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AFL Round 4 2018: Bets of the Round Part 1

Wed, Apr 11, 12:06pm by Staff Writer

Port Adelaide sits atop of the ladder as the only undefeated team in the competition after three rounds. With only Brisbane and Carlton yet to register a win in 2018, this season’s competition once again looks as open as ever, with many results already surprising pundits.

Adelaide versus Collingwood

Friday, 13 April 2018 at 7.50pm AEST at Adelaide Oval

The Crows have clicked into gear after a lackluster round one performance against Essendon with back-to-back wins against Richmond and St Kilda.

Adelaide used a big third quarter to pull away from the hapless Saints and now return home with a chance to extend their winning streak to three games as they host Collingwood.

The hosts are short priced favourites at $1.18 while the Pies are $4.95 underdogs. The Crows are favoured by 31.5 points at the line at $1.92.

Collingwood managed their first win of the 2018 season against arch rival Carlton last Friday night, but the game was far from pretty.

Both sides struggled to move the football and their disposal efficiency was poor. The skill level the Pies exhibited on Friday night will not get them close to beating an Adelaide side that is full of superstar talent.

It is a challenge to see how Collingwood will be able to kick a big enough score against the Crows in Adelaide to trouble last year’s minor Premiers.

Adelaide has won four of the past five matches between the two sides, with a miraculous 50-point comeback last season at the MCG resulting in a 103-all draw between the two sides in one of the games of 2017.

Adelaide should romp home in a one sided encounter.

Best bet- Adelaide Big Win Little Win 40+ at $2.25

GWS versus Fremantle

Saturday, 14 April at 1.45pm AEST at Manuka Oval

The Giants will be disappointed with their last start loss to Sydney, but it has been almost a season since the Swans lost consecutive matches, so it was always going to be tough going for the Giants.

They face a far easier task this weekend when they host Fremantle in Canberra.

The Giants are $1.15 favourites with the Dockers paying $5.50.

Jeremy Cameron once again led the Giants in the goal scoring department last weekend with three goals.

Goal scoring has traditionally been Fremantle’s issue under Ross Lyon, but the young Dockers are playing a much more free-flowing style in 2018 and it is paying dividends.

Back-to-back home wins against Essendon and Gold Coast leaves the Dockers with a 2-1 record and they will visit Canberra full of confidence on Saturday.

Nat Fyfe is returning to his Brownlow winning form of two seasons ago, with Lachie Neale and Aaron Sandilands also highlights in the Freo midfield.

The 34.5-point handicap favouring the Giants is far too big in this contest, given that the Giants only beat the Dockers by 10 points last season.

Best bet- Fremantle to cover 34.5-point handicap at $1.92  

Western Bulldogs versus Sydney

Saturday, 14 April 2018 at 4.40pm AEST at Etihad Stadium

The Bulldogs got their season going last weekend after a shock win against Essendon. They now face one of the Premiership favourites Sydney at Etihad Stadium as $3 underdogs.

The Swans are roaring favourites at $1.39 and are favoured by 16.5-points.

The Dogs were inaccurate in front of goal early in their match against the Bombers, registered 1.9 at one stage in the first quarter.

Their tenacity and ferocious returned as they resembled a team close to the Premiership winning outfit of 2016.

Sydney battled through ups-and-downs against the Giants before pulling away in the last quarter to record a 16-point win. They enjoy playing at Etihad Stadium, but the Dogs have been somewhat of a bogey team for the Swans in recent teams.

The Dogs have won four of the past five matches between the sides, including the 2016 Grand Final.

Sydney are in far better form than the Dogs at present and while they showed something against the Bombers, this is a step up in class for the sons of the West.

The Swans should get the job done, but it won’t be a blow out.

Best bet- Sydney Big Win Little Win 1-39 at $2.20

Elsewhere on Saturday, the Tigers ($1.08), North Melbourne ($1.56) and West Coast ($1.14) should all get the job done against lesser opposition.

AFL Round 3 Odds – Sportsbet

Adelaide $1.18 v Collingwood $4.95

GWS $1.15 v Fremantle $5.50

Richmond $1.08 v Brisbane $8

Western Bulldogs $3 v Sydney $1.39

North Melbourne $1.56 v Carlton $2.44

West Coast $1.14 v Gold Coast $5.75

Essendon $2.29 v Port Adelaide $1.63

Hawthorn $2.16 v Melbourne $1.70

Geelong $1.22 v St Kilda $4.35


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