Wed, May 2, 10:14am by Staff Writer
Round 7 of the 2018 AFL season kicks off on Friday night with the Cats hosting the Giants in Geelong, with both teams fancied to make finals and even finish in the top four this season.
Elsewhere, the Eagles look to continue their superb start to the season as they hunt their sixth win in a row when they host Port Adelaide on Saturday afternoon.
Geelong versus GWS Giants
Friday, 4 May 2018 at 7.50pm AEST at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
The Cats will be looking to bounce back from a disappointing loss in round 6 where they were overrun by the Swans before losing by 17 points.
Geelong led for most of the day before a seven goal final quarter from the Swans, who were without Lance Franklin, proved to be match-winning.
The hosts start as $1.62 favourites at home against the travelling Giants who are $2.30.
GWS has not played its sharpest football this season, but only has a single loss through six matches.
Against Brisbane last weekend they could have beaten the Lions by 10 or 12 goals, but the final margin was closer to six goals. GWS haven’t had the killer instinct that we have become accustomed to seeing from them in the past two seasons and are tending to let teams remain in the game when they shouldn’t be.
Geelong’s three most recent losses in Geelong have all been against Sydney, with the Cats pummeling the Giants by 44 points last time these two teams met.
It is not often Geelong will be only 9.5-point favourites at home, but they should get the job done in a low-scoring contest.
Best bet- Geelong Big Win Little Win 1-39 at $2.10
Western Bulldogs versus Gold Coast
Saturday, 5 May 2018 at 1.45pm AEST at Mars Stadium, Ballarat
The Western Bulldogs take their second ever home game to Ballarat when they host the Suns on Saturday afternoon.
The Dogs managed an unconvincing win against the winless Blues last Friday night by 21 points and have been disappointing this season.
Gold Coast weren’t embarrassed by Adelaide in their last start, despite the hosts threatening to blow the game open several time.
The Suns start as huge outsiders for this match at $5 at Sportsbet with the Dogs incredibly short favourites at $1.17.
The Dogs are giving away a 32.5-point start which is ridiculous given the fact that these two teams are playing quite similarly this season.
The Suns have shown that they can win away from home, but they have managed wins against Brisbane and Carlton, both of whom are winless.
There is an opinion that the Suns’ extensive travel schedule will catch up with them, but there is little confidence in laying over five goals to a Dogs side that struggles to score.
Best bet- Gold Coast to cover 32.5-point handicap at $1.92
West Coast versus Port Adelaide
Saturday, 5 May 2018 at 4.35pm AEST at Optus Stadium, Perth
The Eagles are flying high this season, winners of five matches in a row, including last weekends eight point win in the Western Derby
The Eagles start as narrow $1.78 favourites when they host Port Adelaide who are $2.05.
Both of these teams are vying for a position in the top four, but realistically there is only room for one of these sides.
Of the two, West Coast have been the more consistent team and justified favourites.
Port put in their best performance of the season last week when they hounded North for four quarters on their way to a 33-point victory, but managing the wide expanses of Optus Stadium could be a challenge for the Power.
This fixture has been dominated by the away side in recent times, with the past five home-and-away matches all going the way of the visitor.
An unforgettable extra time final last season at the Adelaide Oval went West Coast’s way thanks to a Luke Shuey goal last in the contest.
Revenge will undoubtedly be on Port’s mind, but the Eagles are playing too well at the moment and should make it six wins on the trot.
Best bet- West Coast Big Win Little Win 1-39 at $2.25
Other matches on Saturday include a must-win game for Essendon who have lost two in a row. They host Hawthorn at the MCG as $2.30 underdogs with the Hawks $1.62 favourites. The Swans are $1.14 to beat North who are $5.75, despite the former being without Dan Hannebury and Lance Franklin.
The Crows are the shortest priced team of the round at $1.05 to inflict more pain on the winless Blues who are $10.50 for their clash at the Adelaide Oval. The line is set at over nine goals, with Adelaide to win by 100+ paying $9.
AFL Round 7 Odds – Sportsbet
Geelong $1.62 v GWS $2.30
Western Bulldogs $1.17 v Gold Coast $5
Essendon $2.30 v Hawthorn $1.62
West Coast $1.78 v Port Adelaide $2.05
Sydney $1.14 v North Melbourne $5.75
Adelaide $1.05 v Carlton $10.50
Richmond $1.14 v Fremantle $5.75
St Kilda $3.27 v Melbourne $1.34
Brisbane $3.11 v Collingwood $1.37
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