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AFL Brownlow and Coleman Medal Market Update

Tue, Jul 17, 12:51pm by Head Editor

Hawthorn’s Tom Mitchell remains the player to beat in the 2018 Brownlow Medal and is $2.65 to take out the award.

Mitchell has been a disposal magnet for the Hawks this season, averaging more than 35 disposals per game.

Mitchell is one of the competitions’ most prolific handballers, raking up more than 20 handballs seven times this season.

Melbourne ruckman and cult figure Max Gawn has seen strong support in the Brownlow market and is looking to become the first Melbourne player since Shane Woewodin in 2000 to win the Brownlow Medal.

Gawn was $101 to win the Brownlow at the start of the season and has shortened to second favourite at $12.

He is averaging career best figures in kicks (8.3 per game), handballs (8.8 per game), disposals (17 per game) and hitouts (46 per game).

Coupled with the fact that the Demons look to be playing finals football in 2018 and winning more games than they lose, Gawn is a worthy contender for the award.

The West Coast Eagles have underperformed in the past month, which may cost Andrew Gaff valuable votes.

The Eagles midfielder is $8 to claim the award and has enjoyed polling success in the past, recording 63 votes in his career.

The issue for Gaff will be whether or not he will be noticed by the umpires in the same way he has been in the past, given the Eagles prolific forward and midfield depth.

Carlton’s Patrick Cripps has been the club’s best player in a dour season and would be a surprise winner of the Brownlow Medal this season.

The award is typically given to player’s on winning teams, and with the Blues managing only a single victory through 17 rounds, the price of $8 on Cripps to win the award seems too short.

The 2017 medalist Dustin Martin has not had as strong of a season as he did in 2017. He is down in all statistical categories, including amassing five less disposals per game.

Nonetheless, the Tigers are doing well atop the AFL ladder and with a strong history of polling votes, his price of $11 is worth considering.

Other players in contention for the award are North Melbourne’s Shaun Higgins ($11) who has had a breakout season for his surprising Kangaroos side and Jackson Macrae ($16) who has been a shining light in an otherwise miserable season for the Bulldogs.

North Melbourne’s Ben Brown is a $1.30 favourite at Sportsbet to win his first Coleman Medal.

The tall forward has booted 50 goals this season, with his 73 per cent accuracy on goal the best in the competition among the leading goal scorers.

Sydney’s Lance Franklin has played three fewer matches than Brown, but has still managed to impact the scoreboard, kicking 42 goals and 25 behinds.

If Franklin had played one or two more games this season, his price of $3.50 to win the Coleman would certainly be far shorter.

Unless Brown succumbs to injury, it is difficult to see Franklin catching the North youngster, although he does have the ability to score his goals in bunches.

Melbourne’s Jesse Hogan started the season well in terms of his goal kicking and booted four goals on the weekend against the Dogs to stay in touch of the leaders in the market.

He has kicked 40 goals this season and is $8 to win his first Coleman Medal.

Richmond’s Jack Riewoldt (37 goals) and West Coast’s Josh Kennedy (32 goals) are the next best in the market at $26. Kennedy has missed six games this season through injury, but boasts an impressive 3.2 goals per game average.

Brownlow Medal

Tom Mitchell $2.65

Max Gawn $7

Andrew Gaff $8

Patrick Cripps $8

Dustin Martin $11

Shaun Higgins $11

Jackson Macrae $16

Coleman Medal

Ben Brown $1.30

Lance Franklin $3.50

Jesse Hogan $8

Jack Riewoldt $26

Josh Kennedy (WCE) $26

Luke Breust $51

*Odds at Sportsbet

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