassment of goal-scoring riches. The jewel in the crown is Besart Berisha, but he is far from a one-man act. Brattan, Broich, Petratos and even McKay on occasions all have their share of ability when it comes to finding the back of the net.

The Wanderers can go into the match knowing that winning at Suncorp has not been a problem for them in the past. Two wins from three visits is a pretty handy record against such an imposing opponent, they will be keen for another here.

For all the attacking prowess that the Roar possesses, the Wanderers have the same firepower in their defiant defensive line. Spiranovic and Topor-Stanley have resembled a brick wall this season and they have the depth too with former Socceroo Beauchamp on the bench.

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Brisbane Roar vs. Western Sydney Wanderers Grand Final prediction

Being the form team all season, with plenty of big game experience and playing at their home ground, has to be a big advantage heading into this for the Roar.

The Wanderers will be hungry after last season’s loss in this match but it could also play on them mentally.

Prediction – Roar by one goal.

Brisbane Roar vs. Western Sydney Wanderers head-to-head betting

Roar – $2.10 with Sportingbet.com.au (better than $2.00 with IASbet)
Wanderers – $3.60
Draw – $3.30

Given that the Roar have been no better than $1.72 to win this match for the last four weeks, then the $2.10 looks massive in this match.

Handicap betting odds & tips

Roar (-1)- $4.20
Draw (-1) – $3.75 with IASbet and Sportsbet
Wanderers (+1) – $1.67

With the prediction of a 1-0 Roar win, the handicap draw comes right into play here at an attractive $3.75.

Over/under 2.5 goals betting

Under 2.5 Goals- $1.72 with Centrebet.com (better than $1.64 with Sportsbet)
Over 2.5 Goals – $2.10

A tight, heavily defensive match with the side who scores first likely to fight tooth and nail to defend their lead, the under 2.5 bet looks the good here.

Exotic and other bets

The Roar are $1.55 with Sportingbet to lift the trophy by any method, which is good value.

Besart Berisha is a goal-scoring wizard and is currently $4.20 to score first, $3.00 to score first for the Roar or $1.91 to score at any time.

If you enjoy a punt on the correct score, go for the Roar to win 1-0. That result is currently $6.50 with all bookmakers.


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