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Betting on the Ashes Fifth Test

Tue, Aug 20, 11:22am by Rob Sheeley

Match: England vs Australia – Fifth Ashes Test
When/Where: 21st-26th August at The Oval
AUD $100 Free Bet:

Ashes Test 5England will be looking to create history this week when they aim to become the first English team ever to win four test matches in one series in England. In fact, by winning the fourth test, they became the first since 1985 to win three. Given the way Australia played in the fourth test, the English players must be quietly confident that they can achieve the feat.

Australia well and truly put themselves in a winning position in the fourth test before they collapsed like a fragile house of cards to lose by seventy four runs. With little bearing on that game due to the series already being decided, it is hard for the Australians to say that they didn’t handle the pressure because, in reality, there was no pressure. This is a very worrying side for the Australian team. Coach Darren Lehmann will be frustrated that they have been close enough to win three of the four tests but are yet to come up with any results.

Lehmann was quick to say post match that the Australian’s efforts simply weren’t good enough and that players will be playing for their careers in the coming matches.

In stark contrast to Australia’s dire situation England’s captain Alastair Cook gave every indication that his team will not be taking their foot off the pedal and are keen on continuing their winning form. “We are going to get greedy” Cook said.

As punters we may be well served to “get greedy” as well. We have tipped England in all four tests and had plenty of collects to date. With The Oval being known for taking a bit of spin, something that has proven Australia’s Achilles heel in recent times, the trend may well be set to continue here. In addition to our win collect on the head to head market last match we also picked up the nice $5.50 dividend about Chris Rogers top scoring for Australia in their first innings. This match should provide plenty more chances to make some profit too.

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The English have made a couple of changes to their squad. With seam bowler Tim Bresnan forced out due to stress fractures in his back, all-rounder Chris Woakes has been added to the squad. They have also added young spin bowler Simon Kerrigan as a second spin option to compliment Graeme Swann. Should either Woakes or Kerrigan be selected in the starting line up, it will be their debut test match. At the time of writing, Australia were yet to finalise their squad.

  • There has been 66 Ashes Series played. Australia have won 31, England 30 and 5 have been drawn.
  • There has been 314 Ashes matches played. Australia have won 123, England 104 and 87 have been drawn.
  • England have won 3 of the last 4 Ashes series .
  • England have won 10 of their last 12 Ashes matches against Australia.

Why England Can Remain Undefeated

England have achieved all that they set out to achieve at the beginning of this series. They have won the series and retained The Ashes. Now is the time that they can relax and enjoy their cricket and celebrate their achievements by icing the cake with another win here.

One man has really been a massive difference between the two teams when it comes to consistency; Ian Bell. After being a player who Australia seemed to dismiss with consummate ease, Ian Bell has really had a career defining series. Bell has scored three centuries, all of which have been in his teams three victories, he has hauled his team from grim situations on more than one occasion and is a big reason that England has won the series. We were a little unlucky not to have a good collect on Bell for man of the match at $15 in the fourth test. He seemed destined for the award until Stuart Broad’s heroics in the final session of the match took it away from him. He is well worth another try here.

England have some real momentum. They took a staggering nine wickets in a session to win the fourth test, a feat that is almost unheard of. The home crowd really rallied behind their team and there’s a good chance that they will have that sort of support from ball one in this game too.

Can Australia Finally Win A Game?

It is quite possible that Australia have more to play for in this game than England. They would be absolutely smarting from their capitulation in Durham. The batting middle order’s efforts were substandard and has most certainly left fans and Australian punters with a sour taste in their mouth. They get a chance to atone here and save some face, if anything it is a test of pride.

At the start of the series, Chris Rogers and Ryan Harris would not have really been expected to be the players who lead the way with the bat and ball respectively for the Australian team. But they have shown superb form, particularly in the last two tests and will be at the forefront of batting and bowling selections for punters again in this test.

Australia have played well in patches without really being able to put it together consistently for a full match. They crumbled under the slightest amount of pressure in the fourth test and, if they can get into a similar sort of situation in this one, they will want to make up for that effort.

Fifth Ashes Test Head To Head Betting

England – $2.00 Head to Head with
Draw – $3.65
Australia – $3.50

Despite such dominance in the series to date, England remain almost the same price as they have for the start of every test in the series so far. Punters have shown a little more interest in Australia on the back of their improved performance in the fourth test and the draw is the least favoured result. England look great odds in my opinion. They are undefeated in the series and showing no signs of that changing. This is a good bet.

Head To Head (No Draw) Betting

England – $1.40 with
Australia – $2.80

If the worry of weather intervening is of concern to you as a punter, this is the bet for you. With the draw result meaning bets are refunded, you can back your team with confidence in this market. England again appear to be superb odds here. This bet is also a good way of complimenting your head to head bet with that little bit of weather insurance. I’m very confident with this particular bet.

Highest Opening Partnership

England – $1.85
Australia – $1.96 with

This bet has been the one way we have made money from Australia right throughout the series, and we get another good price in the fifth test. Australia look to have a much better opening combination than England at the moment and they have shown that in their results. I’ll be taking the $1.96 and recommend it as a bet for you too.

First Innings Lead

England – $1.65
Australia – $2.21

With the closeness of the first innings in three of the four tests so far, this market has been a bit of a punters nightmare. It is with some trepidation that I’d be inclined to invest here. I think England is more likely to lead first innings but am hesitant to suggest so with any strong conviction.

Player Markets offer markets on the leading run scorer and wicket taker from each team.

As we said earlier, England’s Ian Bell has been a real difference between the two teams this series and we made good money on him top scoring in the fourth test too. He is $5.00 to be the top scorer for England in the first innings and that is a wonderful price.

Chris Rogers was also great for us in the fourth test and, despite the fact that he is a little shorter in this test, the $4.50 is still pretty good. The other Australian worthy of consideration is David Warner at $5.00. There’s also the “Wincast” option which is a combination of the highest scorer and winning team. The Ian Bell/England option looks tasty at $8.00

As for leading wicket takers in the first innings, this market could be tricky without knowing the result of the toss. It is a spinners wicket so should England bat first I’d definitely go with Graeme Swann ($3.50) in this market due to the time allowed for the pitch to deteriorate a little. It may not be as easy should they bowl first, in which case I’d go with Stuart Broad at $3.50.

For Australia, I’m happy to go with Ryan Harris who has been an absolute standout of late and is currently $3.50. In terms of the “Bowlcast” both the Swann/England and Broad/England results are at $8.00 which isn’t bad at all.

Man of the Match

I also like the “Man Of The Match” market. Ian Bell is knocking on the door for this award and is at the massive odds of $13, that price looks simply too good not to have some sort of investment on.

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