Fri, May 25, 3:26pm by Staff Writer
Round 10 of the 2018 season concludes on Sunday with three matches, including Melbourne hosting Adelaide in Alice Springs.
Hawthorn versus West Coast
Sunday, 27 May 2018 at 1.10pm AEST at Etihad Stadium
The Hawks have lost two on the trot and three of their past four games and will be underdogs at $2.25 against the first-placed Eagles who come to Melbourne as $1.66 favourites.
Hawthorn were humiliated by the previously winless Brisbane in the second half of their round 9 clash at the Gabba, eventually losing by 56 points.
The Eagles crushed the Premiers Richmond by 47 points on Sunday and will be hoping for their ninth win in a row.
Both of these teams are high-scoring, with the Eagles ranked second at 103 points per game, while the Hawks are fifth with an average of 90 points per game.
Hawthorn has won three of the past five matches between these two sides, including all three played in Melbourne, including the 2015 Grand Final.
Despite this being a Hawks home game, it will be played at Etihad Stadium, which gives a slight advantage to the Eagles, although they have won at both venues this year already.
The Hawks welcome back James Frawley and Jaeger O’Meara among an extended bench, while the Eagles have no omissions.
We expect the Hawks to stop their downward trajectory and the Eagles to have a let down after an emotional win against the team that everyone wants to beat, Richmond.
Hawthorn’s odds have drifted all week but are at a value price for the upset.
Best bet- Hawthorn Big Win Little Win 1-39 at $2.75
Melbourne versus Adelaide
Sunday, 27 May 2018 at 3.25pm AEST at TIO Traeger Park, Alice Springs
The most high-profile match to ever be staged in Alice Springs takes place on Sunday afternoon when the Demons host Adelaide.
The Demons are slight $1.78 favourites for the match, with the Crows $2.08 outsiders.
In a meeting of third versus fourth, Demons off-season recruit Jake Lever will also play his first game against his former club.
The Demons have enjoyed a resurgence over the past month, winning all four of their games and catapulting into the top four.
This is their first real test against a genuine finals team and will provide a true gauge as to their improvement in 2018.
The Crows won a gritty game against the Western Bulldogs as they kicked six goals to one in the second half in trying conditions.
Adelaide have not been at their sharpest this season, but will relish to opportunity to take on an in-form Demons side and will have extra motivation playing against their former teammate Lever.
Melbourne do not have a good record at TIO Traeger Park, despite this being its fifth home game at the venue. They have only managed one victory at the ground against the Gold Coast.
At the selection table, both sides have named extended benches with no omissions. Matt Crouch is a notable inclusion for the Crows, while for the Demons, Jeff Garlett joins the bench.
It is hard to split these two sides and with conditions likely to be warm, we are leaning towards Adelaide in an upset.
The Demons have beaten the lesser teams in the competition this season, but question marks remain as to their true credentials.
Best bet- Adelaide Big Win Little Win 1-39 at $2.60
Fremantle versus North Melbourne
Sunday, 27 May 2018 at 4.40pm AEST at Optus Stadium
The final match of round 10 features two surprise teams of 2018 when Fremantle host North Melbourne.
Both of these sides were touted as being in the bottom four but have had a good first half of the season.
Fremantle have enjoyed a superb record at Optus Stadium and are $1.80 favourites for the match. North are $2.05 outsiders.
The Kangaroos sit in seventh position on the ladder after a 43-point win against GWS last weekend. The Dockers sit 12th, but have been impressive in all of their matches at Optus Stadium this season, losing only to the Eagles.
In selection news, Stephen Hill and Danyle Pearce are among five inclusions for the Dockers, while the Roos have opted to rest Majak Daw.
These two sides have played close games the past four times they have met, including Fremantle narrowly beating the Roos last season at Etihad Stadium.
Fremantle are being priced incredibly generously considering the dominance they had had over sides at Optus Stadium this season, albeit against poorer teams than the Kangaroos.
This will be a real test for North, but we are siding with the recent statistics and a narrow Fremantle win.
Best bet- Fremantle to win at $1.80
AFL Round 10 Sunday Odds – Sportsbet
Hawthorn $2.25 v West Coast $1.66
Melbourne $1.78 v Adelaide $2.08
Fremantle $1.80 v North Melbourne $2.05
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