Thu, Jun 28, 10:51am by Staff Writer
With 14 rounds of the 2018 AFL season already gone, Tom Mitchell is the overwhelming favourite to claim his first Brownlow medal, priced at $2.75 at Sportsbet.
Mitchell has been a possession magnet in 2018, even amassing 50 disposals in a game earlier this season.
Mitchell’s nearest rival in the Brownlow market is reigning medallist Dustin Martin.
Martin is priced at $9 to claim consecutive Brownlow medals and was almost eliminated from contention a fortnight ago, when he was cited by the match review committee.
He fortunately escaped suspension for contact with an umpire during Richmond’s three-goal win over Geelong at the MCG in round 12. He was offered a $1500 fine if he entered an early guilty plea, which he did.
Martin is an enigmatic character both on and off the field and his non-suspension has caused great controversy, given the suspension handed down to Geelong’s Tom Hawkins for a similar incident.
Fremantle’s Nat Fyfe was ruled out of contention after he was suspended for a high bump on Lance Franklin, which has moved Patrick Cripps into third favourite at $9.
The Carlton youngster has been a shining light for an otherwise awful Carlton side.
Given Carlton have only a single win to their name this season, it is hard to see Cripps claiming the Brownlow, simply because he will be having to take votes from players who are part of winning teams. This has traditionally been difficult in Brownlow’s gone by.
West Coast’s Andrew Gaff started the season on fire, but has cooled somewhat over the past month, with his price drifting from $10 to $12 to claim the medal.
He is subject to free agency rumours, with North Melbourne one of the sides linked to his signature for next season and beyond.
North’s Shaun Higgins is priced at $14 and is fifth in betting, equal with Melbourne’s Max Gawn.
Gawn was a trendy pick to win the Brownlow a month ago, priced as low as $5.50. He has drifted given Melbourne has lost consecutive games. He will be hoping to be the first genuine big man to win the medal since the late Jim Stynes took out the award in 1991.
Of the potential dark horses that remain, Josh Kennedy of Sydney is worthy of consideration given the Swans’ strong season and he has traditionally been a heavy voter getter in past Brownlow’s.
He polled in 10 games in 2017, with a total of 23 votes. His highest vote total was in 2015, when he polled 25 votes in 22 games played.
Priced at $23 to claim his first Brownlow medal, he is a player worth keeping an eye on later in the season, as the Swans look to make inroads in September.
Brownlow Medal Odds – Sportsbet
Tom Mitchell $2.75
Dustin Martin $9
Patrick Cripps $9
Andrew Gaff $12
Shaun Higgins $14
Max Gawn $14
Josh P Kennedy $23
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