Wed, Nov 27, 9:03pm by Daryl Curnow
When: 11:30pm, Thursday, November 27.
Where: Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, Ohio
Record: Cavaliers 4-10 (3-2 Home) vs Heat 11-3 (3-2 Away)
Bet with: Centrebet.com and get a free $200 bonus bet
CLEVELAND welcomes back one of their sons with open arms, or do they? Either way, James will be having the Miami Heat players around at his Ohio home for Thanksgiving on Friday and they would love to eat the Turkey knowing they just beat Lebron’s former team.
The Heat aren’t all too happy about spending both Thanksgiving and Christmas on the road (just give these guys a day off!) but for the amount of money they earn, you’d expect that. That aside, the Heat travel into Cleveland with a vastly different record than their opponents and they’re expected to win this matchup.
It’s obvious that this game is on prime time because of James’s association with the Cavaliers and rightly so. When he returned to Cleveland for the first time, fans were booing his every move, however earlier this year he rallied the Heat to come back from a 27-point deficit to silence the crowd. Times have changed in Cleveland however as rallies are being held to try and woo LeBron back home. Well, he’s coming but they won’t like what he dishes out.
LeBron and the Miami Heat enter Cleveland on a seven-game winning streak and they don’t look like slowing down after an innocuous start to the season. They won their first game of the season by 12 points over the Bulls but dropped their next two against Philadelphia and Brooklyn – both teams boast losing records – but the Heat were quickly back in top gear, winning their next 10 of 11.
James has high scored in eight of the Heats season games and he’s averaging a very respectable 26.0 points per game. He’s also shooting 61 percent from the field, 49 percent from outside the three point line and 80 percent from the foul line, which puts him in a career-best position to date.
James’ support crew aren’t just keeping up with appearances as Wade is averaging 18.0 points per game and Chris Bosh an impressive 15.5 points per game.
Wade scored 27 points in the Heat’s narrow win against Orlando and chimed in with 12 rebounds in their latest win against Phoenix. Chris Bosh, who plays an average of five to seven minutes less per game than James and Wade, is rebounding well and is shooting an economical .543 percentage from the field. The Heat as a team are third in the NBA with a scoring average of 106.6 points per game and they give up only 96.9. They are bad at rebounding as they rank 30th with 35.5 for the season, but put this down to the fact that they make most of their shots. They also average second in assists per game with a massive 25.1.
One thing in the Cavaliers’ favour is that Miami won all four meetings last season, but they were all decided by less than four points.
The Cavaliers were projected as a playoff team this year, but they have started in all too familiar fashion with a 4-10 record. They started their season with a win against Brooklyn, but then lost seven of the next nine games, including heavy losses to Indiana, Chicago and a 29-point drubbing at the hands of Minnesota. They have lost their last three after winning at Washington in overtime on November 16 but their most recent loss came against San Antonio and it wasn’t pretty. Even though Danny Green was the Spurs’ highest scorer with only 17 points, the Cavaliers were still able to get beaten by 30 points, their most embarrassing loss this season.
There has been a shining light for Cleveland however, otherwise they might have been 0-14. Kyrie Irving has scored totals of 28, 29, 39 and 41, showing that his skills are now transferred over from his college-playing days. Despite these numbers, the point guard is averaging only 21.4 points per game with 6.4 assists per game.
The difference between these two teams is their shooting percentages and Cleveland’s is simply not good enough. Irving is shooting at .410 percent and the next two highest scorers are at .389 and .432. Compare those averages to the Heat and it’s clear as day to why Cleveland are struggling. The overall statistics don’t bode well either as they are below mid-pack in every main category. They average only 93.2 points per game and they give up an average of 101.6 and that’ll end your season very quickly.
Kyrie Irving is a good young talent but he can’t do it all. Tristan Thompson is averaging only 11.6 points per game and shooting guard C.J Miles is at just 10.0 points per game. It’s not good enough when one of your most inexperienced players has to take the majority of the workload and it’s something Cleveland will have to address otherwise it will be cellar-dwelling once again.
Points: Kyrie Irving (21.4)
Rebounds: Tristan Thompson (9.3)
Assists: Kyrie Irving (6.4)
Steals: Dion Waiters (1.5)
Blocks: Andrew Bynum (1.2)
Points: Lebron James (26.0)
Rebounds: LeBron James (5.7)
Assists: LeBron James (6.6)
Steals: Dwayne Wade (2.1)
Blocks: Chris Bosh (1.3)
They probably can’t, in fact it’ll be one of the biggest upsets all season if they do, however, they can cover the nine-point spread the books are offering. Not only will Irving need a big performance, but his team mates will have to step up. That being said, their last four meetings have been decided by four points or less and they’re getting +9 here. It could just be that simple.
The Heat can win because they’re the two time defending champions trying to win their eighth straight game. LeBron is firing on all cylinders and he’s getting valuable support from Wade and Bosh. It’s tough to look past the Heat in any game but LeBron’s return to Cleveland usually sparks something deep within the native Ohio crowd and that can spur the Cavaliers on.
Head-to-head: Cleveland @ $3.85, Miami @ $1.26
The $1.91 line: Cleveland Cavaliers +9 with Centrebet.com
Total points over/under: 197.5
Despite all of the Heat’s weapons, we’re taking the Cavaliers to keep this game close, as history suggests it will be. Their last four games have been close affairs and Cleveland shouldn’t be as bad as they are. They’ll eventually break out of their funk and this could be the game to kick start their season. The crowd will be raucous and Cleveland should feed from that. We also think this game will be relatively tight so the under 197.5 is also recommended.
Today’s NBA multi-bet of the day includes two additional across the day:
Pacers vs Bobcats
The Pacers aren’t slowing down for any team and even if it’s a tight game, they always stretch their lead out in the final quarter. Paul George is hot property and along with his supporting staff, Indiana are beating up every team they play.
Magic vs 76’ers
The Magic are having a better season than expected and that often happens early in the season so we’re jumping on their backs while they’re winning. They’re at home against an average team and Orlando will fancy their chances to pick up another win here.
Cleveland line (+9) @$1.91
Cleveland/Miami under 197.5 @$1.91
Pacers line (-7.5) @$1.91
Magic line (-4.5) @$1.91
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