Fri, Jun 29, 8:22am by Staff Writer
Round 15 of the 2018 AFL season continues on Sunday, with the Bombers match against the Kangaroos the pick of the matches.
Melbourne versus St Kilda
Sunday, 1 July 2018 at 1.10pm AEST at the MCG
The Demons will be looking to bounce back from back-to-back losses when they face the Saints at the MCG on Sunday.
Melbourne are $1.11 favourites at Sportsbet, with the Saints $6.50 outsiders.
Melbourne found themselves in the top four three weeks ago after an impressive urn of form that saw them win three matches in a row. They have now lost against Collingwood and Port Adelaide in successive weeks, two sides also vying for a position in the top four.
St Kilda was fortunate to register its second win of the season in round 13 against the Suns, coming back from more than six goals down.
They will find the competition much more difficult to overcome on Sunday, particularly if they play lethargically for the first three quarters as they did on the Gold Coast.
The Saints have struggled for a consistent four-quarter performance all season, and with the Demons fresh off the bye, they should have no trouble accounting for this bottom-four side.
The Demons have won the past three matches between the two sides, including a 39-point win at Etihad Stadium earlier this season.
Melbourne led at every change and won every quarter in a dominant display. They should cover the 38.5-point line in this match and are playing at the MCG, where they produce their best results.
Best bet- Melbourne to cover 38.5-point handicap at $1.90
Essendon versus North Melbourne
Sunday, 1 July 2018 at 3.20pm AEST at Etihad Stadium
Essendon and North Melbourne meet in one of the games of the round on Sunday.
The bookmakers cannot split either side, with each priced at $1.90 to win.
Essendon produced one of the biggest odds-against wins of the season last round when they upset the Eagles by 28 points.
North Melbourne left it until the final minute to beat the lowly Western Bulldogs, and will need to play much better, particularly in the first half, if they are to beat the Bombers.
The Roos are clinging to a spot in the top eight, with the Bombers two games outside the eight.
North has been victorious in four of their past five matches against the Dons, but did lose the teams only meeting in round 18 last season by 27 points.
Essendon have been an up-and-down proposition in 2018, with punters finding more consistency and value backing North.
Based on performances during the season, the Kangaroos deserve to be favourites and are a great price in this contest.
Best bet- North Melbourne Big Win Little Win 1-39 at $2.35
Fremantle versus Brisbane
Sunday, 1 July 2018 at 4.40pm AEST at Optus Stadium
The Dockers will start as 25.5-point favourites against the Lions when the two sides meet to close out round 15.
Fremantle are priced at $1.27 on the money line, with the Lions $3.85 outsiders at Sportsbet.
Brisbane has registered only a single win this season, but have been the more impressive of the current bottom four teams in terms of their game style and development during 2018.
The Lions claimed a huge win when these two teams last met in round 12, 2017, winning by 57 points.
The Dockers have been impressive at home this season, losing only to North and the Eagles in Perth this season.
A rare road victory against the Blues before the bye will surely buoy the Dockers, who have played better than their 5-7 record shows.
Their road form has been poor, but they are formidable at home and the Lions will struggle.
Best bet- Fremantle to cover 25.5-point line at $1.90
AFL Round 15 Sunday Odds – Sportsbet
Melbourne $1.11 v St Kilda $6.50
Essendon $1.90 v North Melbourne $1.90
Fremantle $1.27 v Brisbane $3.85
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