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Brownlow Medal Update: Mitchell the new favourite

Wed, Jun 6, 4:56pm by Staff Writer

Hawthorn’s Tom Mitchell is now the outright favourite to claim his first Brownlow Medal after the suspension of Fremantle’s Nat Fyfe.

Mitchell has been a ball magnet in 2018 and is $3.25 at Sportsbet to claim the Brownlow, the first for a Hawthorn player since Sam Mitchell in 2012 to win the award.

He has posted 51 Brownlow votes in his career and is averaging 28 disposals per game, but has had some stellar games this season of 40+ disposals which are sure to net him votes.

Fyfe and the Dockers are contesting the intentional, low impact to the head charge, citing that the Pies’ Levi Greenwood avoided injury and played out the game.

With the 2015 Brownlow medallist currently ineligible, Mitchell saw his odds come in dramatically from $5 into $3.25.

2017 winner Dustin Martin has not yet reached his dizzying heights of last season, but remains a popular choice at $5.50 at Sportsbet and was the pre-season favourite for the award.

Jackson Macrae from the Western Bulldogs was a $101 shot before the season began but has shortened with each week, now into single figures at $8.

The 23-year-old is having a tremendous season, averaging 33 disposals, with a disposal efficiency of 74 per cent. He is a contested ball specialist, averaging 14 contested possessions a game and seven score involvements per match.

His meteoric rise up the ranks as one of the league’s best midfielders has been tremendous to see, but given that the Dogs are towards the bottom of the ladder, he may have trouble polling votes against some of the competition’s better sides.

One player who won’t have such trouble is Melbourne ruckman Max Gawn.

Gawn is a cult figure in the AFL thanks to his large stature and trademark beard, but is a serious contender to win the Brownlow.

Gawn was $101 to win the Brownlow at the start of the season and has now shortened to $12 at Sportsbet.

Averaging 49 hitouts per game, Gawn is also collecting 16 disposals and having an impact across the ground.

He is earning his side first ball use around contests, aiding their clearance numbers and facilitating their fast-paced game style. He is a very popular pick among pundits in the AFL to cause an upset in the Brownlow market and given that Melbourne are performing well this season, should not be discounted.

The Eagles Andrew Gaff is said to be hot property in the upcoming free agency and is doing his value no harm this season and is $12 to win the Brownlow. Gaff’s Eagles are on top of the ladder and the 25 year old is averaging 29 disposals per game.

Gaff has drawn the attention of the umpires in the past, polling 63 votes in his career, but with the Eagles playing so well this season, may see some of his votes shared amongst his teammates.

Tigers captain Trent Cotchin is another worthy of consideration, with the 2012 Brownlow medallist and 2017 Premiership captain having polled 117 career votes.

A host of other players could see their prices drop in the coming weeks as their sides continue to perform well and they include Melbourne’s Clayton Oliver ($28), the Pies Brodie Grundy ($34) and North’s Shaun Higgins ($51).

Brownlow Medal Odds – Sportsbet

Tom Mitchell $3.25

Dustin Martin $5.50

Jackson Macrae $8

Max Gawn $12

Andrew Gaff $12

Trent Cotchin $16

Patrick Cripps $18

Patrick Dangerfield $21

Adam Treloar $23

Clayton Oliver $28

Brodie Grundy $28

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