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AFL Market Update: Tigers a class above

Mon, Apr 30, 11:37am by Staff Writer

Footy fans were treated to another low-scoring round of football across the board, with a short turnaround from ANZAC Day proving difficult to overcome for Collingwood and Essendon in the second half of their matches.

The Pies fought hard for three quarters against Richmond on Sunday afternoon but ran out of the legs in the second half falling by 43 points.

The Tigers are on top of the ladder for the second consecutive week and have been the big movers in the Premiership market this week.

Richmond are now competition favourites at $5 at Sportsbet, in from $6.50 last week.

The Pies ANZAC Day win shortened their outright odds to $21, but their move has been in the Top 8 market where they are now a short $1.60.

The GWS Giants notched another victory on the weekend, this time against the winless Brisbane Lions by 34 points in Sydney.

It was the Giants’ first match at Spotless Stadium this season and they dominated large parts of the match, with the scoreboard not telling the full story.

They are equal second flag favourites at $7 and $1.60 to make the top four.

It looks to be another disappointing season for the Lions who are $1001 to win the flag and $3 in the least wins market behind Carlton.

Despite being without forwards Lance Franklin and Sam Reid, the Swans shocked Geelong at GMHBA Stadium, their third win in a row at the ground by 17 points.

The Swans used a seven goal to one final quarter to come back from 22 points down and record a valuable win.

They are $7 to win the flag and $1.70 to make the top 4.

It was a disappointing loss for the Cats who dominated the second and third quarters before faltering in the last. They are $2.35 to make the top 4 and $11 to win the flag.

Port Adelaide returned to the winners circle after two lean weeks beating North Melbourne by 33 points on Saturday afternoon.

The Kangaroos were never in the contest, with Port’s ball pressure superb and North’s disposal poor.

The Power are fifth favourites to win the flag at $11, with Port $2.25 to make the top four.

After a couple of rousing wins, the Kangaroos fell back down on Saturday. They are now $23 to make the four, $7 to play finals and a big $101 to win the flag.

West Coast have been the surprise team of the season thus far, winning their sixth Western Derby in a row on Sunday afternoon by eight points.

The Eagles are second on the ladder, behind the Tigers by only percentage and put a poor first quarter behind them to a record another win over the Dockers.

The Eagles remain firm outsiders for the flag at $16 and remain under rated to make the top 4 at $2.50, in from $3.25 last week.

Fremantle lost their first match at Optus Stadium but will be encouraged by their play in recent weeks having performed better than expected.

The Dockers are $2.85 to make the finals and $34 to win the flag.

It was another disappointing loss for Essendon, their second in the past week as they were blown away by Melbourne by six goals.

The bombers led at half-time but looked lethargic after the break as the Demons piled on 12 second half goals to set up a big win.

In a must-win for the both teams, the Bombers were very disappointing going forward and their season is slowly slipping away with only two wins so far.

They are $34 to win the flag and big outsiders to make the final 8, drifting from $4 to $5 to play finals.

It was an important win for the Demons who are $26 to win the flag and $2.50 to play finals.

There were expected wins on the weekend for Hawthorn and Adelaide against less fancied opposition on Saturday night.

The Hawks sit in fourth position on the ladder and are $1.50 to play finals and $18 to win the flag at Sportsbet.

Adelaide are $7.50 flag favourites after their 48 point win against Gold Coast.

The Suns could not back up from their Q Clash win, losing their third match of the season and are $501 outsiders for the flag. As are the Saints who continue a poor season as they faded badly in the final quarter to lose by 35 points to the Hawks.

In a dour Friday night affair, the Western Bulldogs beat Carlton by 21 points. Neither side dominated the match, with the game littered with poor skill execution, as both sides do not look up to top eight standard.

The Dogs are $126 to win the competition, with the Blues favourites for the wooden spoon at $1.60.

Sportsbet Markets Premiership Top 4 Top 8
Richmond $5 $1.35 $1.01
GWS $7 $1.60 $1.05
Sydney $7 $1.70 $1.05
Adelaide $7.50 $1.75 $1.07
Port Adelaide $11 $2.25 $1.28
Geelong $11 $2.35 $1.30
West Coast $16 $2.50 $1.33
Hawthorn $18 $3.50 $1.50
Collingwood $21 $4.25 $1.60
Melbourne $26 $6 $2.50
Essendon $34 $15 $5
Fremantle $34 $10 $2.85
North Melbourne $101 $23 $7
Western Bulldogs $126 $23 $7
Gold Coast $501 $81 $21
St Kilda $501 $81 $26
Carlton $1001 $401 $251
Brisbane $1001 $401 $251

 


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