Fri, Jul 27, 8:32am by Staff Writer
Round 19 of the 2018 AFL season concludes on Sunday, with all three matches having potential finals ramifications.
North Melbourne versus West Coast
Sunday, 29 July 2018 at 1.10pm AEST at Blundstone Arena, Hobart
North Melbourne host West Coast in Hobart, with the Roos in desperate need of a win to keep their finals hopes alive.
The home side are $2 underdogs for the match at Sportsbet, with the travelling Eagles $1.80 favourites.
After a narrow loss to Sydney in round 17, the Roos were very disappointing in round 18 against the Pies, losing by 11 goals.
It was another dominant performance for the Eagles, this time a nine-goal win against an injury ravaged Western Bulldogs in Perth.
Since taking home games to Hobart, North Melbourne are an impressive 12-3 at the venue.
This season the Roos have managed an 86-point win against Carlton and 43-point win against GWS at the ground.
By contrast, the Eagles have played little football at Blunstone Arena, winning one match and losing the other.
These two sides last met all the way back in round one last season, when the Eagles were 43-point winners at Etihad Stadium.
On that afternoon, Josh Kennedy booted seven goals for the visitors as they kicked 21 goals for the match.
Since Kennedy’s return from injury, West Coast have looked a markedly better side and a win will see them cement their position in the top two on the AFL ladder, or even overtake Richmond should the Tigers lose to the Pies on Saturday.
North Melbourne looked out of ideas last weekend and after a season in which they have exceeded expectations, they could be fatiguing.
Best bet- West Coast to win at $1.80
Western Bulldogs versus Port Adelaide
Saturday, 29 July 2018 at 3.20pm AEST at Mars Stadium, Ballarat
The Western Bulldogs and Port Adelaide clash for the second time at Mars Stadium in Ballarat, with the Power victorious late last season by 17 points.
Port are in desperate need of a win after two limp performances against Fremantle and GWS.
Their top four hopes are fading, but they are $1.39 favourites to stop the rot against the Dogs who are priced at $3.02 at Sportsbet.
The Dogs have been ravaged by injury in recent weeks, but their form over the course of the season has them fortunate to not be among the bottom four teams on the table.
In their only other match at Mars Stadium this season, they managed a narrow nine point win against Gold Coast.
The two sides clashed on Thursday Night Football in round 13, when the Power romped to a 57-point victory.
This match shouldn’t be as one-sided, but Port are good value at the 18.5-point handicap if weather conditions remain fine as forecast.
Best bet- Port Adelaide to cover 18.5-point handicap at $1.92
Fremantle versus Hawthorn
Sunday, 29 July 2018 at 4.40pm AEST at Optus Stadium, Perth
Fremantle host Hawthorn at Optus Stadium on Sunday afternoon in the last match of round 19.
The Dockers are $2.90 underdogs to win the match, with the Hawks $1.42 favourites.
Fremantle have played their best football at home this season and offer tremendous value as underdogs against the up-and-down Hawks.
Hawthorn has suffered two losses to the Lions this season and outside of Launceston and the MCG, are hardly a certainty.
What is in the Hawks’ favour is that they shouldn’t struggle for motivation in this match, given that a loss would set them back in their pursuit of a finals berth.
They have won the past four matches against Fremantle, two of which were in Perth.
Fremantle’s scalps at home this season have included Port Adelaide, Adelaide and Essendon, teams which are similar in stature to the Hawks.
In the upset of the round, the Dockers are capable of narrowly beating the Hawks, so backing them either at the head-to-head, or 1-39 margin markets are the way to go.
Best bet- Fremantle Big Win Little Win 1-39 at $3.40
AFL Sunday Round 19 Odds – Sportsbet
North Melbourne $2 v West Coast $1.80
Western Bulldogs $3.02 v Port Adelaide $1.39
Fremantle $2.90 v Hawthorn $1.42
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