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Arsenal vs Stoke Week 5 Odds & Tips

Sat, Sep 21, 10:17am by Clarinda Campbell

Match: Arsenal ($1.39) vs Stoke City ($9.00) – EPL Week 5
When/Where: 10:30pm (AEST), Sunday 22nd September 2013 at Emirates Stadium
Bet on Arsenal vs Stoke City:

Stoke travel to Arsenal brimming with confidence after drawing with Manchester City last week. Arsenal are on a three match winning streak and are the warm favourites to defeat Stoke.

  • These sides last met in February 2013 where Arsenal emerged 1-0 victors. Arsenal dominated possession (65%).
  • The last five times the sides have met at Etihad Stadium, Arsenal has won all five.
  • Arsenal has scored 6 goals in the last five fixtures between these two teams, and Stoke has scored 5.
  • Arsenal’s goals against Stoke generally come at the end of the match, whilst Stoke’s are spread throughout the usual timeframe of a match.
  • Arsenal has averaged 15 shots per game to Stoke’s 13. Arsenal average two goals per game with a 13% conversion rate while Stoke only average 0.8 per game, a 5% conversion rate.

Arsenal vs Stoke Prediction

Arsenal vs Stoke City Week 5 EPLSince losing in a shock opening date defeat to Aston Villa, Arsenal has won three on a trot. Mesut Ozil demonstrated to fans his creative talents in his first EPL match when Arsenal beat Sunderland 3-1 last week. He looks to be a great signing for Arsenal. Naturally, Stoke will need to keep Ozil quiet to be any chance.

Stoke has surprised this year. As mentioned in the week 5 preview, they are one of the teams considered to be in contention for relegation. However, they have notched up seven of a possible twelve points this season. They drew with Manchester City last week and they were not clearly outmatched. Stoke has moved away from negative soccer this year, they are passing the ball more and have more of an attacking strategy.

Stoke defender Marc Wilson gives his side a good chance of causing an upset when they travel to Emirates Stadium. The side is going into the match with confidence and they will to give it a real go. The Stoke team understand the task will be difficult but believe they have the players to cause Arsenal problems. Stoke is prepared to give Arsenal the respect they deserve. The side has said they will be solid, work hard and not be too open. To defeat Arsenal, Stoke needs to be more ruthless in front of goal.

You can’t deny winning form, so I am tipping Arsenal to win this match 2-0. Stoke has a bit of a hoodoo at Arsenal. They have failed to get a result on five previous visits to Arsenal’s home ground.

Latest Odds & Free Tips

The Arsenal head to head market for this match is a great leg for multi’s.

Arsenal Head to Head: $1.36
Stoke Head to Head: $3.10
Draw: $3.40


Arsenal (-1): $2.00 with
Handicap Draw (-1): $3.40
Stoke (+1):$3.10

If you agree with the 2-0 Arsenal prediction then even money looks good here. They are given a 1 goal handicap, which I expect them to cover.


Under 0.5 Goals: $12.75
Over 0.5 Goals: $1.02

Under 1.5 Goals: $4.20
Over 1.5 Goals: $1.20

Under 2.5 Goals: $2.05
Over 2.5 Goals: $1.71

Under 3.5 Goals: $1.39
Over 3.5 Goals: $2.85

Under 4.5 Goals: $1.14
Over 4.5 Goals: $5.20

In line with the 2-0 prediction, the “under 2.5 goals” market is the suggested bet here.

Winning Margin

Arsenal to Win By:

Exactly 1 goal: $3.40
Exactly 2 goals: $4.00 with
Exactly 3 goals: $6.50
4 or more goals: $7.50


0-0 Draw: $12.00
Score Draw: $6.00

Stoke City to Win By:

Exactly 1 goal: $11.00
Exactly 2 goals: $34.00
Exactly 3 goals: $151.00
4 or more goals: $501.00

Again, the suggested bet here is on Arsenal to win by exactly two goals. That result is currently paying $4.00. Support in this market is for Arsenal to win by 1 goal, currently paying $3.40.

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