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AFL Market Update: Tigers move into $3.75

Mon, Jun 18, 5:22pm by Staff Writer

Richmond has firmed as Premiership favourites after a hard-fought 18-point win against Geelong in wet conditions at the MCG on Sunday.

The Tigers are now $3.75 to win the flag at Sportsbet, after a four goal to one final quarter against the Cats.

Richmond led by only a point at three-quarter time, and with the game in the balance, the Tigers showed their trademark final quarter dominance, to record their 10th win of the season.

The Cats are $10 to win the flag, but will be disappointed with how they faded away late in the match. They took a 15-point lead in to quarter time, but trialed by two points at the main break.

West Coast and Sydney played out a close match on Friday night, with the Swans stamping themselves as Premiership contenders once again.

They have leapfrogged the Eagles into second favourites for the flag after a 15-point win at the SCG.

The Swans are now $5.50 for the flag, with the Eagles slipping to $6.

Goals were hard to come by in the early stage of the match, with only one goal scored between the two sides in the first quarter.

The Swans broke the game open in the third term, booting five goals to one. They again kicked five goals in the third quarter, to take a 20-point lead in to three quarter time.

Both the Eagles ($1.16) and Swans ($1.36) are heavy favourites to finish in the top four this season.

Port Adelaide cemented their spot in the top eight with a massive 57-point win against the Western Bulldogs on Thursday night.

In front of the lowest crowd at the new Adelaide Oval, the Power kicked 12 goals to seven in the second half, with the Dogs unable to keep up with Port from the opening bounce.

The Power are now $2.40 to finish in the top four, $1.04 to play finals and a trendy pick to win the flag at $11.

The Dogs season continues to be a poor one and they are $101 to make finals, with only four wins so far this season.

Carlton’s horrendous season went from bad-to-worse on Saturday afternoon as they were embarrassed by Fremantle at Etihad Stadium.

The road-poor Dockers booted the first 12 goals of the match to take a 70-point lead into half-time.

Carlton responded in the second half, kicking six goals to three, but the match was all-but-over at quarter time.

It was another disappointing setback for the Blues, as they appearing lethargic and disinterested for the entire first half on Saturday.

Fremantle have firmed as a finals hope, moving in to $10 to play in September. They remain huge outsiders for the flag at $251 and are 12th on the ladder.

The Blues remain on the bottom of the table and 17 percentage points behind the Lions. They are the favourites in the least wins market at $1.75 at Sportsbet.

Hawthorn earned a much-needed win on Saturday night, thumping Adelaide by 56 points.

That result is sure to send shockwaves through the Crows camp, with the team losing four games in a row and two by huge margins.

Adelaide were uncompetitive in the second half as the Hawks kicked nine goals to one.

One of the pre-season flag fancies, the Crows have slipped to $67 in the outright market and are now outsiders to play finals at a huge $7.

The Hawks are $1.55 to play finals and sit just outside the top eight in ninth position. They are $26 to win the flag.

St Kilda produced a rousing final quarter comeback to potentially save coach Alan Richardson’s job at the club.

The Saints trailed by as many as 39 points in the match and kept the Suns scoreless in the final quarter, overcoming a 32 point three quarter time deficit.

It was a crushing loss for the Suns, who were more deserving of victory. Both sides are not in contention for the flag at $1001, and are priced at $7 in the least wins market behind Carlton and Brisbane ($3).

Sportsbet Markets Premiership Top 8 Top 4
Richmond $3.75 N $1.16
Sydney $5.50 N $1.36
West Coast $6 N $1.16
Melbourne $10 $1.07 $2.35
Geelong $10 $1.11 $2.60
Collingwood $10 $1.07 $2.35
Port Adelaide $11 $1.04 $2.40
GWS $21 $2.25 $9
Hawthorn $26 $1.55 $6
North Melbourne $41 $1.75 $6
Adelaide $67 $7 $51
Essendon $151 $13 $251
Fremantle $251 $10 $151
Brisbane $1001 $1001 $5001
Carlton $1001 $1001 N
St Kilda $1001 $1001 $5001
Gold Coast $1001 $1001 $5001
Western Bulldogs $1001 $101 $2501


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