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AFL Market Update: Collingwood into $10

Tue, Jun 12, 11:51am by Staff Writer

Collingwood continued their march up the AFL ladder with a resounding 42 point win against Melbourne on Queens Birthday.

The Pies are now $10 to win the flag, equal fifth-favourites and enter the bye with four consecutive wins.

They dominated the Demons through the middle of the ground, scoring with ease. Their speed of ball movement was a highlight and their forward structure outplayed Melbourne’s.

The Pies are now $2.20 to finish in the top four, and with a favourable draw to end the season, if they maintain this form, they are every chance to claim a coveted top four berth.

It was a disappointing afternoon for the Demons who had their six-game winning streak snapped. They are $10 to win the flag and $2.35 to finish in the top four.

Fremantle pulled off the upset of round 12, defeating Adelaide in Perth by three points.

The Dockers are big outsiders to win the flag at $501 at Sportsbet, but the bigger story is the Crows.

Adelaide were one of the pre-season fancies to win the flag after making the 2017 Grand Final. They are now in 10th position on the ladder and $26 to win the Grand Final.

A top eight finish appears less likely for the Crows are the weeks pass, with Adelaide now out to $3.50 to play finals. After beating the Tigers in round two, the Crows were $1.10 to play finals.

Essendon kept in touch with the top eight, two games behind eighth placed Port Adelaide, with a 22 point win against Brisbane at the Gabba.

The Bombers are $151 to win the flag and $13 to play finals, but have won three of their past four matches, including back-to-back interstate games.

The Lions are one of the favoured teams in the least wins market. Brisbane are second last on the ladder with just one win this season and are $3.50 to have the least wins of any team this season.

St Kilda were humiliated in the opening quarter of their match against Sydney, conceding nine goals and falling behind by 48 points at the first change.

It was a ruthless performance from the Swans, who won by 71 points. Sydney are outright third favourites for the flag at $6. They are paying $1.60 for a top four finish, and are near certainties to play finals at $1.01.

The GWS Giants had the biggest win in their history, a 108 point thumping of the Gold Coast Suns.

The Giants are now just two points outside the top eight and $2.25 to play finals. They are $21 to win the flag after being among the pre-season favourites. Consecutive wins has also boosted their top four chances, now priced at $9.

It was another miserable afternoon for the Suns, who have regressed as the season has gone on. They are $6 in the least wins market, but are showing less improvement than Carlton and Brisbane as the season has gone on.

Geelong withstood the challenge of North Melbourne on Saturday afternoon, using a dominant final quarter to beat the Roos by 37 points.

Geelong are outright fourth favourites for the flag at $7 at Sportsbet, with their ruthless defence a key to their game style this season.

The Roos are $41 for the flag, but will be chuffed to play finals football in 2018, when many predicted their demise.

They are $1.75 to play finals and an unlikely top four finish is paying $7.

On Friday night, Port Adelaide got the better of Richmond by 14 points.

The Tigers were without Dustin Martin and lost their third match on the road this season, with all of their previous wins coming in Melbourne.

Richmond remain flag favourites at $4.50, with the Power now sneaking into the top eight and a $12 chance.

West Coast are second favourites at $5.50 and had a bye in round 12, along with Hawthorn, Carlton and the Western Bulldogs.

Sportsbet Markets Premiership Top 4 Top 8
Richmond $4.50 $1.27 N
West Coast $5.50 $1.15 N
Sydney $6 $1.60 $1.01
Geelong $7 $1.90 $1.06
Melbourne $10 $2.20 $1.07
Collingwood $10 $2.35 $1.07
Port Adelaide $12 $2.75 $1.12
GWS $21 $9 $2.25
Adelaide $26 $21 $3.50
Hawthorn $34 $15 $2.25
North Melbourne $41 $7 $1.75
Essendon $151 $251 $13
Fremantle $501 $501 $16
Western Bulldogs $501 $2501 $67
Carlton $1001 N $1001
St Kilda $1001 $5001 $1001
Gold Coast $1001 $5001 $1001
Brisbane $1001 $5001 $1001

N denotes no odds available

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