Fri, May 23, 9:58am by Daryl Curnow
Where: Doomben, Brisbane.
When: Saturday, May 24, 2014. First race starts at 11:40am.
Open an account with Centrebet.com for $200 in free bets to be used across the Brisbane Winter Carnival.
It’s the sprinters to the fore again as Brisbane’s best speedsters race for the $650,000 prize in the 2014 Doomben 10,000. We cover the major races on the card with a full betting guide, odds and selections to help you make a profit.
A very large field to start the day with Regular opening as the $3.80 favourite. The Bryan Guy-trained gelding will be looking to cap off consistent form which has seen him place at his last two starts. The four-year-old finished second last time out at the Gold Coast by a mere nose and he has an impressive record on this track. He has won twice and placed a further seven times from 11 starts at Doomben and he has drawn the ace which will help also. He handles all track conditions and he would win this if he’s at his best.
Veewap wasn’t far off them last week when finishing 2.6 lengths behind Theft. The Robert Heathcote-trained gelding is an experienced campaigner who is struggling to find a win but he used to compete at the very highest level and he drops back in grade for this. The rising nine-year-old is having his third start this campaign and his fitness levels should be in tip-top shape. He does however rise in weight to 58.5kg but top Victorian jockey Luke Nolen takes the ride and he is at nice odds of $10.
Emerald Duke is a four-time winner for trainer John Morrisey and he was extremely unlucky last time out when finishing fourth. The Bachelor Duke gelding has a good course record of two wins and two placings with a win coming on this track five starts back. He won that event by 4.5 lengths and if he gets the right run he can be right in the finish.
Recommended bet: Veewap to win ($10) at Sportsbet.com.au
Agitate could’t have been more impressive when winning last time out and he beat a subsequent stakes winner in Havana. The three-year-old hasn’t finished worse than second at his last four starts which has included two wins and he is the $2.30 favourite to take this out. All five of his wins have come on this track and Kelly Schweida will have the colt ready to fire again.
Architect flew home for third in the Mick Dittman Stakes behind Agitate and that run has put him into firm second favouritism. The three-year-old has already had an amazing 27 starts in a young career and he should get the right run from barrier three. He is yet to win over 1200 metres which is a major concern considering his race tactics but this field is light on talent so he is a real chance.
Rough Copy is a New Zealand-trained gelding who was desperately unlucky in his first run in Australia. The three-year-old finished seventh but he got hampered at the start, checked in the straight and still flew home along the inside. His form across the ditch was solid – two wins from starts – and he should be respected with the master Glen Boss in the saddle.
Recommended bet: Rough Copy to place ($2.40) at Centrebet.com
Cape Kidnappers is one of our favourite’s here at AG and his record speaks for itself. The six-year-old is a sparingly raced gelding who has won seven of his 11 career starts, which includes three second placings. It will pay to overlook his last start seventh on this track as he raced three wide for the majority of the trip. He has drawn much closer in barrier four for this and he will surely put in a good performance at great value odds of $3.50.
Big Bonanza hasn’t raced for nearly a year but the Don Robb-trained gelding is classy at best and a good run wouldn’t surprise. The now six-year-old is a nine race winner from 29 starts and he has beaten some nice types when racing in Sydney. He is having his first run on this track but he has drawn well and betting suggests he is a chance. He opened at $8.50 and has since come in to $7.50.
Bymonashee has a good first up record of six starts for three wins and two placings and he has been specked at odds of $7 which has seen his price move to $6. The Brian Smith-trained six-year-old has won three times at Doomben with a added four placings to boot. The gelding finished only half-a-length behind Group One winning Tiger Tees two starts back and that form should be respected.
Recommended bet: Cape Kidnappers to win ($3.50) at Sportsbet.com.au
Angel Of Mercy’s last two starts haven’t looked the greatest but they both came at group level and this is a big step down in class. The Gerald Ryan-trained mare finished eighth in the Group One Doomben Cup last time out but he finished only 4.9 lengths from the winner. He easily won a listed race three starts back and that form is a much better indicator for this. This race really does look his for the taking and the $4.40 on offer looks tasty.
Historian comes over from New Zealand with a good staying record of 19 starts for five wins and six placings. The Choisir gelding has form on the board against Silent Achiever after finishing second to the talented mare at Ellerslie. He is better suited over longer distances but he has won twice at the mile and he shouldn’t be underrated in an field.
Right down the bottom of the page is Wistful who ran a top notch second behind Leebaz at Hawkesbury. The John O’Shea-trained Darley runner will appreciate running in a lower grade and she has been confidently backed into $4 after opening at $4.50. The four-year-old mare hasn’t won for awhile but she has been knocking on the door and this could be her best chance.
Recommended bet: Angel Of Mercy to win ($4.40) at Sportsbet.com.au
Srikandi is the obvious $2.70 favourite but it won’t be easy for the three-year-old to compete against the older horses. The Ciaron Maher-trained filly has won five of her six starts including her last two runs in Brisbane. She will be looking to complete the hat-trick but she has drawn barrier 14 and she will have to fight to get to the front. Her 2.25-length win on this track was impressive but she carried only 54kg and she rises up to 57kg for this. She has big things in store but this won’t be easy.
Plucky Belle would have been firmer had she drawn closer but the mare has drawn one outside Srikandi in barrier 15. The five-year-old will however drop back from that draw and look to get a lucky run through the field in the straight. She has finished her last three races off stylishly and her last run was a second placing in a Group Two event. The Peter Moody-trained runner is due a winning turn but she will need luck to go her way.
Chintz is another former Kiwi raider who last ran second in the Group One Easter Handicap at Ellerslie. The four-year-old is now trained by Joseph Pride and he will likely have her ready to fire here. The Savabeel mare is a six time winner from 17 starts and she is a really tough type who can pick herself up despite receiving multiple checks throughout the run. She usually performs well when least expected but we’re expecting something good.
Jazz Song is also a chance at nice odds of $15 and should be included in multiples.
Recommended bet: Chintz to place ($2.45) at Sportingbet.com.au
Pressing looks immediately like value at $5 after winning his first two starts very impressively. The Mick Price-trained colt won on debut at Caulfield and then he won the Listed Redoute’s Choice Stakes by 3.5 lengths. In both runs he has missed the start and flown home so the extra distance will only suit him here. It looks as though some easing of the track would suit as his wins have come on a dead and slow track. Damien Oliver takes over the reins and his opening price of $5.50 has already dropped.
Brazen Beau won easily two weeks ago and he is the current $2.35 favourite after opening at $2.50. The Chris Waller-trained colt won on debut by 4.5 lengths and then he disappointed at Warwick Farm after badly missing the start. The two-year-old ran as great value last time out at $6.50 and the win never looked in doubt. He faces a similar field for this and Nash Rawiller was happy to stick with him.
Looks Like The Cat deserves a mention following a top second placing behind Brazen Beau at Doomben. The Tony Gollan-trained colt was an easy 1.75-length winner on debut at Eagle Farm and he finished off well last time out. He looks to have a fair amount of ability but the outside barrier is an issue and he will need some luck to feature in this.
Recommended bet: Pressing to win ($5) at Centrebet.com
The Kiwi’s are due a major Brisbane Carnival win and they could get it here with Glorious Lad. The Shaune Ritchie-trained gelding was an unlucky third in the Group Three Rough Habit Plate after being held up at a crucial stage around the turn. The three-year-old is a three time winner who will appreciate the rise in distance as he finished third in the New Zealand Derby at 2400 metres. He opened at $7 and has been bet into $6.50 which is good value in what is a tough race.
Fellow Kiwi Telepathic ran second in the Rough Habit and she had to do quite a bit of work throughout the run. The well bred Mossman filly settled tenth out wide before making a long run before the turn, only to go down narrowly by 0.4 lengths. The Donna Logan-trained filly won her previous two starts in easy fashion and despite her wide draw, she should be considered once again.
Amexed won the Rough Habit Plate and these three should run the trifecta again here. The Tony Gollan-trained gelding was set for the longer distances and he proved that right when scoring nicely last time out. The three-year-old son of Pentire won at odds of $16 but he is currently the favourite at $3.80 after opening at $4. This race isn’t any harder than the Rough Habit so his chances appear bright again.
Recommended bet: Glorious Lad/Telepathic/Amexed trifecta at Sportsbet.com.au
Buffering is the loose $4 favourite but the Brisbane champion is struggling with his form after finishing a disappointing third last time out. The Robert Heathcote-trained gelding hasn’t quite found his best form this campaign after winning multiple Group One’s last campaign. He does however love this track having had nine starts for three wins and five placings. He has a wide barrier draw of 8 to contend with but you can’t discount him as he is classy.
Spirit Of Boom is knock, knock, knocking on that door and a win shouldn’t be far away. The Tony Gollan-trained horse has finished second at his last two starts and he has stormed home nicely in both. He won three starts back at Moonee Valley and prior to that he finished second on two occasions behind superstar Lankan Rupee. He gets back in his races which is a concern but if there is a hot tempo on he will love it. In 11 starts on this track he has yet to win but he has placed here six times.
Rebel Dane didn’t quite follow up his excellent second placing in the TJ Smith last time out in the Group One All Aged Stakes but he should find this slightly easier. The Gary Portelli-trained runner is having his first start on the track and despite a wide draw he will be tough to beat in this. Regular rider Glen Boss has a massive opinion of him and the $5.50 is good value, despite drifting out from his opening quote of $4.40.
Recommended bet: Spirit Of Boom to place ($1.90) at IASbet.com
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