Tue, Dec 31, 6:09am by Rob Sheeley
The Hyundai A-League’s summer of wall-to-wall football continues this week when Round 13 kicks off just one day after Round 12 concludes. The Wanderers will welcome in the new year when they play host to the Phoenix on the first day of 2014.
The Brisbane Roar have been backed right in to $3.10 premiership favourites after a 5-2 demolition of Sydney FC last Friday night. The Roar have extended their lead to four competition points after the second placed Wanderers could only manage a draw with the third placed Victory in their match of the round clash. Sydney FC have been the notable drifters in the market blowing from $8.50 to $11 on the back of last weekends poor showing.
Round 12 also saw the enigmatic Adelaide produce another win against a quality side, this time it was a 1-0 win over the Newcastle Jets who had been in stellar form leading into the match. The hapless Melbourne Heart secured their grip on the wooden spoon when they were defeated by the Wellington Phoenix 1-0 in Melbourne. The result sees the Phoenix skip six points clear of the Heart who decided enough was enough and sacked their coach John Aloisi in the aftermath of the loss.
With our best bet of the week yet to play at the time of writing, we have still had a pretty good weekend on the punt to date. We tipped the Roar head to head at $2.15 as well as the over 2.5 goals in that match at $1.82. We also suggested there would be under 2.5 goals in the Heart and Phoenix match at $1.80. In our feature match our bet of the game of the Wanderers (+1) saluted at $1.45 while we also tipped less than 2.5 goals at $1.73. If not for the Victory scoring on the last play of the game, we were headed for some huge collects in that match.
In multi’s this week I’d suggest anchoring Wanderers against the Phoenix at $1.40, the Jets against the Glory at $1.70 and the Mariners against the Heart at $1.55. The Wanderers and the Mariners look the two best bets of the week without a doubt and both well worthy of a head to head investment.
This weeks feature preview will be Saturday’s match between the third placed Melbourne Victory up against the competition leaders, the Brisbane Roar. The feature preview includes an in-depth analysis of the match along with the all-important free tips.
Let’s take a look at Round 13;
7:00pm AET, Wednesday 1st January at Pirtek Stadium
The Wellington Phoenix may have won two matches in a row but they come up against one of the classiest outfits in the competition for this game. Mind you, those two wins are the only two wins of the season that Wellington has managed while their opposition, the Wanderers, have only lost one. Punters think it’ll be a one sided affair and it’s hard to disagree. If there is any reason to consider anything but a Wanderers victory it is the fact that the two teams drew 1-1 at this venue back in round two. Apart from a head to head bet on the Wanderers, we’d also consider under 2.5 goals at $1.73 and the handicap draw (-1) at $3.20.
The Western Sydney Wanderers went oh so close to defeating the Melbourne Victory away from home last week when it I took until the dying seconds for their opposition to salvage a draw. This week should be very different for the $4.00 title hopes who return home to take on a side that has struggled for the bulk of the season. The second placed Wanderers look to be improving each week and are yet to taste defeat at their home base this season.
The Wellington Phoenix proved last week that they can still perform without star Paul Ifill. The Phoenix defeated the Heart in Melbourne 1-0 to make it two wins in a row and put a space between themselves and the last placed Heart in the process. The Phoenix remain $41 in premiership betting and face a tough task here if they wish to replicate their Round Two draw with the Wanderers.
Prediction – Wanderers by one goal.
7:30pm AET, Friday 3rd January at Coopers Stadium
This match looks and intriguing battle. Both sides have been showing glimpses of changing fortunes. For Adelaide United it is a positive, with recent upset wins against the Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets. For Sydney it is the opposite with a loss to Wellington followed up with a flogging at the hands of the Brisbane Roar. As a punter, it may not be the easiest game to line up, but if those telltale signs are correct, it could point towards an Adelaide win. Aside from a bet on the draw, we’d also consider Adelaide United in the draw no bet at $1.44.
The form of Adelaide United in the past three rounds has been solid. Firstly it was a huge 4-0 upset over the Mariners. They then drew 0-0 with Perth in a game where they failed to take full advantage of a depleted opposition. Last week they disposed of an in-form Newcastle Jets 1-0. The $15 premiership hopefuls are a little way off the top four just yet, but a win here could see them come well and truly into calculations as a playoff contender.
The festive fortnight has not proven fruitful for Sydney FC. Two losses in as many weeks have seen the sky blues sink from third to fifth and from $8.50 to $11 in title betting. Adding to that are serious concerns over the fitness of their marquee super star Alessandro Del Piero. Piero has looked as though he may be hampered by an ailment that may be preventing him from producing his best in recent weeks. This is the opportunity Sydney FC have to take if they are to turn their fortunes back around.
Prediction – Draw.
5:30pm AET, Saturday 4th January at Hunter Stadium
An injury ravaged Perth Glory face the added hurdle of having to back up from a Tuesday night match against the Mariners when they take on the Newcastle Jets this Saturday. It will be a desperate Jets too, as they return home looking to atone for an upset loss to Adelaide United last weekend. Expect them to be firing on all cylinders in this one. As well as a bet on the Jets in the head to head, we would look at investing on them in the handicap market (-1) at $3.30.
The Jets travelled to South Australia last week and came away empty handed, losing 1-0 to Adelaide United. The $10 title hopes remain in fourth place but will be keen to win here to stave of the challengers for that position with no less than three teams all within one win of the Jets.
The Perth Glory are currently harboring a veritable plethora of injuries and, coupled with a recent change of coach, things haven’t been easy for the men from the golden west in recent weeks. At the time of writing, they are two days out from their Round 12 New Year’s Eve clash with the Mariners. They will then have a four day turnaround before taking on the Jets which isn’t the ideal scenario for a side already operating on a skeleton staff. They did manage a 0-0 draw with the Jets in Perth back in Round Two but this looks much harder for the ninth placed Glory who are currently $15 in title betting.
Prediction – Jets by two goals.
7:45pm AET, Saturday 4th January at AAMI Park
This weeks match of the round takes place when the third placed Melbourne Victory host the competition leaders, the Brisbane Roar. This match will be the subject of our full feature preview which will be posted right here on Australian Gambling in the coming days. The Roar have been exceptional this year yet will start outsiders in this match. This could be a game that we make a little bit of money on. The Victory upset the Roar last time they met back in Round Three so there is no doubt that the Roar will been keen to square the ledger.
The Victory scored a goal in the very last play of the match against the Western Sydney Wanderers last weekend to snatch a 1-1 draw. It was a display of fighting spirit in front of their home fans that may well sit them in good stead should they be able to stay close to the Roar in this game. The Victory remain on the third line of premiership betting at $6.00 on the back of last week’s draw.
The Brisbane Roar absolutely annihilated a hapless Sydney FC last week in a 5-2 goal fest. The win included a hat trick to Dimitri Petratos and was just another show of the dominance of the Roar so far this season. The Roar have been smashed into $3.10 after their imperious victory and look to have more than an even chance of winning again this week.
Prediction – Roar by one goal.
5:00pm AET, Sunday 5th January at Blutongue Stadium
Just as we did in Round 12, we will look to close out Round 13 with a winning bet of the week on the Mariners. This time they take on the only winless team in the entire competition, the Melbourne Heart. The Heart have sacked their coach John Aloisi after the only thing they have looked a good chance of winning this season is the wooden spoon. They will be hoping that 2014 is a year of new fortunes, starting right here. Aside for a head to head bet on the Mariners, we’d also consider taking them in the handicap market (-1).
At the time of writing, the Mariners are yet to play their Round 12 match against the Perth Glory. They have been great at their home venue this season with their only loss at Bluetongue Stadium coming at the hands of the Brisbane Roar. The Mariners are currently $9.50 to win the premiership and should add another win to their season tally in this match.
It is becoming very hard to find anything positive to write about the Melbourne Heart. They are yet to win after 12 games and have only registered four competition points to date on the back of four draws. The Heart have conceded 22 goals so far this season and that certainly isn’t a ringing endorsement for their defensive prowess. The $67 premiership chances (and unbackable wooden spoon favourites) will need to lift in this game to be any chance of competing.
Prediction – Mariners by two goals.
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