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AFL: Crows remain favourites, Tigers and Swans the biggest movers

Mon, Aug 7, 9:38am by Head Editor

Adelaide’s demolition job of their cross-town rivals Port Adelaide in the Showdown on Sunday has seen the Crows move in from $3.50 to $3.25 to lift the Premiership cup for the first time since 1998.

Josh Jenkins and Eddie Betts finished with four goals apiece, but it was Sam Jacobs who won the Showdown medal, joining former Crows skipper Mark Ricciuto and ex-Power onballer Josh Francou as the only three-time medallists.

The 84-point win sends an ominous warning to the rest of the competition, but another club who played and won on Sunday – Richmond – put their hand up for a top two finish and sees them come into Premiership calculations.

The Tigers 29-point win was the club’s fourth in a row, and all but ends Hawthorn’s finals hopes, and sees the winners shorten from $12 to $8 to end a 37-year Premiership drought.

Dustin Martin finished with 32 disposals and two goals, which sees him move into $1.20 to win his first Brownlow Medal. Tom Mitchell had 35 touches, but 26 of them were handballs, he remains second pick at $4.50, ahead of Essendon’s Zach Merrett at $13.

Merrett’s Brownlow chances may come to an end this week though, he’s likely to come under scrutiny for punching Carlton’s Lachie Plowman in the second term of Essendon’s win.

The Bombers won that match by eight points, which sees them move into eighth position on the ladder, and $21 for the Premiership.

The Swans shortened from $8 to $6 following their impressive 46-point win over the Cats in Geelong on Friday night.

In a match that was eerily similar to the Preliminary Final clash between the clubs last season, the Swans once again got the jump on their rivals, kicking seven goals in the first term, to lead by 32 points at quarter-time.

Sydney’s cross-town rivals – GWS – were too good for Melbourne on Saturday in the nation’s capital. The 35-point win sees the Giants consolidate their spot in the top four, and sees them come in from $5 to $4.50.

The loss is a costly one for the Demons, who dropped out of the top eight, and out from $21 to $23.

The Western Bulldogs won their fourth game in a row, with a 14-point win over the Lions at the Gabba. The win came at a cost though, with skipper Easton Wood going down with a bad hamstring injury in the first term.

The Dogs moved in from $23 to $16 to repeat last year’s heroics.

The favourites won and covered the line in seven of the nine games, in a round that was easier to predict than many we’ve seen this season.

St Kilda were one of the clubs who were able to win and cover the line, when they hung on to beat the Eagles in a thriller on Sunday at Etihad Stadium.

The 8-point win sees the Saints move from $101 to $41 for the flag, and sees them move to within percentage of the top eight.

Round 21 kicks off at Etihad Stadium on Friday night, with a clash that is set to have a huge bearing on the finals, when the 7th placed Dogs ($2.12) and the 2nd placed Giants ($1.73). The line is at 4.5 points for that one, which is the third shortest of the round.

The closest betting match in early markets is Saturday’s blockbuster between the Cats ($1.98) and the Tigers ($1.83), while there’s also a tight contest predicted when the Lions ($1.84) host the Suns ($1.97) in the Q Clash.

Sportsbet Markets

Round 21

Western Bulldogs $2.12 v Greater Western Sydney $1.73 Line: 4.5
Sydney $1.11 v Fremantle $6.70 Line: 40.5
Geelong $1.98 v Richmond $1.83 Line: 1.5
Brisbane $1.84 v Gold Coast $1.97 Line: 1.5
Essendon $2.90 v Adelaide $1.42 Line: 15.5
West Coast $1.15 v Carlton $5.50 Line: 33.5
Melbourne $1.66 v St Kilda $2.24 Line: 6.5
Hawthorn $1.22 v North Melbourne $4.35 Line: 28.5
Port Adelaide $1.34 v Collingwood $3.27 Line: 20.5


Adelaide $3.25

Greater Western Sydney $4.50

Sydney $6

Richmond $8

Geelong $11

Port Adelaide $13

Melbourne $23

Western Bulldogs $16

Essendon $21

West Coast $67

Hawthorn $51

St Kilda $41

Collingwood $251

Fremantle $501

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