Fri, May 23, 1:06pm by Daryl Curnow
When: Saturday, May 24, 2014. First race starts at 12:20pm.
Open an account with Sportsbet for $150 in free bets and back our bet of the day at value – Katie’s Cove at $2.40 in Race 3.
Randwick hosts this Saturday edition of Sydney racing as the W.J McKell Cup takes centre stage for the stayers. There is plenty of sprinting action on also and we provide a complete betting guide of all the action with free tips to boot.
Gai Waterhouse looks to get back to her best training form when she saddles up Almalad, a two-year-old gelding who won on debut at Gosford. The son of Al Maher ran a very quick 1000 metre time of 57.84 and he gets a nice weight relief of 3kg courtesy of apprentice jockey Winona Costin. He opened at $3.40 and has since drifted to $3.50 but his chances appear bright based on his debut effort.
Fellow stablemate Ravenwitch is in the market at $6.50 after winning a trial on a wet track. There is a 50% chance of rain and any easing of the track would suit this daughter of Flying Spur. She will likely head forward from barrier three and Tim Clark in the saddle is a positive. The filly has a nice weight of 54kg and respect any forward market moves.
McHawi doesn’t have any exposed form as he is on debut but the Gerald Ryan-trained gelding is bred to go quick. The two-year-old son of Magic Albert is in good hands and he has been set at a respectable price of $5. He has drawn wide in barrier 10 which is a concern but a promising career looks in his sights.
Best bet: Almalad to win ($3.50) at Sportingbet.com.au (better than $3.40 offered elsewhere)
The Bjorn Baker-trained Marvelous Ceramibo was a good winner last time out at Hawkesbury when winning by 3.5 lengths. The Encosta De Lago gelding looked comfortable over the longer distance and the rise in distance will be right up his alley. This is obviously a step up in grade but there looks to be plenty of staying potential there and he has drawn the ace barrier of one. He opened at a surprising quote of $9 and has since firmed slightly into $8.50.
Elusive Runner has drawn the car park in barrier 16 but he will have find to find his feet early. The John Sargent-trained gelding has had four career starts for one win and two placings. The win came two starts back at Goulburn in a maiden affair and he has since placed in a rating 75 event at Rosehill. He didn’t get all favours as he was blocked in the straight and then he flew home when it was all over. A similar effort will take him close, hence his opening quote of $4.50.
Elroi is a New Zealand runner who is coming off the back of a 2.5-length win. The Paul and Kris Shailer-trained gelding has also drawn wide in barrier 15 and he will likely go forward from there. He is bred to handle all conditions and he would prefer rain to come – he has had one start on a heavy track for one win. He has drifted from his opening price of $8.50 to $9 but respect his ability.
Best bet: Marvelous Ceramibo to place ($3) at Sportsbet.com.au
Katie’s Cove is our bet of the day at $2.40 and the New Zealand runner has been hammered in from $3.40. The Roger James-trained filly was desperately unlucky when finishing second in the Group Three Hawkesbury Guineas last time out and she faces an easier field in this. The Zabeel filly is a two-time winner from six starts and her trainer believes she has a fair amount of ability. She has drawn well in barrier two and James McDonald should ensure she gets an economical trip in transit.
Longma is a last start winner for Gai Waterhouse who is having his fifth start this campaign. The Sebring three-year-old won by half-a-length at Warwick Farm and he placed twice in behind Sabino Speed on two occasions which is good form for this. He has had one start at Randwick for a sixth but that came in a listed race and he should find this easier.
Sabino Speed has been let go by the bookies after a last start fourth at Rosehill but there is no real reason for the drift. The Mossman gelding is currently at $15 which is good value considering he put two wins together this campaign and he has won on a slow track. If he can continue his good form he is a great place chance at nice odds.
Specific Choice is fresh up for Chris Waller following a campaign that featured decent runs behind Seaside and Leebaz. The four-year-old gelding has won twice from 11 starts with a further five placings and he has won and placed at the distance. He usually finds his best form quickly as he has won fresh up in the past and his odds of $6 look like good value.
You’ll Never is another Chris Waller-trained runner who had had two runs this campaign for a second placing and a fourth. The Commands gelding has placed in all three runs on this track and twice at the distance. He drops back from rating 85 grade for this and Blake Shinn, who rides with a heavy heart, will try his best to get the four-year-old over the line.
Tralfaz finished nicely last time out behind Kudero at Warwick Farm and a similar effort will take the gelding close. Trained by Gary Portelli, the four-year-old has won only twice but one win was taken away from him due to an enquiry. He rises in weight for this which isn’t ideal but he is a good place chance.
Best bet: Specific Choice to win ($6) at Centrebet.com
Arinosa had a last campaign to forget after having three runs for a best finish of ninth. The Chris Waller-trained grey finished 15th in the Group One Coolmore Classic but there was a vet problem and it might pay to forget that performance. The six-year-old has won and placed twice from eight starts when fresh and she is a perfect two-from-two at Randwick. She has never raced over this distance and it might be a touch short but she is the classy horse and she has had two trials to prepare for this.
Avoid Lightning is a talented mare who charged home late for second in the Group Two Sapphire Stakes at Randwick. The Les Bridge-trained mare won the Group Three Birthday Card Stakes two starts back and she is in grand form this campaign. She is trained on the track however she is yet to win here but she handles all surfaces and she is justifiably the $3.40 favourite after opening at $3.50.
Recoinage has been up for awhile but she is dropping back from group company and she gets in with a light weight. The Joseph Pride-trained mare was a winner five starts back and she has since placed in two runs at group three level. Her form line suggests she is progressively getting worse this campaign but it’s not wise to drop her just yet.
Best bet: Avoid Lightning to win ($3.50) at IASbet.com
The Hawkes’-trained La Amistad is the current $3.30 favourite following an easy 2.75-length win over Saghann who has since won impressively. The public fancied mare is a four time winner and she made the transition to Sydney racing rather easily at Warwick Farm. It looked as though the extra distance suited her perfectly and this race looks well within her reach. James McDonald rides with an absolute luxury weight of 54kg and she will be tough to beat on the back of that.
Order Of The Sun traveled to Adelaide as the $3.90 favourite in the South Australian Derby but he was ridden averagely so forgive that poor effort for sixth. The Gai Waterhouse-trained colt won his start prior in the VRC St Leger by seven lengths and that form is great for this. He is only three-year-old taking on the older horses but he has a good staying future and the market suggests he isn’t without a chance to return to his best form.
Destiny’s Kiss ran home well for fifth in the Scone Cup last time out and the Joseph Pride-trained gelding is looking to win his first race at Randwick. He is a nine-time winner from 32 starts and four of those have come on a heavy track, so the conditions should suit if the rain comes. He won two starts back and he can use the inside draw to his favour here.
Best bet: La Amistad to win ($3.30) at Sportsbet.com.au
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