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AFL Market Update: Crows, Saints and Kangaroos surprise

Mon, Apr 23, 12:05pm by Staff Writer

The 2018 AFL season continues to be an even and unpredictable season, with a number of surprising results on the weekend.

The Adelaide Crows put a week off-field chatter behind them, where the leadership of captain Taylor Walker came into question to record a stunning 10-point win against Sydney at the SCG.

The Crows were big underdogs for the match and without a host of players including Rory Sloane and Eddie Betts.

Adelaide are $9 to win the flag, fourth in the line of betting, but the shortest priced team to make the top four at $1.66.

Sydney were disappointing at home once again, recording their second straight loss at the SCG. Despite that, the Swans remain Premiership favourites at $6.50 at Sportsbet and $1.66 to make the top four.

St Kilda and Greater Western Sydney played out the competition’s first draw of the season on Saturday afternoon.

A late, controversial no-call on a potential free kick to Jake Carlisle in the dying stages denied the Saints a chance for a game winning score, although they were lucky to be within striking distance of the Giants who were incredibly wasteful in front of goal.

GWS are still one of the flag favourites at $7 and are $1.75 to finish in the top four.

The two competition points do little to ease the pressure on the Saints who are $251 to win the competition and a huge $34 to make the finals after being one of the pre-season finals contenders.

Carlton were unable to get their first win of the season in Saturday afternoon in a trying match against West Coast at the MCG.

After a low-scoring first half, the Eagles always looked to have the answers as the Blues staged a revival in the third quarter.

West Coast were not fancied to make the top eight before the season began but after five rounds occupy outright first position on the ladder with four wins. They are now $1.45 to make the eight, an over-priced $3.25 to make the top four and $18 to win the flag.

Carlton are looking the goods for the least wins market, leading the way at $1.80, with the young Blues struggling in all facets of their game at the moment.

Port Adelaide’s strong start to the season has well and truly ended after a 34-point loss to Geelong.

The Power managed only 50 points as the Cats opened up the game in the final quarter. Geelong have put together back-to-back wins for the first time this season and are $2.35 to make the top four and $10 to win the flag.

Port are also $10 to win the competition, but comparing the two sides, they have a lot to do if they are to meet the benchmark of teams such as Geelong and Adelaide in this year’s competition.

Fremantle have enjoyed success in all three matches they have played at the new Optus Stadium as they thumped the Western Bulldogs by 54 points on Saturday night.

The Dockers are $51 to win the flag and $2.75 to make the top eight. They are exceeding expectations this season after a lean season in 2017 and look to be playing more expansive and attacking football than we are used to seeing from Ross Lyon coached teams.

The Dogs have only one win on the board this season and have been one of the major disappointments of the season so far.

They are $8 to make the top four and a huge $101 to win the flag.

North Melbourne are third on the ladder after five rounds following a resounding 28-point win against Hawthorn.

A dominant first-half set up the win for North as they booted 11 goals to three. Hawthorn mounted a comeback in the third quarter and drew within 19 points in the last, but North had all the answers.

The Kangaroos are $101 to win the competition this season, but are seeing some positive movement to make the top eight, where they are now $4.

Hawthorn are $1.80 to play finals and $16 to win the flag, but dearly miss Cyril Rioli and Paul Puopolo up forward.

Gold Coast hung on for a five-point win in the 15th Q-Clash at the Gabba on Sunday night.

The Suns led for most of the afternoon, before Lions rookie Cam Rayner had a long shot at goal on the run on the siren to win the game for Brisbane, which missed to the left.

It is the third win of the year for the Suns who are $251 to win the flag and $11 outsiders for the top eight, with considerable travel hampering their efforts this year.

Brisbane remains winless after five rounds and are $2.75 in the least wins market.

Two matches remain in round 5, with Melbourne and Richmond meeting at the MCG on Tuesday night. The Tigers are $1.47 favourites with the Demons at $2.70.

The traditional ANZAC Day clash between Essendon and Collingwood promises to be a great match, with the Pies $1.79 favourites and the Dons $2.05 outsiders at Sportsbet.

Sportsbet Markets Premiership Top 4 Top 8
Sydney $6.50 $1.66 $1.09
Richmond $6.50 $1.90 $1.09
GWS $7 $1.75 $1.10
Adelaide $9 $1.66 $1.14
Port Adelaide $10 $2.10 $1.25
Geelong $10 $2.35 $1.16
Melbourne $16 $4.50 $2.10
Hawthorn $16 $4 $1.80
West Coast $18 $3.25 $1.45
Collingwood $26 $6 $2.20
Essendon $26 $4 $2.20
Fremantle $51 $10 $2.75
Western Bulldogs $101 $26 $8
North Melbourne $101 $14 $4
Gold Coast $251 $51 $11
St Kilda $251 $101 $34
Carlton $501 $301 $51
Brisbane $501 $301 $81

 


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