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Brownlow Medal Update: Mitchell into $1.50

Wed, Aug 29, 12:33pm by Staff Writer

The 2018 AFL home and away season has drawn to a close, with Hawthorn’s Tom Mitchell the favourite to claim the Brownlow Medal.

Mitchell is priced at $1.50 at Sportsbet to win his first Brownlow after a stellar season for Hawthorn.

He has averaged nearly 36 disposals per game for the Hawks, as well as six tackles and eight clearances per game.

Mitchell ranked first in the AFL for disposals, handballs, effective disposals and clearance this season.

His season highlights include a 54 disposal performance against Collingwood in round one and another half century against the Giants in round 15.

He notched up 40 or more disposals 10 times this season, including three weeks in a row between rounds 18 and 20.

A lean final three rounds by his standards, including only 24 disposals against Sydney in round 23 could potentially count against him.

A lean patch between rounds four and eight where he less than 30 disposals in four of the five games during that span are also times where Mitchell may lose votes.

2017 Brownlow Medallist Dustin Martin has enjoyed a wonderful latter part of the season to surge to second favouritism at $7.

The Tigers midfielder has had 25 or more touches in seven of his past eight matches. He notched up 33 disposals and kicked a goal in the Tigers’ three-point win against the Bulldogs in round 23.

He is ranked first in the AFL for inside 50s per game and total score involvements.

Given the Tigers finished the home and away season as minor premiers, Dusty is sure to be among the votes, but a poor first eight weeks could count against him.

It’s not often the team at the bottom of the ladder have a player in Brownlow Medal contention, but Carlton’s Patrick Cripps deserves to be in the conversation.

Cripps is $7 to win the Brownlow and has been a rare bright spot in an otherwise poor season for Carlton.

He featured in all 22 games for Carlton this season, averaging 29.6 touches, six tackles and eight clearances per game.

Cripps was first in total centre clearances in the competition and ranked inside the top 10 in all of the important statistical categories.

He accumulated 30 or more disposals on 12 occasions this season. He is not a prolific goal kicker and with his side winning only two matches this season, could find votes hard to come by, especially in some of Carlton’s heavier defeats.

The AFL Coaches Association player of the year Max Gawn is a $9 shot of winning the Brownlow Medal.

The Demon’s ruckman has been pivotal in steering Melbourne to its first finals series in 12 seasons.

He has won the most hitouts of any ruckman this season and is 13th in the competition for score involvements. Gawn has averaged 16 touches per game and 40 or more hitouts in 18 of 22 games this season.

Brisbane’s Dayne Beams is a $12 shot to win the Brownlow and his rise in the market has been a result of Brisbane’s improved form during the last two months of the season.

The Lions midfielder averages 29 touches per game, but totalled more than 30 disposals in four of his last five matches this season.

He kicked 18 goals in 21 appearances for the Lions this season; with his season-high 40 disposals coming in a 65-point round 16 win against Carlton.

Other players who have had tremendous seasons and will be on the leaderboard come Brownlow night include Collingwood’s Brodie Grundy ($16), Melbourne’s Clayton Oliver ($21) and the Bulldogs’ Jackson Macrae ($21).

The 2018 AFL Rising Star will be awarded on Friday afternoon, with Collingwood’s Jaidyn Stephenson the overwhelming favourite to take out the award.

The youngster played all 22 games for the Pies this season, kicking 34 goals.

Brisbane’s Alex Witherden and number one draft pick Cam Rayner are among the other contenders for the award.

Brownlow Medal Odds – Sportsbet

Tom Mitchell $1.50

Dustin Martin $7

Patrick Cripps $7

Max Gawn $9

Dayne Beams $12

Brodie Grundy $16

Clayton Oliver $21

Jackson Macrae $21


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