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AFL Club by Club Betting Preview: Richmond, Carlton & Gold Coast

Sat, Mar 18, 2:38pm by Head Editor

In the fifth of our six club by club previews, we look at Richmond, Carlton and Gold Coast who finished with eight, seven and six wins respectively last season.

Richmond Tigers: 2016: 13th

After three seasons of first round finals exits in a row, the Tiger Army were ready for a deeper run into the finals last year, that didn’t eventuate with the club sliding out of the eight, to 13th.

That poor showing led to several changes in the back-room staff of the club, while Damien Hardwick held onto the reins, he now has an entirely new staff and former-Tiger great Neil Balme has come back to the club as the head of the football department.

On the field, there were also some much-needed changes, in comes Josh Caddy from Geelong and Dion Prestia from Gold Coast which will add some depth to their midfield.

Their draw is rated as the second easiest, playing on one finalist from last season twice, GWS. I can’t see them playing in the finals, but they will improve on last season. They are

Speaking of improving, that’s exactly what we can expect from Daniel Rioli this season. He was taken at pick 15 in the draft, he kicked 13 goals from his 18 games in his rookie season and now has another pre-season under his belt.

Ins: Dion Prestia (Gold Coast), Toby Nankervis (Sydney), Josh Caddy (Geelong)

Outs: Troy Chaplin (Retired), Reece McKenzie (Retired), Liam McBean (Delisted), Adam Marcon (Delisted), Tyrone Vickery (Hawthorn), Brett Deledio (GWS Giants), Andrew Moore (Delisted)

Predicted finish after Round 23: 13th

Premiership Odds $51: Our Odds: $34

Carlton Blues: 2016: 14th

Of all the 18 clubs, the poor old Navy Blues have copped it the hardest, for the second consecutive year, they’ve turned over their list in large numbers and after winning only one of their last 11 games last season, 2017 could be a long year.

Brendon Bolton managed to squeeze seven wins out of the Blues in his first year as coach in 2016, but he will struggle to replicate that feat again with a much younger squad this time around.

The club are clearly prepared to plan for the future, which will hold them in good stead in the long term, but in the short term it’s very hard to argue their list has got any better compared to the end of last year.

The long-term plan was again underlined when the club traded Zach Tuohy to Geelong and delisted former leading goalkicker Andrejs Everitt. The $4.25 for them to win the least matches looks value.

Ins: Caleb Marchbank, Rhys Palmer, Jarrod Pickett (GWS Giants), Billie Smedts (Geelong), Alex Silvagni (Fremantle), Sam Petrevski-Setton, Zac Fisher, Harrison Macreadie, Cameron Polson, Tom Williamson, Patrick Kerr, Kym LeBois (draft)

Outs: Zach Tuohy (Geelong), Andrew Walker, Michael Jamison, Cameron Wood (retired), Andrejs Everitt, Jason Tutt, Mark Whiley, Clem Smith, Matthew Dick, Dillon Viojo-Rainbow, Jayden Foster, Billy Gowers (delisted)

Predicted finish after Round 23: 18th

Premiership Odds $101: Our Odds: $501

Gold Coast Suns: 2016: 15th

It’s an obvious statement, but this football club have been a bitter disappointment since entering the competition in 2011. They’ve been given ample draft concessions, they have a two-time Brownlow medallist on their books and they still managed only six wins last season.

In the off season, they lost Jaegar O’Meara to Hawthorn and Dion Prestia to Richmond and even the man himself Garry Ablett, wanted to walk out, so it’s all doom and gloom in the sunny city, or is it?

They’ve added a couple of experienced hard-nosed players in Pearce Hanley from Brisbane and Michael Barlow from Fremantle and David Swallow is back from a knee-injury.

There is a lot of talent on this list and Tom Lynch is one of the best forwards in the game, they cannot afford injuries as their list does not bat deep, but if they do that then I can see them challenging for the top eight ($3.75).

Ins: Pearce Hanley (Brisbane), Jarrod Witts (Collingwood), Jarryd Lyons (Adelaide), Michael Barlow (Delisted Free Agent)

Outs: Seb Tape (Delisted), Luke Russell (Delisted), Tom Keough (Delisted), Danny Stanley (Delisted), Dion Prestia (Richmond), Jaeger O’Meara (Hawthorn), Nick Malceski (Retired), Clay Cameron (Delisted), Henry Schade (Delisted), Jarrod Garlett (Released)

Predicted finish after Round 23: 12th

Premiership Odds $41: Our Odds: $34

Stay tuned as we continue our club by club previews on in the lead up to the AFL season.

AFL Premiership (Sportsbet):

Greater Western Sydney $4.50

Western Bulldogs $5.50

Sydney $7

West Coast $9

Adelaide $9

Geelong $11

Hawthorn $13

Fremantle $18

Melbourne $23

Essendon $23

St Kilda $26

Collingwood $34

Port Adelaide $34

Gold Coast $41

Richmond $51

North Melbourne $67

Carlton $101

Brisbane $501

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