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Caulfield Saturday October 21 – Preview, Best Bets and Odds

Thu, Oct 19, 4:50pm by Staff Writer

The Caulfield carnival wraps up on Saturday with the Group 1 Caulfield Cup (2400m) the feature event. It’s the third meeting there since last Saturday with the rail out six-metres after being in the true on Wednesday. The odd shower is forecast leading into race day but the track was a good-3 at acceptances.

A field of 17 will line up in the Caulfield Cup (2400m) with Aiden O’Brien’s Johannes Vermeer ($4.20) on the back-up after a slashing Australian debut last week when runner-up to Gailo Chop in the Group 1 Caulfield Stakes (2000m). The Team Williams-owned five-year-old has had the 13 career starts with four wins and five minor placings, one of those wins was in a G1 over 1400m two years ago.

Bonneval ($8.50) was the favourite in the Caulfield Stakes but could only manage a sixth of 11 beaten just over 4L. She did win six straight before that including a dominant win in the G1 Underwood (1800m) at this track and while she has been in the news over the past few days, her trainer Murray Baker “isn’t sure what the fuss is about”.

The last time Humidor ($8) ran was in the Group 1 Turnbull (2000m) and pre-race it was being billed as a match race between Winx and himself. He looked all at sea in the run as Winx toyed with the field but before that he was a strong winner of the G1 Makybe Diva (1600m) at Flemington – where he’s won two from four. Here at Caulfield he’s been placed twice from five starts but the big field and any strong tempo should suit. Ventura Storm ($11) was second in the Turnbull and he’s building nicely towards a G1 Melbourne Cup (3200m).

Amelie’s Star ($8.50) came into ‘Cups’ calculations with a strong win in the G3 Bart Cummings (2500m). She ran fourth to Harlem ($9.50) before that in the G3 Naturalism (2000m) with Harlem fifth to Amelie’s Star in the Bart Cummings.

Jon Snow ($11) was a G3 winner two starts back at Moonee Valley and comes into this off a third in the Caulfield Stakes. Inference ($14) has had some good support at odds in recent weeks and he’s already a G1 winner taking out the Randwick Guineas (1600m) as a 3YO. Lord Fandango ($19) is eyeing three straight wins, Single Gaze ($34) is racing well but yet to trouble the winners this preparation while Marmelo ($17) and Wicklow Brave ($41) throw some international form into the equation.

The Group 2 Tristarc Stakes (1400m) is a set weights and penalties for the mares. Foxplay ($4.20) has opened favourite for the race off a last start fourth to Happy Clapper in the Group 1 Epsom (1600m). She is a G1 Queen of the Turf (1600m) winner in the autumn and has had early market support.

Ravi ($7) was a big winner first-up in the G3 Sheraco (1200m) and her last start third in the G3 How Now Stakes (1200m) was the subject of plenty of talk when unlucky behind Savanna Armour ($14) who also lines up here. A winner of six from 12, Savanna Armour maybe doesn’t get the credit she deserves and a win here would give her three straight victories – and four from her last five.

Silent Sedition ($5) is second-up after finishing fifth of nine in the G2 Gilgai (1200m) down the Flemington straight when near favourite in betting. She’s won two from four second-up with six wins and nine minors from 18 career starts.

Global Glamour ($9) was a dual Group 1 winner this time last year and she’s first-up since the autumn. Now or Later ($10) won her first race in Australia – and third overall – in the G2 Blazer (1400m) at Flemington last start while Swampland ($19) is racing well with three wins and two seconds from her last five starts with both those seconds being beaten less than a length.

Suggested Bet: After not much peace in the G1 Rupert Clarke, Grande Rosso ($5) is worth a bet in race six (number 6). He races well at this track (three wins and a second), at the distance (six wins) and Craig Williams (two from two) is back on board. Nieta ($2.30, race 10 number 3) looks well placed and she’s had strong support as soon as markets opened.

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