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2018 Australian Open Quarter Finals: Best and Value Bets

Tue, Jan 23, 9:59am by Staff Writer

The 2018 Australian Open moves into its second week, with the remaining players already competing during a grueling week of heat and high quality tennis.

Men’s quarterfinals

With a number of the top player’s in the men’s draw entering the Open under an injury cloud or missing the tournament altogether, the stage looks set for another Federer-Nadal showdown in six days time.

Both players have looked exceptional so far at the Open, with Nadal dropping only a single set and Federer yet to drop a set through four matches.

World number 1 Nadal should account for 6th seed Marin Cilic, while Federer has an easier task against 19th seed Tomas Berdych

The nearest competitor to Federer and Nadal would be third seed Grigor Dimitrov.

Dimitrov defeated home favourite Nick Kyrgios on Sunday night in a stunning performance from the Bulgarian, who is coming off a career best season and career high world ranking of 3.

Dimitrov faces Brit Kyle Edmund tomorrow night for a place in the semi finals.

Edmund has had a rough road into the second week of the Open, defeating 11th seed Kevin Anderson in the opening round in five sets, before wins against Denis Istomin, Nikoloz Basilashvilli and Andreas Seppi.

Edmund and Dimitrov have met twice before, both matches at ATP250 level and both going to three sets.

With Dimitrov coming off such an impressive performance, it would be unsurprising given his history, for him to let his foot off the peddle slightly against a less accomplished opponent in Edmund.

The over 37.5 total games market represents the best value, given Edmund’s likelihood of pinching a set off the number 3 seed.

Best bet- Dimitrov/Edmund total match games over 37.5 at 1.83

Women’s quarterfinals

The women’s draw has seen a number of shocks in the first week, yet the two highest seeded players remain.

Simona Halep survived a 15-13 final set in round 3, while Wozniacki battled back from 5-1 down in the final set in round 2 against Jana Fett.

Halep has the harder path to the final, likely playing big serving Czech Karolina Pliskova in the quarterfinals.

Wozniacki should have too much for Spaniard Carla Suarez Navarro, with her greatest challenge likely to come in a potential semi final showdown against Elina Svitolina.

21st seed, former world number 1 and Australian Open champion Angelique Kerber rocketed into the bookmakers favourite after her win against Maria Sharapova in the third round.

The German survived a scare, where she served to stay in the match against Hsieh Su Wei from Chinese Taipei, before prevailing in three sets.

Kerber faces a tricky opponent in the quarterfinals in the form of American Madison Keys.

After making the U.S. Open final last year, Keys played relatively few matches towards the back end of the season and has returned looking fresh, not dropping a set in four matches this week.

She starts this match against Kerber as an underdog, likely due to Kerber winning the last three matches the two have played, and all four on hard courts.

Keys is a far more accomplished player than she was in years gone by, with the pair’s last meeting on a hard court in the semi finals of the Rio Olympics.

Momentum is important in tennis and at $2.41, Keys is the value play from the women’s draw for the quarterfinals stage.

Best bet- Madison Keys to win at $2.41

*Odds provided by Sportsbet


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