Sat, May 18, 12:02pm by Clarinda Campbell
Match: Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power – AFL Round 8
When/Where: 1:10pm Sunday, 19 May 2013 at Etihad Stadium.
Where to Bet on Blues vs Power: www.Bet365.com
Carlton were beaten favourites in Monday night football against St Kilda and they have been demoted from the top 8 to now sit in 11th spot on the ladder. They have ballooned in premiership markets, moving from $12 chances to $17 chances with IASbet. Port Adelaide dropped to 4th place on the ladder after their loss against Richmond and they have also moved in premiership betting, going from $51 chances to $81 chances with Bet365.com.
Carlton are coming into this match off a short, five day break. While the Blues lost some players from the St Kilda game, they will gain some important players this week. Carlton have lost David Ellard to a calf tear and Chris Yarran to an injured hamstring. Eddie Betts has been suspended. Jarrad Waite will return to the forward line.
Dominic Cassisi is back for the Power. Campbell Heath and Daniel Stewart have been omitted from the team with form dictating their axing. Port have gone back to having a second ruckman in the side, bringing in Matthew Lobbe.
Last round, Carlton suffered a loss at the hands of St Kilda, who came out firing early in the match. To make their loss worse, the Blues also came out of the match with injuries to David Ellard and Chris Yarran. Despite the loss, coach Mick Malthouse believed the Blues players should have been applauded for the fighting spirit they showed throughout the loss. They lost their two running players (Ellard and Yarran) in the first 10 minutes of the game and were trailing by as many as 46 points to get within 4 points in the last quarter.
Port Adelaide also suffered a loss, at the hands of the Tigers. It was a disappointing effort from the Power, who lost by 41 points. They suffered from a very slow start to the game and the poor first quarters being played by the Power are of real concern. If they keep starting matches slowly, they will be no match for decent opposition come the business end of the season. Port were smashed in the ruck and will be looking to fix that area this week. Form experts are of the view that serious cracks are starting to show in the Port Adelaide side and they are becoming very inconsistent. Players like Justin Westhoff and Hamish Hartlett have lost their early season form and some of the youngsters are starting to look tired.
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In Round 6, the Blues had a comprehensive victory over the Demons. In the match, Jarrad Waite reaffirmed his standing as one of Carlton’s most vital players. In the same round, Port lost their match against North Melbourne by a narrow 10 point margin. Port again had a poor first quarter where they were outscored by 7 goals to 1 and then had to play catch up. Port ran out of time to snatch the win, but their strong finish was noted, with many stating that if the match went 5 minutes longer, Port would have won.
In Round 5, the Blues won their second on the trot, defeating the Crows by 32 points. Admittedly, the Crows lost their key forward in the match due to injury. Against West Coast, Port displayed what is becoming their customary slow start. They only scored 2 goals before half time. They finished off the final two quarters with 10 goals. The win showed that Port refuse to give up when the game gets going and again showed that when they start running with the ball, they are hard to contain.
My gut instinct is telling me that Port Adelaide will win. They just need to find that form they had earlier in the season. Carlton were beaten in a match they should have won last week. Although Port lost as well, it was to a handy Richmond outfit who won their first three on the trot at the start of the season and appear to be regaining that sparkling early season form.
In the Blues vs Power head to head market, Carlton are the favourites at $1.39 while Port Adelaide are $3.05 with Bet365.com. In the margin betting, Carlton are paying $2.30 for 1-39 while Port Adelaide are paying $3.60 for the same margin.
I am going to tip the upset here; Port Adelaide to win. A bet on them in the head to head market at $3.05 and a bet on the Power to win by over 15.5 points at $4.90 should provide some healthy returns.
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