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AFL Round 16 Sunday Specials

Fri, Jul 6, 11:04am by Staff Writer

The 2018 AFL season continues on Sunday with three matches to close out round 16.

North Melbourne versus Gold Coast

Sunday, 8 July 2018 at 1.10pm AEST at Etihad Stadium

North Melbourne will be hoping to get their season back on track as they have slipped outside the top eight.

They host Gold Coast as $1.10 favourites on Sunday, with the Suns $7 outsiders.

Gold Coast are in wretched form and after winning two of their first three matches this season have lost 10 of their past 11 matches.

North were outgunned in a shootout last Sunday against the Bombers at Etihad Stadium, and boast a poor recent record against the Suns.

Gold Coast has won five of its past seven matches against North, including aa 16 point win in round one in treacherous conditions in Cairns.

With plenty of speculation in the media that injured captain Tom Lynch will be playing elsewhere in 2019, the Suns onfield performance appears just as shambolic as its off-field circumstances.

The Suns have struggled for a consistent avenue to goal this season, with North Melbourne averaging 87 points per game this season compared to the Suns’ measly 61 points per game total.

The Suns are also at the bottom of the table when its comes to disposals, contested possessions, centre clearances, inside 50s and disposal efficiency. It is no wonder they are in the bottom four given those stats.

Gold Coast did win at Etihad Stadium in round two this season, but it was against Carlton.

The Roos will be far too strong and a wager on them to cover the handicap is the way to go in this one.

Best bet- North Melbourne to cover 48.5-point handicap at $1.92

Essendon versus Collingwood

Sunday, 8 July 2018 at 3.20pm AEST at the MCG

Arch-rivals Essendon and Collingwood meet at the MCG on Sunday afternoon, with both sides in excellent form.

The Bombers have won two on the trot against top eight teams, but face a stern test against the Pies on Sunday.

Collingwood are $1.62 favourites to win the match, with the Bombers $2.30 outsiders.

The Pies have won their past six matches, albeit against sides not in the top eight or in poor form. Wins against Gold Coast, Carlton, St Kilda, the Western Bulldogs and Fremantle are included in that mix, as well as a big win against Melbourne on Queens Birthday.

Collingwood have beaten the teams they should have, but it would be a surprise to see them remaining in the top four at seasons end.

Essendon started the season off miserably and even sacked assistant coach Mark Neeld after a loss to Carlton.

Since then the Bombers have beaten GWS, West Coast and Brisbane on the road, as well as North Melbourne.

This weekend’s match will provide a stern test for the Bombers as they will be eager to atone for their 49 point loss on ANZAC Day.

With both sides in form this should be an interesting match and it is difficult to split them. The Bombers are too short in the head-to-head market, with the Tribet of either team to win by under 15.5 points at $2.50 good value.

Best bet- Tribet either team under 15.5 points at $2.50

West Coast versus GWS Giants

Sunday, 8 July 2018 at 4.40pm AEST at Optus Stadium

The West Coast Eagles have lost three matches in a row since climbing to the top of the ladder and will need to stop the rot against an in-form Giants side on Sunday.

GWS are $2.35 outsiders to win the match, with the Eagles $1.62 favourites.

The Eagles were too good for the visitors in round eight this season in Sydney, winning by 25 points despite being undermanned and without Josh Kennedy and Luke Shuey

This Sunday the Eagles will still be without Kennedy and Jack Darling who’s absence has coincided with the teams poor run of form.

Since Kennedy and Darling’s injuries, the Eagles have slid from 100 points per game to 62 points per game in the space of a month.

The Giants are in a good run of form, winning their past four matches, including one at the Adelaide Oval against the Crows.

Last week’s gritty win against the Hawks in Sydney moved the Giants back into the top eight and one of the pre-season Premiership fancies is finally starting to look like a side worthy of the accolade.

This is a match of two teams with contrasting form lines. The Giants won their last match in Perth against the Eagles by eight points last season, with winning interstate not a barrier to victory for them.

Best bet- GWS Giants Big Win Little Win 1-39 at $2.80

AFL Round 16 Sunday Odds – Sportsbet

North Melbourne $1.10 v Gold Coast $7

Essendon $2.30 v Collingwood $1.62

West Coast $1.62 v GWS $2.35


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