Fri, Jun 22, 5:20pm by Staff Writer
Round 14 of the 2018 continues on Saturday and Sunday, with the pick of the matches being arch-rivals Collingwood and Carlton meeting at the MCG.
Brisbane versus GWS Giants
Saturday, 23 June 2018 at 4.35pm AEST at the Gabba
The Lions remain in 17th position on the ladder with only a single win this season, but have shown gradual improvement and increased competitiveness for the majority of the season.
The Giants are $1.30 favourites to account for Brisbane for the second time this season, with the hosts $3.57 outsiders at Sportsbet.
When these teams met in round six, it was the Giants who were 34-point winners in a scrappy encounter in Sydney.
The Giants kicked 10.17 for the match, while the Lions booted 5.13 for the game.
GWS has won their past two matches against Adelaide and Gold Coast and will be hoping to move into the top eight, as they currently sit in 10th position on the ladder with a 10-5 record.
The Giants have won the past five matches between the team, beating the Lions by more than 10 goals on their past two visits to the Gabba, scoring 146 points on each occasions.
Recent results suggest that the Giants are finally clicking into gear this season and they should have no trouble accounting for the Lions in Brisbane.
The Giants have only covered the handicap as favourites twice this season, in round one and last round. We expect them to buck that trend and get on a roll.
Best bet- GWS Giants to cover 23.5-point handicap at $1.92
Western Bulldogs versus North Melbourne
Saturday, 23 June 2018 at 7.25pm AEST at Etihad Stadium
The Western Bulldogs continue to be one of the disappointments of the 2018 season, losing convincingly to Port Adelaide last Thursday night in Adelaide.
They enter this round 14 home match against North Melbourne as $4.60 underdogs, with the Roos $1.20 favourites.
North has been the surprise team of the season, sitting in eight position with a 7-5 record.
The last time these two sides met was in round 14 last season, when the Dogs won by a single point in a thrilling match.
The last five matches between the two sides have been decided by four goals or less. Despite that, North has been installed as near five-goal favourites for the match at Sportsbet.
The Dogs have been ravaged by injury this season and will be without Jack Macrae and Easton Wood among others for this match.
North are coming into the game off a bye and a 37-point loss against Geelong, but will have no problem accounting for this low-scoring and poor Bulldogs team on Saturday night.
Best bet- North Melbourne Big Win Little Win 40+ at $2.40
Collingwood versus Carlton
Sunday, 24 June 2018 at 3.20pm AEST at the MCG
Collingwood and Carlton have drastically contrasting form lines heading into this match.
The Pies are on a roll this season, with eight wins under their belt as they are firmly entrenched in the top eight, in sixth position on the ladder.
The Blues are a mess at the moment and were awful in the first half against Fremantle on Saturday. They conceded 12 goals to nil at half-time to trail by 70 points at the main break.
The Pies are $1.07 favourites for the match on Sunday, with the bottom-placed Blues $8.50 at Sportsbet.
The two sides met in round three this season, with Collingwood running out four goal winners.
The Pies are a far better team in round 14 than they were in round three and should easily defeat the Blues on Sunday.
The clubs have met 70 times at the MCG, with the Blues holding a 37-33 advantage.
The Pies average 416 disposals per game this season to lead the AFL, while the Blues are second last for possession with 343 disposals per game.
All of the statistics point to a Pies win, as Carlton are one of the competitions worst teams in terms of marks inside 50, inside 50s and goals per game. By contrast, Collingwood are ranked in the top eight in all of those categories.
Best bet- Collingwood to cover 46.5-point handicap at $1.92
AFL Round 14 Saturday and Sunday Odds – Sportsbet
Brisbane $3.57 v GWS $1.30
Western Bulldogs $4.60 v North Melbourne $1.20
Collingwood $1.07 v Carlton $8.50
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