Mon, Jul 7, 3:27pm by Daryl Curnow
What: 2014 Football World Cup
Who: Brazil vs. Germany
Where: Estadio Mineirao, Brazil
When: Wednesday, July 9, 6am AEST
IN what shapes up as the most-anticipated match of the 2014 World Cup so far, the host nation Brazil take on a star-studded Germany in a battle of the football giants.
Both teams have had their ups and downs throughout the tournament, yet remained unbeaten – however, Brazil will rue an injury to superstar Neymar – a broken vertebrae ending his tournament.
Just how much of an impact Neymar’s injury will have on Brazil is yet to be seen, but the optimism surrounding the men in gold has dwindled. Take away any teams’ star player and they’re sufficiently weakened, so how Brazil react to this will be interesting and it’s the reason why the market has set the odds so close. Germany on the other hand have no such troubles and they have the luxury of bringing quality players like Miroslav Klose off the bench.
Everything is on the line for these teams, not only winning to progress to the final, but the nightmares of Brazil’s 1950 failure – the last time it hosted the World Cup – still haunts the nation and the repercussions were devastating. Germany would also like to extend its imposing World Cup record with another finals appearance.
We’ll look at the major betting markets, including head-to-head and provide the latest odds and our tips to ensure the first semi-final is a profitable one.
Brazil – $2.80
Draw – $3.25
Germany – $2.70 at Sportsbet.com.au
Not surprisingly, Germany has taken over favouritism due to Neymar’s injury, but the jury is still out on whether they would have been favourite’s regardless. Germany has rolled through the tournament in fine style; defeating Portugal 4-0 in its opening game, before drawing with Ghana 2-2. It re-grouped and was able to record wins over United States, Algeria and the toughest of all, France, in the quarter finals.
Brazil has done things in a slightly-tougher fashion. The host nation easily put away Croatia 3-1 in its opening clash before drawing 0-0 against Mexico in a less-than-exciting affair. A demolition of Cameroon followed, but they only squeaked by Chile in overtime (penalties). A narrow 2-1 win over Colombia put the Brazilians into the semi’s but it also cost them their star striker, seemingly putting a huge dent in their title chances.
It should be a close game, to keep in theme with the rest of the World Cup matches to date. There have been plenty of games go into overtime and this has all the makings for another thriller. Just how aggressive the Brazilians come out will be interesting, but Germany will try and take a defensive stance before launching an attack late in the game.
The draw at the end of regulation (90 minutes) looks like the best option here. Neither team will expose their defense and it should be a close battle throughout.
*Includes overtime and penalty shootout
Brazil – $1.87
Germany – $1.85
This option is by far the safer way to bet. With the way the finals have gone to date, this option represents massive value. Your team doesn’t need to be ahead at the end of regulation time, so this option allows either a win in overtime or in a penalty shootout. There has been multiple games go the full distance this World Cup, so if you don’t mind the shorter odds, then this betting option is for you.
We favour Germany in this situation. If they make it to 90 minutes then they have the advantage as they can call on any number of reserves to step up. Their evenly-balanced team, led by such players as Muller, Klose and Kroos, is one fit to withstand the pressures of extra time. If it goes to a penalty shootout, they have a vast amount of players that can strike the ball with authority.
Play it safe and take Germany @$1.87 at Sportingbet.com.au
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