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AFL Round 9 Betting Preview

Wed, May 22, 2:21pm by Clarinda Campbell

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AFL Round 9Round 8 was just one of those rounds – upsets. A crowd of 25,000 left the SCG a little deflated after seeing their Swans cling to a draw. The Magpies got one over the competition leaders in the Cats and the Lions finally gave their fans something to cheer about when they defeated the highly fancied Bombers side.

The most profitable return from our tips was in the Eagles and Kangaroos game last week.  A small investment would have reaped a nice return on the $4.20 for the Eagles to win by 1-19 and $2.15 for the suggested wire to wire bet.

We are coming into Round 9 of the competition this week, which is also Indigenous Round. Here is a look at this week’s matches:

Collingwood Magpies vs Sydney Swans

7:50pm, Friday 24th May 2013 at MCG

What a match this will be – Collingwood are coming off an upset victory against Geelong and the Swans drew with Fremantle. If anything, Collingwood were impressive and the Swans put in an indifferent performance and I think they were lucky to get away with the draw and not a loss. From last week’s win, Collingwood have lost a couple of their key players to bad injuries.

Collingwood are sitting in 8th spot on the premiership ladder and are third favourites to win the title, currently paying $9 to hoist the flag. Sydney are sitting in 4th spot and are paying $10 to repeat their achievements of 2012.

Last round, Sydney were leading by 27 points midway through the final quarter but the Dockers came home with a wet sail and gave the Sydney home crowd a scare. Collingwood won by 6 points before a huge crowd of 66,000 people. It was a see sawing match that saw the lead change a few times. It was a significant victory for Collingwood as they were taking on the competition leaders.

Will the Collingwood team give their fans more to cheer about or will the Swans spoil the Magpies party at the MCG?

Port Adelaide Power vs Geelong Cats

1:15pm, Saturday 25 May 2013 at AAMI Stadium

I must admit, I have a bit of a soft spot for Port Adelaide but I am getting frustrated with how they are playing of late; slow starts and strong finishes but just falling short. They are meeting the Cats this week and it will not be easy for the Power. The Cats are coming off a tight loss against Collingwood and they will be looking to prove that the loss was just a minor hiccup in their season.

Port Adelaide are slowly descending down the ladder. They are now in 6th after being in the top 4. The Cats have given up top spot to move to 2nd after their loss. The bookies are happy to lay Port Adelaide in the premiership betting, they are currently at $251. The Cats are at $3.75.

Will the Power change their frustrating ways or will the Cats season continue to steam along steadily?

GWS Giants vs West Coast Eagles

2:10pm, Saturday 25th May 2013 at Skoda Stadium

The $1.01 currently on offer by the bookies suggests that an Eagles win will be a fait accompli. They are travelling all the way to Homebush to take on the last placed Giants. The optimists that exist in this world were pleased with the performance of GWS last week as they scored 57 points against the high flying Hawks. However, they were comprehensively defeated by 83 points so it’s a bit hard to find a positive in such a resounding loss. They are taking on an Eagles side who have won their last three including a thriller last week against North Melbourne that set tongues wagging as Nic Nat scored the final points after the siren.

The Eagles are now perched in 11th spot on the ladder and are $13 chances to win the premiership. They are at $1.60 to make the final 8 and $5 to make the final 4. GWS are unwanted in premiership betting.

Can the Giants try and make a match of this or will they be comprehensively beaten again?

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St Kilda Saints vs Western Bulldogs

4:40pm, Saturday 25th May 2013 at Etihad Stadium

This is a battle of the lower order and the loser will suffer a further dent to their credibility this season. St Kilda only managed to score a dismal 47 points against the Crows in their loss last round. The Bulldogs lost by 32 points to the Gold Coast Suns. Both teams will be desperate for a win so expect them to pull out all stops to taste a rare 2013 victory.

The sides are ranked 15th and 16th on the ladder respectively. St Kilda are the favourites for this match at $1.22. Neither side are prominent in the premiership market.

Will the Saints take the bikkies at Etihad as the short priced favourites?

Brisbane Lions vs Carlton Blues

7:40pm, Saturday 25th May 2013 at the Gabba

The Lions caused a boil over last week, defeating the Bombers in Melbourne. It was a pleasant reprieve for Michael Voss, who has undoubtedly been under extreme pressure after his team have failed to live up to their NAB Cup winning form. It was the Lions first win in Melbourne since round 13 last year. They take on the Blues at home and they will be bursting with confidence after the victory. The Blues also won their last round match against Port Adelaide.  The Blues led from go to woah against a relentless Power side.

Brisbane Lions are currently placed in 14th spot on the ladder. Carlton are 4 spots ahead in 10th. Carlton are a rough shot in the premiership market, currently paying $15. The Lions are given no hope at $501.

Will the Lions relish playing at home and manage to string two together?

Richmond Tigers vs Essendon Bombers

7:45pm, Saturday 25th May 2013 at MCG

This is shaping up as one of the exciting match-ups this round. Richmond have moved into the top 8 and are now 7th on the ladder whilst the early season leaders Essendon have dropped a few notches to third. Essendon are coming off two straight losses against the Cats and the Lions. The Tigers head into this foray with two straight victories over Port Adelaide and Melbourne. They appear to be playing in the rich vein of form that seen them open their 2013 season with much success. Meanwhile, Essendon appear to be on a slight downer. They were unbeaten up until two weeks ago and last week’s loss to the Lions would have bruised a few egos. The match is expected to be played before an 80,000 strong crowd. Let’s hope it lives up to expectations.

In the premiership betting, Essendon are $14 and Richmond are $23.

Will the Tigers hand the Bombers their third straight defeat?

Hawthorn Hawks vs Gold Coast Suns

1:10pm, Sunday 26th May 2013 at MCG

Hawthorn are now sitting pretty at the top of the ladder and take on a Suns side who may put up a fight, but won’t win the battle.

Hawthorn put the Giants to the sword last week, emerging as 83 point victors. It was a result that was never in doubt prior to or during the match. Meanwhile, the Suns also enjoyed a 32 point victory against a Bulldogs side whose season hasn’t been much to write home about this year.

Hawthorn are the current premiership favourites at $3.20. The Suns are sitting in 12th spot on the ladder but don’t factor in premiership markets.

Will the Hawks machine roll on?

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Adelaide Crows

3:20pm, Sunday 26th May 2013 at Etihad Stadium

North Melbourne had a heartbreaking 2 point loss to the Eagles last week. In a kick after the siren, the Eagles booted a goal to seal the match. Adelaide were easy victors over a disappointing St Kilda side, running away with a 40 point win. North Melbourne have had a tough opening to the season, playing most of the top sides. They are now entering a period of winnable matches before their Round 12 bye that should see them crawl up the ladder.

North Melbourne are sitting in 12th spot on the ladder. The Crows are just one spot out of the top 8. Both sides are rated $41 chances to win the 2013 premiership.

This match is crunch time for both teams. They need victory here to stay in touch with the top 8 and be a chance to play in the finals.

Will North Melbourne finally turn the tables on previous honourable losses this season and stake claim to victory?

Fremantle Dockers vs Melbourne Demons

2:40pm, Sunday 26th May 2013 at Paterson Stadium

Fremantle put in a thrilling display against the Swans last week, coming away with a draw. In all honesty, it was only bad luck that cost the Dockers victory. They had a couple of goal opportunities go astray when 2 hit the post. If not for some of these misses they would have easily beat Sydney. They are at home this week before their loyal supporters and they take on a side that has been just plain terrible this year. Demons supporters would be wishing this season would hurry up and end. Their team has been at the wrong end of some hidings and things didn’t improve last week when they were on the receiving end of a 34 point loss to the Tigers. Despite their performance being labelled as “spirited” it didn’t earn them any vital premiership points. The Dockers are $1.01 to win the match and based on what has been seen this year by the respective sides, it is not hard to see why.

The Dockers currently sit nicely in 5th spot on the ladder and are rated $15 to win the flag. The Demons are 17th and obviously are a lay with the bookies to win the title. I like Fremantle’s fight. They are currently paying $3.25 with Bet365.com to emerge as this year’s top non-Victorian team.

Will the Docker’s continue to impress?


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